The Footy Tipster Free football betting tips from an expert on worldwide football

8Mar/1013

Colchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Apologies for the lack of coverage on the Dutch Eerste Divisie tonight - the bookies don't appear to have put odds on anywhere whilst I write this update! I've posted my selections anyway but feel free to ask if you wish to know my thoughts on any of the listed games as I'm sure that by the time this post is read there will then be odds listed on most bookmakers' sites.

Today's featured game is the League One encounter between Colchester United and Brighton & Hove Albion. Colchester are bidding to make a swift return to the Championship following relegation last season and are well-placed to do so after an impressive season. Brighton will count themselves fortunate to still be in this division by next season with the seasiders battling valiantly against relegation.

Colchester United have been very strong at home this season, winning thirteen times in sixteen League One games. They average scoring nearly two goals per home game and only Millwall boast a better defensive record that tonight's hosts. Only league leaders Norwich City have won more home games than Colchester so backing tonight's hosts at home is becoming something of a common thing! Colchester have won their last four home games consecutively, scoring seven times and conceding just once. They appear to have the right blend of potency and defensive reliability, enough so for them to achieve promotion to the Championship this season if they continue as they are. Colchester play good football and are one of the top sides in the division so it's no surprise to see them where they are. Colchester have won three out of their last five games, losing just once along the way, so their momenum is good too.

Visitors Brighton have a superb away record for reasons I've not really been able to work out yet! They simply score a lot of goals away from home and although they concede a lot of goals too, Brighton tend to end up avoiding defeat in their away games, having succumbed to just four defeats in seventeen away games. Only league leaders Norwich City have scored more away goals than relegation-battling Brighton & Hove Albion so the visitors are a threat in most away games which is why I suspect that the odds are so good for tonight's home win when compared to the quality gap between the two sides. However, what he bookies have considered is that Brighton's list of defeats on the road, small as it is, follow a similar pattern - they lose to sides that are better than they are by a substantial amount. Three of their four away defeats in League One this season have been on trips to Swindon Town, Norwich City, and Huddersfield Town respectively - all sides that are a lot better than Brighton. Although the visitors aren't going to make life easy for Colchester United today, you have to feel that they're going to be dealt with by their talented hosts in a similar way to their contemporaries before them.

Brighton are on a good run of form with no defeats in three games, winning twice along the way, but they're facing a side that are a lot better than they are today. Brighton's potency will be put to the test by a strong Colchester defence as they travel to one of the toughest sides in the division. Although the fairytale may continue for Brighton after this game, I can only see them losing to a Colchester side that is not only strong at home but is twice the side that Brighton are.

Verdict: Colchester United to win at 4/5.

Monday's Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Arsenal de Sarandi vs Colon de Santa Fe - away win  at 5/4.

Hosts Arsenal de Sarandi boast a bizarre record in the Clausura this season; they're the only side to have lost every home game without scoring a goal. It's not like Arsenal have faced sides with the calibre of Velez Sarsfield for all three games either, although the first game was undeniably Velez Sarsfield, but the other two defeats were against Tigre and Chacarita Juniors - two of the weakest sides in the Primera Division. The fact that Arsenal have even failed to score against their contemporaries is frankly disgraceful and is sure to have damaged them mentally. That said, Arsenal won their last game 3-2 at Rosario Central so tonight's hosts do bring some momentum into this game. However, goal-shy displays and atrocious defending tend to mean that the bigger sides beat you and that is what stares Arsenal in the face tonight.

Colon de Santa Fe are one of the better sides in Argentina currently and have shown it sporadically in their current campaign, winning three times in seven games. Colon have played four away games in the Clausura, winning once, drawing twice, and losing once. Colon's biggest flaw is not scoring enough goals but that shouldn't be an issue against an Arsenal side that cannot keep a clean sheet. Colon have played Velez Sarsfield, Banfield, Tigre, and Chacarita Juniors on the road so far so losing just once during those games looks a bit more respectable than the cold statistics alone suggest. Colon scored twice in each of their two games against the weaker opponents - Tigre and Chacarita Juniors - beating one side and drawing with the other. If Colon formulate their haphazard defence into any kind of shape ahead of tonight's game then they'll surely win the game because they're twice the side that Arsenal are and they're more than capable of scoring goals.

Although Argentina's Primera Division has been somewhat frustrating lately, I'm hoping that comes to an end tonight. Arsenal de Sarandi are one of the weakest sides in the division and they're hosting one of the better sides. With Arsenal yet to register a goal or a point in three home games and Colon de Santa Fe scoring goals for fun, you have to feel that the away win does bear considerable value tonight.

Verdict: Colon de Santa Fe to win at 5/4.

Sliven vs Cherno More Varna - away win at 5/4.

Sliven have fallen massively after their impressive A PFG campaign in recent times due to internal issues and player sales. Instead of competing for a European place they're not trying their best to stay in the division - they're struggling, too. Their first game back from the winter break saw them overcome Montana 1-0 in a nervous encounter. Sliven still have enough ability to overcome fellow relegation battlers like Montana so the result was not unexpected but they struggle against some of Bulgaria's better sides i.e. Cherno More Varna. Sliven do have a good home record this season with four wins in eight games and boast a strong defensive record too. However, they average scoring just over a goal per home game so you can see that any solid defensive side will take points from this game as Sliven don't score enough.

Cherno More Varna are one of those sides although their away form doesn't reflect it. They've lost five out of eight away games this season, scoring just six times but conceding eleven times. However, Cherno More have had a rather bizarre season and their form has suffered as a consequance. However, a good win at home to rivals Chernomorets Burgas in their first game back from the winter break should hopefully spur them on to bigger and better things - starting today. Cherno More's ability isn't in question - only their consistency. Let's not forget that Cherno More feature somewhat regularly in European football with appearances in the UEFA Europa League/UEFA Cup for two seasons running, just in case you were doubting their ability! I have a lot of faith in Cherno More's ability and although it's a shade early to call whether they'll continue in their haphazard ways or will build some kind of consistency up, I'm prepared to take the risk that they will as they're the better of these two sides by some way.

However, there is an additional factor that should be taken into consideration before betting on this game but don't worry - it should favour the selection! Bulgaria is one of the bigger places for corruption in football in Europe nowadays as has been proven numerous times in recent years and as a result you do get some rather fishy results from time to time. Generally, when head-to-head results follow in a certain pattern then they tend to continue in a pattern, let's put it that way. Cherno More have won all three of their encounters with Sliven without even conceding a goal, winning twice at home and once away. Whereas I'm not suggesting for one second for legal reasons that this game is actually fixed, I'm saying that if there is fixing to be done then it could very well be in a game like this as past records do tend to support.

Anyway, the away win is good value and I think Cherno More have what it takes to do the damage today.

Verdict: Cherno More Varna to win at 5/4.

Accumulator fodder:

Arminia Bielefeld, Valencia CF, Slavia Prague

Recommended bets:

Just the one for me today - Slavia Prague, Colchester United, Valencia CF, and Arminia Bielefeld at 6/1.

As ever, if there any questions/explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Argentinian Primera Division:

San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors (5) 1-0
Gimnasia De La Plata vs Rosario Central (6) 2-1
Arsenal de Sarandi vs Colon de Santa Fe (7) 0-1

Bulgarian A PFG:

Sliven vs Cherno More Varna (7) 0-1

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:

Slavia Prague vs Ceske Budejovice (8) 2-0

Danish Superligaen:

Aalborg BK vs FC Nordsjaelland (6) 1-0

English Premier League:

Wigan Athletic vs Liverpool (7) 0-1

English League One:

Colchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion (8)

French Ligue 2:

Laval vs Metz (7)

German Bundesliga 2:

Arminia Bielefeld vs Karlsruher SC (8)

Greek B Ethniki:

Ionikos Nikaias vs Doxa Dramas (6)
OFI Crete vs Kerkyra (7)

Italian Serie B:

Piacenza vs Reggina (5)

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

De Graafschap vs Cambuur Leeuwarden (6) over 2.5 goals
Den Bosch vs Volendam (7)
Dordrecht '90 vs Oss (4)
Omniworld vs Go Ahead Eagles (6)
Zwolle vs AGOVV Appeldoorn (7) over 2.5 goals
Helmond Sport vs Fortuna Sittard (8)
MVV Maastricht vs Eindhoven (7)
RBC Roosendaal vs Emmen (5)
Telstar vs Excelsior (8)

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Vitoria Guimaraes vs CD Nacional (5) 1-0

Romanian Liga:

Brasov vs SC Vaslui (6) under 2.5 goals
Pandurii Targu Jiu vs Universitatea Craiova (6) 1-1

Singaporean S-League:

Balestier Khalsa vs Albirex Niigata (6) 0-0

Spanish Primera Liga:

Valencia CF vs Racing Santander (8) over 2.5 goals

Swiss Challenge League:

Thun vs Winterthur (6) over 2.5 goals

Turkish Super Lig:

Eskisehirspor vs Galatasaray (6) 0-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!

