Barcelona vs BATE Borisov

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Today’s secondary featured game is the UEFA Champions League game at the Nou Camp between Barcelona and BATE Borisov.

You know, a lot of people are jumping on BATE here and I just don’t understand why. I’m one of BATE’s biggest advocates on this stage but they’re going to have to play very, very well here to get a result against any Barcelona side.

Rumour has it that Barcelona will be resting a whole host of first-teamers and with the match against Real Madrid looming large at weekend, that wouldn’t really surprise anyone. However, this side has plenty of depth and although the likes of Messi and Iniesta can win you games, I still strongly believe in the strength of Barcelona as a unit. Barcelona play the same brand of football from their senior team to their youth teams and subsequently any emerging youngsters play the same way, which makes it easier for newbies to blend into the first-team.

Guardiola has already stated that he’ll be encouraging the kids that he does field to “show him what they can do”, basically. Barcelona have nothing to lose here and I don’t see them ever playing a defensive game because it’s just not their style. I expect them to attack with style and flair and ultimately score more than enough goals.

If Barcelona were fielding a lesser strength side against a BATE side not needing to win then I’d perhaps give it a miss. However, the fact remains that BATE have to win or they’ll even miss out on the UEFA Europa League, which would be a disastrous situation for the Belarusian giants. They’ll be forced out of their defensive game at somepoint and that’s where Barcelona can capitalise.

BATE are an experienced team with a good manager and will threaten from set pieces with their clear height advantage. However, Barcelona boast quicker players and a passing game that BATE don’t like to play against and I think that