7Mar/1031

Cagliari vs Catania

Yesterday was one of the worst betting days I've ever encountered. I'd apologised if I believed it was me being shit but it was purely a day where the vast majority of favourites crashed. Even games I didn't bet or recommend outcomes on turned out badly so let's hope today is considerably better than yesterday.

Today's featured game is the Serie A encounter between Cagliari and Catania. Cagliari have been strong at home this season and will look to continue that run today whereas Catania have been weak for the majority of the season both home and away so are deservedly battling relegation.

Cagliari enter this game on the back of two consecutive defeats but both of those games were away from home which is where the Sardinians are weakest. At home, Catania are a superb side, particularly of late. They've got ten games unbeaten at home whilst winning seven times so they're certainly a force to be reckoned with. The only sides to take a point away from Cagliari during this tyrannical home form are SSC Napoli, AS Roma, and Fiorentina respectively which each away side needing to score at least two goals to prevent Cagliari from winning. Cagliari aren't watertight defensively which is a shame as that's all that underpins their overall quality. However, when it comes to scoring goals at home in Serie A, only Genoa have scored more at home than Cagliari with today's hosts averaging scoring over two goals per game so to disregard their potency would be foolish. Cagliari have scored twenty-five goals during those ten games which is a frankly terrifying record and the hosts have every opportunity to win yet again at their fortress today.

Visitors Catania are a resilient little side from Sicily that never give anyone an easy game. However, they tend to lack a lot in the goalscoring department which is largely why they're battling against relegation. They average scoring less than a goal per away game currently and have already lost seven out of thirteen away games in Serie A this season so look likely to struggle against a rampant Cagliari. Catania have performed admirably in recent times, however, avoiding defeat in six out of their last seven Serie A games with AS Roma the only side to beat them along the way. Catania have pulled off some heroic results of late by winning at the likes of Lazio and at home to Bari in emphatic fashion so they do carry some good momentum into this game. However, they've only scored twice in their past three away games so their record does flatter them somewhat.

Ultimately, Cagliari are twice the side that Catania are - fact. They score so many goals that it's hard to see Catania's defence keeping them out, especially as no side has managed to do that against Cagliari here this season. Cagliari have scored at least two goals for all of their last ten home games so I sympathise with in-form Catania because they're going to have to do something that they rarely do and score a lot of goals to take anything from this encounter or else they'll simply be outscored, which is precisely what I expect to happen. The odds on the home win surprise me somewhat but I'll ride it as it looks a great bet in my eyes!

Verdict: Cagliari to win at evens.

Sunday's Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Huracan vs Tigre - home win at evens.

Huracan aren't the most convincing of Argentinian sides at the best of times but they are hard to beat, particularly at home. They've played three home games in the Clausura this season, winning twice, and drawing once. They've beaten Newells Old Boys and Velez Sarsfield here in epic games whilst holding high-flying Godoy Cruz de Mendoza to a goalless draw so they've been strong at home so far this season. Huracan's biggest problem tends to be scoring goals but five goals scored in three home games indicates that they're gradually resolving that issue. Huracan have only been beaten by potent Lanus and Estudiantes De La Plata this season so it's fair to say that Huracan are certainly hard to beat at the moment.

Visitiors Tigre have started their Clausura well but are ultimately living on borrowed time with a rather impotent attack. Tigre have only scored in four of their seven games so far in the Clausura and naturally aren't finding wins easy to come by as a result. Tigre aren't a good side; in fact, I consider them to be one of the worst in the Primera Division. They've finally began to show that too with two consecutive 1-0 defeats against Independiente and San Lorenzo de Almagro respectively. Not only do those results leave Tigre a little demoralised but they do highlight a lack of goalscoring ability that will underpin their overall performances considerably for as long as it's present.

Although both of these sides will be lingering somewhere near the bottom of the table at the end of the Clausura, Huracan are the better of these two sides and they're showing it at the moment. Huracan are looking more threatening in front of goal and have been consistently strong at home this season so should beat a demoralised and goal-shy Tigre with relative ease tonight.

Verdict: Huracan to win at evens.

Independiente vs River Plate - home win at evens.

Independiente enter this game having won all three of their home games in the Clausura whilst averaging scoring over two goals per game. They've beaten a talented Estudiantes De La Plata along the way as well as bitter rivals Racing Club Avellaneda in the Avellaneda derby so Independiente haven't simply crawled past inferior opponents to be where they are currently. They won 1-0 at Tigre last match and the only side to beat them this season is an impressive Velez Sarsfield so Independiente are looking more of a threat than I expect them to this season already. They've won three out of their last four games so their momentum is good and they won their last encounter with River Plate last season, winning 3-1 away from home.

Visitors River Plate managed to steal a 1-0 victory at home to San Lorenzo de Almagro in their last match but are still far from convincing. Their win last match was just their second of the season so far and looks likely to be one of ther last if they continue playing such unimpressive football. River Plate have been far from impressive in general this season which is worryingly evident with disappointing results both home and away against the likes of Arsenal de Sarandi and Gimnasia De La Plata respectively. River Plate simply aren't scoring goals and although they're not conceding too many goals themselves, they're going to have problems winning games if that's the case. Independiente are scoring goals so River Plate need to get at least one in this game to have any chance of taking something but frankly they don't look capable of doing so, which leaves the home win looking rather good value to me. 

Verdict: Independiente to win at evens.

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Litex Lovech - lay Litex Lovech at 13/8.

The bookies overrate the bigger sides in Bulgaria rather excessively which has always intrigued me because I'm not sure why they do. Don't get me wrong - there are some big gulfs between clubs in Bulgaria but take today's game for example. Pirin Blagoevgrad are not as good as Litex Lovech but they've conceded just three times at home in the A PFG this season, a home record bettered only by Litex themselves. Blagoevgrad have only lost twice in eight home games and tend to enjoy stifling their opponents which is why they've got such a commanding home record. When you consider the above information, it's hard to comprehend just why Litex are 2/5 to win this game. Litex are the better side, as I mentioned previously, but they have failed to win three of their eight away games this season in the A PFG so they can be undone on the road. Litex don't score excessively on the road and do tend to concede a token goal so why they're such heavy favourites to win on a trip that they've only won twice on in their last four visits is beyond me!

I rate Litex much higher than Blagoevgrad but I'm not seeing any reason for them to have it all their own way today. Although Litex are capable of doing a job on Blagoevgrad, the value has to be in laying Litex today.

Verdict: Lay Litex Lovech at 13/8.

Atletico Huila vs Millonarios Bogota - home win at evens.

Atletico Huila enter this game as one of the highest goalscoring sides in the Primera A currently with an average of nearly two goals scored per game. They're unbeaten at home and despite winning just one of their three home games they remain a potent side with over two goals scored per home game on average. Atletico Huila crushed La Equidad Bogota 4-1 in their last home game so they do carry some momentum into this game and will look to use it against Millonarios tonight. Atletico Huila are basically looking very potent, particularly at home, and that should be enough do damage to Millonarios Bogota tonight.

Visitors Millonarios have never won at Atletico Huila in the Primera A and have lost three out of their last five visits here. They're not shaping up well in terms of amending that fact either with three defeats from three away games in the Primera A already this season. Millonarios average conceding three goals per away game currently and score less than a goal per game so it's easy to see why the fare so badly on the road. Millonarios are a presentable side but their away form tends to be poor and this season is no exception so I don't see why a potent Atletico Huila won't run riot tonight against a leaky Millonarios Bogota.

Verdict: Atletico Huila to win at evens.

Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec - home win at 10/11.

Banik Ostrava have won more home games in the Gambrinus Liga this season than any other side with seven wins in nine games, drawing the other two. Banik Ostrava average scoring just less than two goals per home game and rely heavily on their strong defence which concedes an average of just over a goal per every two home games. Banik Ostrava are generally a very well-organised side, particularly in defence, so they tend to do well in this league as it's not the most prolific of leagues! Banik Ostrava travelled to Viktoria Plzen on their first game back from the winter break and claimed a valuable point in a 0-0 draw so it's clear that maturity is creeping into their displays as that trip is not to be taken lightly by any Czech side. I quite fancy Banik Ostrava as dark horses to win the Gambrinus Liga because of this maturity that they're gaining, particularly with the abject league displays of both Czech giants - Sparta Prague & Slavia Prague - and they stand a good chance of doing so due to their ruthless efficiency and consistent manner. If Banik Ostrava do intend to win the Gambrinus Liga this year then today's opponents Jablonec are a side that they must beat to do so but that's one factor of their challenge that they'll no doubt relish. Why? Well, not only do Banik have a strong home record this season but they've also got the record of having beaten Jablonec here for four seasons running now with Jablonec having not won here since 1997. With the above in mind, Banik Ostrava are looking good for this game today!

Visitors Jablonec are playing well this season and are over-achieving as a result. It also aids their cause that no Czech side is dominating the league this season so Jablonec still have a realistic shot at the title. However, in terms of actual quality, they're one of the weaker sides near the top of the table and it's only a matter of time before that begins to show. They won 3-0 at home to Bohemians 1905 last match but frankly I'd expect te majority of Gambrinus Liga sides to emulate that result so I'm not exactly sitting here in awe. Jablonec tend to struggle on the road despite having won four out of eight away games already this season. This is largely due to the fact that they don't score many goals which is largely due to the fact that they're not a very good side as I've already pointed out! The reason they do well on the road is because their defence is strong. However, it's worth noting that Jablonec's two away defeats this season have come against strong home sides Teplice and Sparta Prague respectively so a win for yet another strong home side, Banik Ostrava, is far from out of the question.

We should see a relatively low-scoring game between two title rivals that shouldn't really be title rivals. As a result, I expect a somewhat nervy display from both sides as they try to impose themselves as one of the leaders in the race for the Gambrinus Liga and the results of that can be disastrous. However, Banik Ostrava are more experienced than Jablonec in this field and are more consistent and reliable so the home win today looks a good call to me.

Verdict: Banik Ostrava to win at 10/11.

Lombard Papa vs Debreceni VSC - away win at 5/6.

Newly-promoted Lombard Papa entered the Soproni Liga with a bang initially but are gradually being "found out". They've won five out of nine home games but have also lost four. Theyve lost two out of their last three home games in the Soproni Liga and tend to struggle against the bigger and/or better sides, both of which Debreceni VSC certainly are. Papa drew at MTK Budapest on their first game back from the winter break but this is a severely unprepared MTK Budapest side that were crushed 4-1 at Budapest Honved yesterday in a lacklustre display so I certainly wouldn't read much into that draw! Papa are beginning to look like a side that was recently promoted, basically, and they're going to find games tough against the likes of Debreceni VSC if they continue their unconvincing displays.

Although it took Debreceni VSC a long time to break down a stubborn Diosgyor VTK in their first Soproni Liga game back from the winter break, Debreceni VSC showed just how good they can actually be by smashing three goals past Diosgyori VTK in the last ten minutes of the game thus reaffirming their status as one of Hungary's biggest and best sides. Their display may have been a tad rusty but their overall ability remains entact and this result gives them good momentum to bring into this game. Unlike opponents Lombard Papa, Debreceni VSC have a few competitive games under their belt following the winter break following two League Cup games against Fehervar and Nyiregyhaza Spartacus respectively so the visitors have that extra bit of fitness ahead of this game. Although Debreceni VSC's away form hasn't been overly convincing this season due to some goal-shy displays, the one thing that Debreceni VSC have done since consistently since the winter break is score goals, something they've done ten times in three games so that issue should resolved soon enough!

Papa simply aren't good enough to keep a rampant Debreceni VSC side out today, in my opinion, and should succumb somewhat easily to their more illustrious opponents.

Verdict: Debreceni VSC to win at 5/6.

Feirense vs Freamunde - home win at 5/6.

Feirense have been a constant force at home in the Liga de Honra this season with six wins in ten games. Only league leaders Portimonense have scored as many home goals as Feirense have in this campaign so Feirense are looking rather potent ahead of this game. Feirense are unbeaten in their last three games and have won two of those games against Trofense and Santa Clara respectively - two promotion rivals - so Feirense should be somewhat buoyed ahead of this game and should make it count.

Visitors Freamunde are without a win in four games having drawn twice and lost twice. Their morale has dropped because of it as Freamunde continuously find themselves on the receiving end of negative results against the more in-form sides in the division i.e. Portimonense, Oliveirense etc. Freamunde have only lost three out of eleven away games in the Liga de Honra this season but all three defeats have come against the bigger and better sides of the division so it's easy to see that Freamunde have a ceiling to their ability and seem to bump into it every now and then!

Freamunde aren't good enough to cause problems here today and they tend to struggle against the better sides of the division, something that Feirense definitely are, so I'm siding with the momentum and the home advantage by calling a Feirense win today.

Verdict: Feirense to win at 5/6.

Real Zaragoza vs Atletico Madrid - home win at 6/4.

This is a bold call considering that Atletico Madrid are twice the side that Real Zaragoza are but it's one that I have some quiet hopes for!

Real Zaragoza have played well lately as they've now got some hidden agenda known only to themselves which means that they can now play well! Their general form both at home and on the road is unconvincing so I'm choosing to overlook those statistics in favour of their recent displays. Zaragoza have won three out of their last five Primera Liga games, drawing once and losing just once. They've won some very impressive games including an away win against Getafe whilst keeping a clean sheet and by beating Sevilla CF at home. Zaragoza bring a lot of confidence/momentum into this game as a result so look set to cause Atletico Madrid a lot of problems tonight, particularly with nine goals scored in their last five games.

Atletico Madrid won their last Primera Liga game 4-1 at home to Valencia although that scoreline was more dictated by cards and penalties than footballing quality. The fact is that Atletico Madrid's domestic campaign is now fruitless so they'll no doubt be looking towards the approaching game mid-week with Portugal's Sporting Clube de Lisboa and will maybe consider resting a few of their bigger names. Atletico have already lost seven out of twelve away games in the Primera Liga this season and average conceding nearly two goals per away game so their leaky defence is generally the reason behind their lack of success. Atletico Madrid's last away trip in the Primera Liga resulted in defeat at a battling Almeria side so I see no reason why a slightly more talented Zaragoza side are unable to claim a similar result.

This should be a good open game between two sides that don't really have an awful lot to lose but both enjoy scoring goals. I expect a lot of goals in this game as a result but I feel Zaragoza's form versus an inconsistent and defensively-inept Atletico Madrid sees a valuable home win emerging so it has to be worth a flutter!

Verdict: Real Zaragoza to win at 6/4.

Neuchatel Xamax vs Young Boys Bern - away win at 5/6.

Barring a humblin at Basel, Young Boys Bern have been superb after their return from the winter break, winning three games consecutively. Their last win was at home to out-of-sorts FC Zurich, which was very impressive for different reasons as Young Boys Bern played eighty minutes of the game with ten men and trailed for approximately seventy minutes before scoring two goals with ten men and ultimately winning the game. This kind of dogged tenacity and confidence in their own ability builds great momentum and Young Boys Bern are looking even better for it now. Young Boys Bern have won three out of their last four visits here and have enough momentum to do the same again today. Neuchatel Xamax are yet to win a game after their return from the winter break, drawing two away games and losing two home games. This string of results will demoralise them, particularly with repeated home defeats. The defeat at home to Basel was acceptable; the 3-1 battering at home to St.Gallen most certainly was not so Neuchatel Xamax are certainly looking vulnerable ahead of their game today with Young Boys Bern.

There's a big gulf in class between these two sides and there's now also a big gulf in momentum. With both of those gulfs favouring the league leaders Young Boys Bern you have to feel that the away win boasts considerable value today.

Verdict: Young Boys Bern to win at 5/6.

Accumulator fodder:

Lokomotiv Sofia, Levski Sofia, Omonia Nicosia, FC Copenhagen, Everton, Olympique de Marseille, Internationale, Palermo, America, AFC Ajax Amsterdam, Groningen, Twente Enschede, Legia Warsaw, Portimonense, Red Star Belgrade, Partizan Belgrade, Malaga, Lugano, Penarol.

Recommended bets:

Omonia Nicosia, Banik Ostrava, FC Copenhagen, Olympique de Marseille, and Sporting Clube de Lisboa at 7/1.

Everton, Girondins de Bordeaux, Olympiakos Piraeus, and Internazionale at 5/1.

Panathinaikos, Debreceni VSC, Cagliari, and Palermo at 6/1.

AFC Ajax Amsterdam, Twente Enschede, Groningen, SL Benfica, and Malaga at 5/1.

Huracan, Cucuta Deportivo, Real Cartagena, and America at 9/1.

Newells Old Boys, Deportivo Pereira, Atletico Huila, and Penarol at 11/1.

As ever, if there any questions/explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Huracan vs Tigre (7) 1-0
Newells Old Boys vs Godoy Cruz de Mendoza (7) 2-1
Independiente vs River Plate (7) 1-0
Argentinos Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield (6) 2-2

Australian A-League:

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory (7) 2-0
Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets (6) 2-1

Austrian Bundesliga:

SV Kapfenberg vs Rapid Vienna (6) 1-2

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Germinal Beerschot vs Zulte-Waregem (7) 1-1
Mechelen vs Racing Genk (5) 0-1

Belgian Tweede Klasse:

OH Leuven vs Tubize (6)

Bulgarian A PFG:

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Litex Lovech (5) 1-1
Montana vs Botev Plovdiv (7) 1-0
Levski Sofia vs Minior Pernik (9) 3-1
Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv Sofia (8) 0-2

Colombian Primera A:

Cucuta Deportivo vs Deportes Quindio (7) 1-0
Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional de Medellin (5) 1-2
America de Cali vs La Equidad Bogota (6) 0-0
Cortulua vs Deportivo Pereira (6) 0-1
Real Cartagena vs Envigado (8) 2-1
Atletico Huila vs Millonarios Bogota (7) 1-0

Cypriot Division 1:

Nea Salamis vs Omonia Nicosia (9) -1.75 handicap
APOEL Nicosia vs AEL Limassol (7) 1-0
Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta (6) 1-2

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:

Kladno vs Sparta Prague (7) 0-1
Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec (6) 1-0

Danish Superligaen:

Esbjerg vs Randers (7) 2-1
HB Koge vs Silkeborg (7) 0-1
Brondby vs SonderjyskE (7) 2-0
FC Copenhagen vs AGF Aarhus (8) over 2.5 goals

Ecuadorian Primera A:

El Nacional Quito vs Macara Ambato (6) 1-0
Emelec Guayaquil vs Barcelona Guayaquil (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game

English Premier League:

Everton vs Hull City (8) 2-0

English FA Cup:

Reading vs Aston Villa (6) 1-2
Chelsea vs Stoke City (4) 1-1

French Ligue 1:

Grenoble Foot vs Le Mans (6) 2-1
Olympique de Marseille vs Lorient (8) 2-0
Girondins de Bordeaux vs Montpellier HSC (8) 2-1

German Bundesliga:

FC Nurnberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (7) 0-1
Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 (5) 1-1

German Bundesliga 2:

Union Berlin vs MSV Duisburg (6)
1860 Munich vs St.Pauli (5)
Augsburg vs Paderborn (7) over 2.5 goals

Greek Super League:

Ergotelis vs Atromitos (6) 1-0
PAS Giannina vs Asteras Tripolis (6) 0-0
Panionios vs Xanthi (7) 1-0
Panathinaikos vs Levadiakos (8) 2-0
Iraklis vs Olympiakos Piraeus (8) 1-2

Greek B Ethniki:

Diagoras Rodos vs Ethnikos Piraeus (6) over 2.5 goals
Ilioupoli vs Aigaleo Athens (6) under 2.5 goals
Kalamata vs Panserraikos (6)
Olympiakos Volos vs Thrasivoulos (8) over 2.5 goals
Panaitolikos Agrinio vs Ethnikos Asteras (7)
Pierikos Katerini vs Anagennisi Karditsas (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Lombard Papa vs Debreceni VSC (8) 0-2

Italian Serie A:

Cagliari vs Catania (8) over 2.5 goals
Bari vs Chievo Verona (5) 0-0
Sampdoria vs Lazio (7) 1-0
Palermo vs Livorno (8) over 2.5 goals
Bologna vs SSC Napoli (5) 1-1
Siena vs Parma (6) 1-1
Atalanta Bergamo vs Udinese (6) 2-1
Internazionale vs Genoa (8) over 2.5 goals

Japanese J-League:

Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Purple Sanga (6) 0-0
Omiya Ardija vs Cerezo Osaka (6) 2-1

Mexican Primera Division:

Pumas UNAM vs Puebla (6) 1-0
Indios vs Tigres UANL (5) 1-1
Santos Laguna vs Atlante (7) over 2.5 goals
America vs Queretaro (8) 2-0

Dutch Eredivisie:

Roca JC Kerkrade vs Feyenoord Rotterdam (6) 1-2
Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam (8) over 2.5 goals
Groningen vs VVV Venlo (8) over 2.5 goals
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen (6) 1-0
RKC Waalwijk vs Twente Enschede (8) 0-2

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Legia Warsaw vs Odra Wodzislaw (8) 2-0
Piast Gliwice vs GKS Belchatow (5) 0-0

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Maritimo vs Academica de Coimbra (6) 2-1
Belenenses vs Sporting Clube de Lisboa (8) 0-2
SL Benfica vs Pacos de Ferreira (8) -1.75 handicap

Portuguese Liga de Honra:

Estoril vs Santa Clara (5)
Feirense vs Freamunde (7)
Oliveirense vs Trofense (6)
Varzim vs Gil Vicente (7)
Sporting Covilha vs Carregado (6)
Portimonense vs Penafiel (8)
Fatima vs Desportivo Aves (6)

Romanian Liga:

Gaz Metan Medias vs International (7) 2-0
Otelul Galati vs CFR Cluj (6) 1-2
Politehnica Iasi vs Unirea Alba Iulia (7) 2-0
Unirea Urziceni vs Steaua Bucharest (6) 1-1

Scottish Premier League:

Falkirk vs Celtic (7) 1-2
Dundee United vs Hearts (6) 1-0

Serbian Super Liga:

Rad Belgrade vs Red Star Belgrade (8) 1-2
Cukaricki vs Hajduk Kula (6) 0-0
Partizan Belgrade vs Javor Ivanjica (9) 2-0

Slovakian Corgon Liga:

Tatran Presov vs Kosice (6) 2-1

Spanish Primera Liga:

Malaga vs Deportivo Xerez (8) 2-0
Espanyol vs Villarreal (6) 1-0
Real Mallorca vs Sporting Gijon (4) 1-1
Osasuna vs Getafe (5) 2-1
Athletic Club de Bilbao vs Valladolid (8) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Real Zaragoza vs Atletico Madrid (6) over 2.5 goals

Spanish Segunda Liga:

Elche vs Hercules Alicante (7)
Real Sociedad vs Numancia (6) under 2.5 goals
Real Murcia vs Levante (6)
Cadiz vs Albacete (4)
Real Betis Balompie vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (6)

Swiss Super League:

Neuchatel Xamax vs Young Boys Bern (7) over 2.5 goals
St.Gallen vs Aarau (7) 1-0
FC Zurich vs Luzern (5) 1-1

Swiss Challenge League:

Lugano vs Stade Nyonnais (8)
Vaduz vs Le Mont (7)
Biel-Bienne vs Wil (7)
Lausanne Sports vs Kriens (4)

Turkish Super Lig:

Ankaragucu vs Gaziantepspor (6) 1-1
Manisaspor vs Denizlispor (6) 1-1
Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor (6) 2-1

Ukrainian Premier League:

Arsenal Kiev vs Dnipro Dnepropetrovsk (5) 0-1
Metalurg Donetsk vs Shakhtar Donetsk (7) 1-2
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Tavriya Simferopol (6) 1-1
Vorskla Poltava vs Metalurg Zaporizhya (6) 1-0
Obolon Kiev vs Chernomorets Odessa (7) 1-0

Uruguayan Primera Division:

Cerrito vs Defensor Sporting (6) 1-1
Fenix vs Cerro (5) 1-0
Atenas vs River Plate Montevideo (6) 2-1
Penarol vs Cerro Largo (8) over 2.5 goals

Venezuelan Primera Division:

Atletico El Vigia vs Centro Italo (7) 1-0
Real Esppor Club vs Monagas SC (5) 1-1
Deportivo Lara vs Llaneros de Guanare (6) 2-1
Mineros de Guayana vs Trujillanos (5) 1-0
Zamora vs Estudiantes de Merida (6) over 2.5 goals
Zulia vs Yaracuyanos (6) 1-1
Deportivo Anzoategui vs Deportivo Tachira (6) 1-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!

6Mar/1014

Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia Bialystok

I'll be the first to say that I'm happy to see the back of a frankly dismal friday! Let's move on to bigger and better things today!

Today's featured game is the Ekstraklasa encounter between Slask Wroclaw and Jagiellonia Bialystok. Slask Wroclaw have had a fairly good campaign this season, particularly at home, and will look to further that today. Visitors Jagiellonia Bialystok now have a real monkey on their back with a thirty-two game run without an away win so they're looking worried on the road more often than not.

Slask Wroclaw welcome back former Bolton Wanderers defender Jaroslaw Fojut, which is a big boost for the hosts as he's been out for some four months now. Slask have already won six out of nine home games this season but they've even stronger with Fojut. Slask average scoring approximately 1.5 goals per home game and only giants Legia Warsaw have conceded less goals at home than today's hosts have. Slask drew their first game back from the winter break at Polonia Bytom, which is a fairly respectable result with Polonia having only lost once at home all season long. Slask are only missing Dudek and Lukasiewicz so are well-placed to further their impressive home form today.

Visitors Jagiellonia are fast becoming legend in Poland for their lengthy run without an away win. It's not that Jagiellonia aren't capable because they're a good side but they had bad luck and have now merged that with the expectation that they won't win their away games and that now plays on the players' minds. Jagiellonia haven't scored enough on the road this season with just seven goals scored in nine games so they do tend to struggle, particularly as they average conceding over a goal per away game. They've only lost three out of their nine away games but their six draws shows that it only takes a strong home display to overcome them. Jagiellonia are missing Kascelan, Lewczuk, Renusz, and one of their most important midfielders - Bruno. Kascelan is under investigation in terms of the legality of his appearance in this game due to Jagiellonia being his third club of the season and Lewczuk is suspended but the other two are rumoured to have been dropped ahead of this game, which should be a hefty blow for Jagiellonia. They've got the opportune moment to try Grzyb but Jagiellonia need an assured display today to take anything from the game and I just don't feel that they're capable currently. Marcin Burkhardt has been the subject of speculation in Poland lately with his move from Korona Kielce having finally been permitted. The irony of that situation, of course, was that Jagiellonia lost at Korona last match in a game no doubt fuelled by the ongoing saga. Ultimately, Jagiellonia have entered this stage of their campaign with more problems than when they left it in December and morale is lessened following a disappointing defeat at Korona so Jagiellonia look a little suspect ahead of this game.

Although there's little to choose between these two sides in terms of quality, Slask have far more in their favour than an under-performing Jagiellonia side that have problems both on and off the field so the home win should boast considerable value today.

Verdict: Slask Wroclaw at evens.

Saturday's Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Boca Juniors vs Racing Club Avellaneda - home win at 4/5.

Boca Juniors' last match was a 4-4 draw at Primera Division favourites Velez Sarsfield did much to further my belief in their current level of ability. They may be without a win in their past five games but they've drawn their last four games consecutively whilst scoring six goals so it's only a matter of time before they make it count. I suspected defeat against Velez would send Boca crashing to the depths that they've discovered over the past couple of seasons yet again but Boca held their own and have earned considerable credit for taking a point from that game. Boca will be pleased to see Racing travelling here as the hosts have won the last five out of six home meetings against Racing, drawing the other game, so Boca will have a bit of an advantage mentally ahead of this game. Boca's home form isn't too impressive this season but I think they've got enough potency in them currently to improve that tonight against a struggling Racing side that Boca tend to enjoy playing.

Visitors Racing Club Avellaneda have played three away games this season and lost all of them. They've not conceding excessively but the fact that they've scored just once coupled with the fact that they are travelling to one of the most potent sides in Argentina currently looks ominous for the visitors. As I mentioned earlier, Racing don't have a good record here and three defeats, one draw, and just one victory in their last five games won't have done much for their momentum either. Basically, Racing are looking prime candidates to lose this game and I'm seeing little from their camp to suggest that anything other than a home win will occur here tonight.

Boca Juniors are currently the second most potent side in the Primera Division behind Velez Sarsfield so they've certainly got the goals to do the job tonight. They need to stop drawing and start winning so an ailing Racing Club Avellaneda should be the perfect opponents for them as they've proven to be poor defensively so far this season and have lost all three of their away games. Therefore, the value should be in the home win tonight!

Verdict: Boca Juniors to win at 4/5.

Once Caldas Manizales vs Deportivo Cali - home win at 10/11.

Once Caldas Manizales enter this game on the back of three consecutive wins in all competitions, a run which was started by their home win against Brazil's Sao Paulo in the Copa Libertadores. Once Caldas have since beaten Millonarios Bogota at home and Atletico Nacional de Medellin away in their last game and whereas neither side are particularly good, I still consider Once Caldas' results to have given them strong momentum and their attacking potency has increased as a result with the hosts averaging scoring two goals per game at the moment. Only league leaders Real Cartagena have scored as many as Once Caldas have so far this season so tonight's hosts look good to do some damage to Deportivo Cali.

Deportivo Cali are starting to struggle this season due to a lack of potency. They're not conceding excessively in general but are the biggest conceding side on the road in the Primera A with ten goals conceded in four away games, all of which they've lost - by far the worst away record in the division on every level. They've scored twice in their four away games and haven't won in any of their last three games in all competitions so they're looking rather susceptible tonight.

Ultimately, the better of these two sides is in good goalscoring form and they're at home. They're hosting a side that has lost every away game this season emphatically and a side that has little to prove that they have what it takes to take anything from this game tonight so the home win should be somewhat routine as well as good value.

Verdict: Once Caldas Manizales to win at 10/11.

Slaven Koprivnica vs Sibenik - home win at 4/5.

Slaven Koprivnica's "welcome back to the Prva Liga" after the winter break was a 5-0 defeat at giants Hajduk Split, which is an acceptable outcome but an unacceptable scoreline. It will have hurt Slaven because they're a better side than the scoreline reflects although their away form does little to back that statement up. However, Slaven remain a very able and reliable home side with an average of over two goals scored per home game and seven wins in nine games so far this season. Slaven have won this fixture for seven out of their last eight meetings and Sibenik have never won at Slaven Koprivnica so the hosts have yet another advantage ahead of the game today.

Visitors Sibenik have had an oustanding campaign and currently occupy third place in the Prva Liga as a result. However, this was largely due to their defensive strength rather than their attacking potency as they boast one of the best defences in the division but also have a record that shows only Zadar outside of the relegation zone having scored less goals than they have. Sibenik's first game after the winter break was a very disappointing draw at home to Zadar but a result that reflected just how much Sibenik are over-achieving this season so Sibenik could be set for a big jolt as they come back down to earth tonight.

Slaven are as consistent as ever at home and are one of the top four sides in Croatia despite problems off the field this season. They're always a threat at home and their record reflects that perfectly. Sibenik aren't good enough to be where they are and I expect a potent Slaven side to expose them tonight as the visitors simply don't score enough goals to counter them.  

Verdict: Slaven Koprivnica to win at 4/5.

Pribram vs Mlada Boleslav - home win at 7/5.

Pribram have been a constant threat at home all season long in the Gambrinus Liga with only Banik Ostrava having won more home games than they have. Pribram have won six out of eight home games and although they don't score as many goals as I'd like them to, they do tend to keep opponents out to a substantial enough level for the home win to arise far more often than not. Pribram's first game back after the winter break was a valuable and respectable draw at giants Sparta Prague so they'll bring a good level of momentum into this game today. Pribram are a very able side and I've seldom seen them in as good condition as they are now to further their impressive home form.

Visitors Mlada Boleslav are a side capable of matching Pribram on their day. However, despite being the joint second best goalscorers in the Gambrinus Liga this season, Mlada Boleslav are still lingering mid-table after a series of random and yet somewhat frequent disappointments in games that they should be winning. A prime example would be their first game back from their winter break which resulted in a 1-0 home defeat inflicted by relegation-threatened Kladno; a completely unacceptable result. Mlada have already lost four out of eight away games this season and a result like that against Kladno won't help them improve it momentum-wise so I suspect they'll struggle today against a strong Pribram side.

This is one of the riskier calls that I've made today and yet one of the ones that I like the most. Pribram don't have a good record against Mlada Boleslav but I don't think that they'll get a better shot at beating them than they have today with the visitors conceding goals far too easily currently.

Verdict: Pribram to win at 7/5.

West Ham United vs Bolton Wanderers - home win at 5/6.

West Ham United have a poor head-to-head record with Bolton as they've now lost their last five meetings consecutively. It's worth pointing out that four of those were away though! However, West Ham are looking better now than they have for the majority of the season so far so look in good shape to break the duck. They've finally got a presentable attack back with Cole being back in business and numerous other strikers competing for a place alongside him i.e. Franco, Ilan, McCarthy - all proven strikers on one level or another around Europe. West Ham were beaten 3-0 at Manchester United in their last game but it was a strange game, truth be told. I was at the game and although Manchester United won 3-0, it was one of the most boring 3-0 wins I've ever seen because there weren't many chances for either side so I do think that the result flattered my beloved Manchester United. West Ham's heads dropped after a while but their workrate remained high throughout and West Ham did cause problems initially; they were arguably even unlucky not to score. West Ham have won their last two home games consecutively without conceding whilst scoring five times so they're the games that I'd look more towards for reassurances regarding just where West Ham are currently.

Visitors Bolton have struggled immensely following the lengthy injury suffered by defensive stalwary Gary Cahill and now look a lot more likely to be relegated in my opinion as he's a massive loss. Bolton have conceded seven times in their last two away games and haven't scored in either so look very poor currently. They won their last game 1-0 at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers but I've absolutely no idea how they managed to do so with Wolves hitting the woodwork twice and deserving at least a draw from that game. I suppose it's testament to Wolves' luck of late but Bolton's luck may just run out against a West Ham side threatening to burst into a vein of good form and they've got the players available to them to do it. Bolton look short on goals as ever and have already lost eight out of their thirteen away games in the Premier League this season whilst conceding an average of two goals per game and scoring less than a goal per game so frankly they look likely to be beaten in any away game.

These two sides should not be competing with each other to avoid relegation. West Ham are a big club with big players and should be mid-table at least, which is where I expect them to finish this season if they keep their attack entact. Bolton have brought upon their own problems by allowing negative manager Gary Megson such a lengthy spell in charge and by not spending their money well but they're another side that should be comfortably mid-table by now. However, West Ham are the better of these two sides and frankly have better players so the home win looks good today for me.

Verdict: West Ham United to win at 5/6.

Aldershot Town vs Burton Albion - home win at 10/11.

Aldershot Town enter this game on the back of a 1-0 win at home to Bradford City mid-week. This result improved Aldershot's already strong home record as well as them doing so against an in-form Bradford City so the hosts will have taken a lot of momentum from that game. Aldershot have now won nine out of seventeen home games in League Two this season and have only been beaten twice whilst averaging scoring two goals per home game so they're a constant threat at home. They've won their last two games consecutively and stand a good chance of continuing that run, particularly as they're such a potent side - the fourth-highest scoring side in League Two, incidentally.

Visitors Burton Albion are such a bizarre side that it's unreal. Seldom does a side score so many goals following promotion from the division below so it's hard to know just how they're going to play. What remains constant with Burton Albion is that they cannot defend for shit with only Crewe Alexandra and bottom-placed Darlington having conceded more goals than they have this season. Burton tend to be outclassed more often than not in this division and three defeats in their last five games illustrates that point well. They've already lost seven out of sixteen away games this season and have conceded six goals in their last two away games so could and should struggle immensely against an impressive Aldershot Town side that are frankly better than they are today.

I can't put it much more simply other than that Aldershot are too good for Burton. Aldershot are extremely reliable at home and I can't see a sporadic Burton side changing that today.

Verdict: Aldershot Town to win at 10/11.

Rotherham United vs Bradford - home win at 4/5.

Rotherham United enter this game on the back of a 4-0 defeat against Rochdale. The defeat will have hurt Rotherham United but their ability cannot be questioned so it's important not to write them off. Rotherham have still won seven out of sixteen home games this season and although they've drawn too many at home due to not scoring enough goals, Rotherham remain one of the best sides in this division and tend to show it when given chance. Only Notts Couty boast a better defensive record at home than Rotherham so the hosts do at least have a solid foundation for their performances. Rotherham have won three out of their last six games and have only lost once so they do bring momentum into this game and should be able to make it count.

I'd normally stay away from Rotherham after a result like their previous game against Rochdale but frankly Bradford City are a poor side and shouldn't be able to test Rotherham today. Bradford may have only lost six out of sixteen away games this season but they're one of the weakest sides in the division when it comes to conceding goals on the road and that tends to hamstring their performances on the road. Their last game was a 1-0 defeat at Aldershot Town, a result which ended their little burst of form, so Bradford should really return to their disappointing selves. Bradford are beginning to lose some of their motivation with relegation and promotion both virtually impossible so shouldn't be able to pose a serious threat to Rotherham United today.

I would emphasise some caution on this selection as it is a derby of sorts but Rotherham really should be too good for Bradford today irrespective of form.

Verdict: Rotherham United to win at 4/5.

Racing Club Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain - home win at 5/4.

Racing Club Lens aren't one of Ligue 1's better sides but they're a strong home side with seven wins in thirteen home games, losing just three times along the way. They don't score excessively but their stubborn defence tends to keep opponents out enough for home wins to prevail over draws and defeats. Lens have won their last three home games consecutively in all competitions and when you consider that this list includes Olympique de Marseille and AS Monaco you then have to take Lens rather seriously at home. They'd be much further up the table if their potency was more reliable but we don't have the luxury of the choice there, regrettably! Nonetheless, Lens are a very strong home side and sides must play well to take anything from this game.

Paris Saint-Germain are capable of taking three points from this trip today but look likely to do anything but win the game after a bad run of form. Their last match saw them lose the "El Clasico" 3-0 at home to bitter rivals Olympique de Marseille; a result which caused their own fans to fight amongst themselves and which now means that Paris Saint-Germain will have no fans for their home game with Boulogne at the end of the month. Paris Saint-Germain's results in general of late have been poor with Paris Saint-Germain having lost 3-0 at home to Lorient, for example. The visitors have now lost five out of their last seven Ligue 1 games because they're conceding far too many goals and offer little in the way of attack so it's hard to see them doing damage against Lens today, particularly with their away record showing that they've already lost seven out of thirteen away games this season.

Although I consider Paris Saint-Germain to be some way better than Racing Club Lens, the fact remains that Paris Saint-Germain look anything but a threat today. They're poor on the road, they're conceding too many, and they're not scoring goals. Whereas I accept that a draw at Lens is a possibility, you have to feel that the drive hosts will take advantage of their fortress and secure three points today.

Verdict: Racing Club Lens to win at 5/4.

Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros - home win at 5/6.

Zalaegerszegi TE are one of those frustrating sides that are capable of consistently finishing where they are in the Soproni Liga currently - fifth - but let themselves down at key stages. However, home games don't tend to be where today's hosts struggle; the away games are their Achilles heel. ZTE have already won five out of seven home games this season and average scoring over two goals per home so they're a reliable force on their own turf. ZTE didn't play last week due to their game with Paksi SE being called off, which was fortunate as I envisioned them losing that game! ZTE now have the opportunity to start the second part of the Soproni Liga campaign at home and should make the most of that fact against a weak-travelling Ferencvaros.

Giants Ferencvaros have found life in the Soproni Liga much more challenging than when they were relegated from it for obvious reasons. They've taken points at home but they struggle massively on the road with five defeats in eight games, winning just once on the road all season. Ferencvaros are one of the lowest scoring sides in the division away from home with less than a goal scored per away game on average. Ferencvaros may have stumbled to a home win against Szombathelyi Haladas in their last match but it's going to take a monumental effort for them to take anything from this game and I frankly think it's a bridge too far for them currently so we should see a home win today.

Verdict: Zalaegerszegi TE to win at 5/6.

AS Roma vs AC Milan - away win at 21/10.

This is definitely my boldest and most stupid call of the day with both of these sides playing very well currently but it's one I like the look of.

AS Roma are unbeaten in an outstanding sixteen Serie A games now, a run which has seen them even begin to push Internazionale at the top of the table so credit must go to Ranieri and his stretched side for this achievement. However, they've lately suffered two embarrassing 3-2 defeats against Panathinaikos of Greece and it appears to have affected their play somewhat. AS Roma won unconvincingly at home to lowly Catania in between these two defeats and drew 2-2 at SSC Napoli following their exit from the UEFA Europa League. Whereas a draw at Napoli is certainly respectable in the current climate, I just think that AS Roma are looking a tad more suspect in defence and their confidence has definitely taken a knock. Roma have won more home games than any other Serie A side this season with eleven wins in thirteen games - which makes this call even bolder! - but all runs have to end sometime and Roma are looking like they're slowing down in my book.

Unfortunately, AC Milan don't have a good record in Rome with no wins here against Roma since 2005, which is a total of five visits, two resulting in draws and three in defeat. However, AC Milan's football since facing (and during!) their game with Manchester United has been superb and they've looked a real threat. I've not seen any side dominate a defensively-astute Bari side on their own turf so convincingly as AC Milan did lately and Ronaldinho looks to be on his way back to the top, which naturally inspires the ageing AC Milan side. They won at Fiorentina lately despite trailing for the majority of the game and won at home to local rivals Atalanta Bergamo 3-1 in their last Serie A game so AC Milan are strong mentally and have a good level of potency currently so they stand every chance of causing an upset tonight.

Both sides are missing some big players for this game but I believe AC Milan to have more strength in depth so should cope better with the proviso that both Ronaldinho and Pato start the game. Roma are missing Mexes, Toni, and Daniele De Rossi is a doubt for the game - three big blows for the Romans. AC Milan are missing Zambrotta, Onyewu, Gattuso, Antonini, and Thiago Silva, Seedorf, Flamini, and ex-Roma winger Mancini are all doubts. I can't see Leonardo not fielding Seedorf whether he's injured or not and the rest I don't class as big "missing" players for AC Milan, personally.

I expect a close game between two good sides in good form but I genuinely feel that AC Milan can do to AS Roma what AS Roma did to Juventus a few weeks ago by beating all the odds and overcoming their title rivals due to a strong surge of momentum. Either way, it should be one of the best games of the day to watch so I'd recommend watching regardless!

Verdict: AC Milan to win at 21/10.

Brescia vs Grosseto - home win at 5/6.

Brescia are ever-reliable at home which is why you see them featured on this blog so often! No side has won more home games than they have in Serie B this season although Empoli and Ancona can both match their home wins. Brescia have won ten out of fourteen home games, drawing twice and losing twice. They average scoring nearly two goals per home game and appear extremely serious about returning to Serie A after a lengthy absence, which makes a change from their usual haphazard Serie B campaign! You can tell when Brescia are serious because they start avoiding defeat on the road, something they've now done for their last four away games, winning twice and drawing twice. Brescia have won their last three games consecutively and have won their last five home games consecutively so momentum and confidence is through the roof currently. Brescia aren't the most potent of sides but frankly they don't have to be with their magical ability of winning games somewhat effortlessly.

Visitors Grosseto are a good side but they've got some way to go before they can even begin to match up to Brescia. They've only lost four out of thirteen away games in Serie B this season but tend to draw the majority as they've not yet mastered the ability to win on the road as they're simply not good enough to do so yet. I generally avoid betting against Grosseto if I can help it because they have a tendancy to be very resilient and potent but their crushing 4-0 defeat at home to Crotone last match should have damaged them immensely mentally and should leave them somewhat shellshocked ahead of their tough trip to Brescia today. Grosseto's away defeats in this division do tend to come against the better sides with their last two away defeats being against Lecce and Torino respectively so it's reasonable to expect Brescia to produce a similar display today to overcome their resilient visitors.

Verdict: Brescia to win at 5/6.

Monterrey vs Pachuca - home win at evens.

This game sees the clashing of two of Mexico's most potent sides currently. Only on-fire Guadalajara have scored more goals than Monterrey have in the Clausura so far with Monterrey averaging scoring over two goals per game. Monterrey have already won six out of their eight Clausura games, tasting defeat just once along the way. They've played four home games in the Clausura already and have won all of them convincingly, conceding just once along the way. Monterrey have won their last five games in all competitions consecutively so their confidence and potency is phenomenal at the moment. Monterrey are one of the favourites for this season's Clausua title and on this kind of form it's easy to see why that is.

Visitors Pachuca are considered by some to be dark horses in the Clausura and I can see why that might be. Pachuca also average scoring over two goals per game but have only won four out of eight games this season, losing three times. They've let themselves down lately with no wins in three games, losing their last two home games consecutively in convincing fashion and without scoring a goal. Interestingly enough, Pachuca have only lost one of their three away games this season so they're a tough nut to crack on the road as Puebla found when they lost 5-3 at home to Pachuca in a bizarre encounter. However, a crushing 3-0 defeat at home to Pumas UNAM last match should be enough to discourage Pachuca enough for them to become passengers in what is frankly a frightening fixture against a Monterrey side that nobody wants to face currently!

Monterrey have won this fixture for three seasons running now and have even beaten the -1.75 goal handicap in each game so it's worth taking a cheeky punt on the handicap, particularly with Monterrey looking so potent currently. Pachuca are in for a rough ride tonight and I can't see their defence or attack being strong enough to take anything from this game.

Verdict: Monterrey to win at evens.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla CF - lay Real Madrid at 2/1.

This is another bold call but you have to like it!

Real Madrid have won convincingly of late by scoreline but not by performance. You can only ask a side to score goals against the opponents that are in front of them - that's true - but I do feel that their results of late have flattered them. Real Madrid are relying far too much on individual ability rather than collective ability and that dominant reliance showed on their trip to Lyon lately where they were frankly outplayed and were fortunate to lose by a single goal only. Madrid scored five against Tenerife of late but frankly you'd expect them to do that. I was impressed by their 6-2 win against Villarreal but this is a Villarreal in a transition period with a new manager so again it's an accountable result. Real Madrid have won every home game in the Primera Liga so far this season so my hat goes off to them - they're the only side that can claim to have done that so far. They've average scoring over three goals per home game so it's a bold call indeed to go against them but that's what I intend to do!

So...why? Sevilla CF haven't being playing too well of late but I have to confess that I consider Sevilla CF to be the best away side in the Primera Liga. Why? Well, they're the only one that can change their style to counter their opponents which is why they've won more away games than they've lost this season. Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Valencia all have their own style of football but they're all somewhat one-dimensional in my opinion i.e. they don't have a Plan B. Sevilla CF do have a Plan B which is something I respect them a lot for. They've not played too well lately but their general football in a match is superb to watch and Sevilla CF tend to use it to their advantage too! Sevilla boast one of the best defensive records in the division away from home so Madrid have their work cut out tonight.

Madrid may be unbeaten at home but so were Mallorca until Sevilla visited! I appreciate that Madrid and Mallorca are worlds apart but my point is that Sevilla are more than capable of causing a real upset. Sevilla absolutely battered Madrid earlier this season in the reversal of this fixture and had it not been for a magnificent display from Iker Casillas then Madrid would have been beaten by at least four goals. Sevilla are a better team than Madrid, in my opinion, and I'm banking on that to count a lot tonight.

Irrespective of the form of either side, however, you have to feel that taking Sevilla not to lose any game at 2/1 bears a lot of value, really! This takes more of an interesting look when you consider that Sevilla have won on two of their last three visits here in epic encounters and furthers my point about them being a better team than Madrid. One thing is for sure - this will be another cracking game that is not to be missed!

Verdict: Lay Real Madrid at 2/1.

Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town - away win at 10/11.

Newtown have already lost five out of their ten home games in the Premier League this season so it's easy to see why they're lingering just outside of the relegation zone. They score a good level of goals but they concede far too many with just Caersws and today's opponents Aberystwyth Town having conceded more goals at home than they have. Newtown have only won once in their last four home games, losing twice and drawing once. Most worryingly for Newtown, however, must surely be the fact that they've only scored once during those four games. Their potency appears to have deserted them entirely of late and that has to be a concerning factor as they're hosting one of the best away sides in the Premier League currently, particularly as the visitors today are a better side than Newtown, frankly.

Aberystwyth Town have won more away games in the Premier League than any other Welsh side this season - which includes the big three of Llanelli, Rhyl, and The New Saints - so you can see how well the visitors today are doing. They've won eight out of twelve away games and average scoring approximately 1.5 goals per away game. Aberystywth have won their last three games consecutively (including a difficult trip to Neath Athletic) and generally play very well on the road. With momentum favouring them and their ability on the road growing with each game, it's hard to overlook the away win at generous odds for the better of these two sides today.

Verdict: Aberystwyth Town to win at 10/11.

Accumulator fodder:

Salzburg, Sturm Graz, Austria Vienna, Anderlecht, Lierse SK, Eupen, CSKA Sofia, Teplice, Arsenal, Manchester United, Newcastle United, Swindon Town, Charlton Athletic, Norwich City, Rochdale, Olympique Lyonnais, Bayern Munich, VFL Wolfsburg, Kaiserslautern, PAOK Salonika, Fehervar, Gyori ETO FC, Morelia, AZ Alkmaar, Heracles Almelo, Lech Poznan, Porto, Rangers, Deportivo La Coruna, Barcelona, Basel, Dynamo Kiev, Metalist Kharkiv, Club Nacional de Montevideo, Bangor City, Llanelli, and Rhyl.

Recommended bets:

Anderlecht, Manchester United, Olympique Lyonnais, VFL Wolfsburg, and PAOK Salonika at 5/1.

Arsenal, Newcastle United, Swindon Town, West Ham United, and Norwich City at 7/1.

Bangor City, Rhyl, Llanelli, and Aberystwyth Town at 5/1.

Aldershot Town, Rochdale, Rotherham United, and Heracles Almelo at 7/1.

Bayern Munich, Kaiserslautern, Brescia, and AZ Alkmaar at 5/1.

Slask Wroclaw, Lech Poznan, Ruch Chorzow, and Rangers at 5/1.

Deportivo La Coruna, Barcelona, Basel, Dynamo Kiev, and Metalist Kharkiv at 5/1.

Salzburg, Sturm Graz, Austria Vienna, Teplice, and Gyori ETO FC at 5/1.

Boca Juniors, Once Caldas Manizales, Club Nacional de Montevideo, and Monterrey at 10/1.

As ever, if there any questions/explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Boca Juniors vs Racing Club Avellaneda (7) 2-1
Lanus vs Estudiantes De La Plata (6) over 2.5 goals

Austrian Bundesliga:

Salzburg vs Wiener Neustadt (10) -1.75 handicap
Sturm Graz vs SV Ried (9) 3-1
Austria Vienna vs LASK Linz (9) over 3.5 goals
Austria Karnten vs SV Mattersburg (6) 0-0

Austrian Liga 1:

Admira Wacker vs Wacker Innsbruck (5)

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Charleroi vs Anderlecht (8) 1-2
Cercle Brugge vs Lokeren (7) 2-0

Belgian Tweede Klasse:

Brussels vs Tournai (6)
Lierse SK vs Ronse (8) over 2.5 goals
Eupen vs Boussu Dour Borinage (9)
Dender vs KVSK United (6) under 2.5 goals
Antwerp vs Tienen (6)
Red Star Waasland vs Turnhout (5)
Standaard Wetteren vs Beveren (4)

Bulgarian A PFG:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Chernomorets Burgas (6) 0-1
Beroe vs CSKA Sofia (8) 0-2

Colombian Primera A:

Independiente de Santa Fe Bogota vs Deportes Tolima (6) 2-1
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Junior Barranquilla (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Once Caldas Manizales vs Deportivo Cali (8) 2-0

Croatian Prva Liga:

Varteks Varazdin vs Istra 1961 (7) 2-0
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Zagreb (7) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Rijeka vs Cibalia Vinkovci (5) 2-1
Inter Zapresic vs Hajduk Split (7) 0-1
Slaven Koprivnica vs Sibenik (6) 1-0
Zadar vs Karlovac (7) 0-0
Croatia Sesvete vs Medimurje (6) 1-1
Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb (6) 1-2

Cypriot Division 1:

Aris Limassol vs A.E.Paphos (6) 1-1
Ermis vs Doxa (5) 1-0
APOP/Kinyras vs APEP (8) 2-1
Enosis Neon Paralimni vs Ethnikos Achnas (6) 0-0

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:

Teplice vs Bohemians Prague (8) 2-0
Slovacko vs Brno (6) 1-1
Slovan Liberec vs Viktoria Plzen (6) 1-0
Bohemians 1905 vs Sigma Olomouc (5) under 2.5 goals
Pribram vs Mlada Boleslav (6) 1-0

Danish Superligaen:

Midtylland vs OB Odense (7) 1-1

Ecuadorian Primera A:

Espoli Cayambe vs Macara Ambato (5) 1-1
Independiente vs Universidad Catolica (6) 0-0
Deportivo Quito vs Liga de Quito (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game

English Premier League:

Arsenal vs Burnley (10) -1.75 handicap
West Ham United vs Bolton Wanderers (8) 2-0
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United (8) 0-2

English Championship:

Blackpool vs Ipswich Town (5)
Bristol City vs Doncaster Rovers (6)
Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough (6)
Crystal Palace vs Sheffield United (6)
Derby County vs Watford (6)
Newcastle United vs Barnsley (8)
Nottingham Forest vs Swansea City (5)
Peterborough United vs Coventry City (6)
Plymouth Argyle vs Preston North End (5)
Queens Park Rangers vs West Bromwich Albion (6) over 2.5 goals
Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester City (6) under 2.5 goals

English League One:

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers (8) over 2.5 goals
Charlton Athletic vs Stockport County (8)
Exeter City vs Oldham Athletic (6)
Gillingham vs Huddersfield Town (5)
Hartlepool United v Southend United (6)
Leeds United vs Brentford (7) under 2.5 goals
Milton Keynes Dons vs Leyton Orient (7)
Norwich City vs Yeovil Town (8)
Tranmere Rovers vs Southampton (6)
Walsall vs Millwall (7)
Wycombe Wanderers vs Carlisle United (6)

English League Two:

Accrington Stanley vs Notts County (6)
Aldershot Town vs Burton Albion (8) over 2.5 goals
Bournemouth vs Morecambe (7) under 2.5 goals
Bury vs Dagenham & Redbridge (7)
Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield (5)
Crewe Alexandra vs Barnet (7)
Darlington vs Torquay United (7)
Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town (7)
Hereford United vs Macclesfield Town (6)
Port Vale vs Northampton Town (6)
Rochdale vs Lincoln City (8)
Rotherham United vs Bradford City (8)

English FA Cup:

Portsmouth vs Birmingham City (5) 1-0
Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur (6) 1-1

French Ligue 1:

Boulogne vs Olympique Lyonnais (9) -1.75 handicap
Stade Rennais vs AS Monaco (6) 2-1
OGC Nice vs AS Nancy-Lorraine (5) 1-0
Racing Club Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain (6) 2-1
Sochaux vs Toulouse (5) under 2.5 goals
Auxerre vs Valenciennes (7) 1-0
Saint-Etienne vs LOSC Lille (6) under 2.5 goals

German Bundesliga:

Koln vs Bayern Munich (8) under 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen vs VFB Stuttgart (6) 2-2
Hamburger SV vs Hertha BSC Berlin (7) under 2.5 goals
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Schalke 04 (6) 1-1
SC Freiburg vs Hannover 96 (6) over 2.5 goals
VFL Wolfsburg vs VFL Bochum (8) 2-0
BV09 Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Moenchengladbach (7) over 2.5 goals

German Bundesliga 2:

Energie Cottbus vs Alemannia Aachen (5)
Kaiserslautern vs FSV Frankfurt (8) under 2.5 goals

Greek Super League:

Kavala vs Aris Salonika (7) 1-1
PAOK Salonika vs Panthrakikos (10) -1.75 handicap
Larissa vs AEK Athens (5) 1-1

Greek B Ethniki:

Agrotikos Asteras vs Rhodos (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Paksi SE (5) 1-0
Diosgyori VTK vs Fehervar (8) 1-2
Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest (7) 1-1, at least one red card in this game
Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvaros (7) 2-1
Gyori ETO FC vs Vasas Budapest (8) over 2.5 goals
Kecskemeti TE vs Ujpest (7) 0-1

International Friendly:

Venezuela vs North Korea (6) 0-0

Irish Premier League:

Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers (6) 1-2

Italian Serie A:

Fiorentina vs Juventus (7) 1-1
AS Roma vs AC Milan (6) 1-2

Italian Serie B:

Crotone vs Albinoleffe (6)
Modena vs Ancona (5)
Cittadella vs Empoli (5)
Torino vs Frosinone (6)
Brescia vs Grosseto (8)
Mantova vs Lecce (7)
Gallipoli vs Padova (6)
Ascoli vs Salernitana (6)
Triestina vs Vicenza (5) under 2.5 goals

Japanese J-League:

Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata (5) 1-0
Jubilo Iwata vs Vegalta Sandai (7) 2-1
Tokyo vs Yokohama F Marinos (7) 1-1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse (6) over 2.5 goals
Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds (7) over 2.5 goals
Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata (6) 2-1
Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus (7) 2-0

Mexican Primera Division:

Monterrey vs Pachuca (7) over 2.5 goals
Jaguares vs Guadalajara (7) over 2.5 goals
Morelia vs Estudiantes Tecos (8) 2-0
San Luis vs Cruz Azul (6) 0-0
Atlas vs Toluca (5) 1-1

Dutch Eredivisie:

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen (8) 2-0
ADO Den Haag vs Vitesse Arnhem (6) 1-1
Heracles Almelo vs Willem II (8) 2-0
NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven (6) 0-1

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia Bialystok (7) 1-0
Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow (8) 2-0
Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warsaw (6) 1-1
Ruch Chorzow vs Zaglebie Lubin (8) 2-0

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Porto vs Olhanense (9) 2-0
Rio Ave vs Naval de Maio (5) 1-0
Vitoria Setubal vs Sporting Braga (6) 1-2

Romanian Liga:

Gloria Bistrita vs Astra Ploiesti (6) 1-0
Dinamo Bucharest vs Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt (8) 2-1

Scottish Premier League:

Hibs vs Kilmarnock (7) 2-0
Hamilton Academicals vs Aberdeen (6) 1-1
Rangers vs St.Mirren (9) 2-0
St.Johnstone vs Motherwell (6) 0-0

Serbian Super Liga:

Jagodina vs OFK Belgrade (7) 1-0
Partizan Belgrade vs Javor Ivanjica (9) 2-0
BSK Borca vs Borac Cacak (5) under 2.5 goals
Napredak vs Smederevo (6) 2-1
Cukaricki vs Hajduk Kula (6) 0-0
Metalac GM vs Vojvodina Novi Sad (6) 0-1
Spartak Subotica vs Mladi Radnik (7) 2-1

Slovakian Corgon Liga:

Nitra vs Senica (6) 1-0
Artmedia Petrzalka vs Ruzomberok (5) 0-0
Dubnica vs Spartak Trnava (5) 0-1
Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Slovan Bratislava (6) 1-1
DAC Dunajska Streda vs MSK Zilina (6) 1-2

Slovenian Prva Liga:

Rudar Velenje vs Celje (6) 2-1
Nafta Lendava vs Interblock Ljubljana (7) 2-0
Olimija Ljubljana vs Domzale (6) 0-0
Gorica vs Drava (5) 1-0
Maribor vs Koper (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game

Spanish Primera Liga:

Deportivo La Coruna vs Tenerife (8) 2-0
Almeria vs Barcelona (8) 1-2
Real Madrid vs Sevilla CF (5) 2-2

Spanish Segunda Liga:

Girona vs Huesca (6)
Las Palmas vs Cordoba (5)
Celta de Vigo vs Recreativo de Huelva (7) under 2.5 goals
Villarreal II vs Cartagena (6)
Castellon vs Real Union Club de Irun (5)

Swiss Super League:

Basel vs Grasshoppers Zurich (8) over 2.5 goals
Sion vs Bellinzona (7) 2-1

Swiss Challenge League:

Yverdon Sport vs Gossau (7)
Wohlen vs Locarno (7)
Servette vs Schaffhausen (6)

Turkish Super Lig:

Sivasspor vs Istanbul BB (6) 1-0
Kasimpasa vs Kayserispor (6) 1-2
Diyarbakirspor vs Bursaspor (7) 0-1
Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi (7) 2-1

Ukrainian Premier League:

Zorya Lugansk vs Karpaty Lviv (6) 1-1
Illichivets Mariupol vs Dynamo Kiev (8) 0-2
Metalist Kharkiv vs Zakarpattya Uzhhorod (8) 2-0

Uruguayan Primera Division:

Danubio vs Racing Club Montevideo (7) 2-0
Central Espanol vs Tacuarembo (6) 1-1
Rampla Juniors vs Liverpool Montevideo (5) 1-1
Club Nacional de Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers (8) over 2.5 goals

Venezuelan Primera Division:

Aragua vs Caracas (6) 1-1

Welsh Premier League:

Rhyl vs Neath Athletic (8) over 2.5 goals
Port Talbot Town vs Carmarthen Town (6) 2-1
Airbus vs Caersws (6) 2-0
Bangor City vs Welshpool Town (8) 2-0
Cefn Druids vs Llanelli (9) -1.75 handicap
Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town (7) 1-2
Porthmadog vs Haverfordwest County (6) 0-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!

We're better than Liverpoll

Who will win Serie A?

  • Internazionale (84%, 41 Votes)
  • AC Milan (10%, 5 Votes)
  • AS Roma (6%, 3 Votes)

Total Voters: 49

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The tips and hints given on this website are not to be taken as gospel. Everyone knows that there is never a dead certainty in this game and we cannot be held responsible for any money lost as a result of following anything written here.

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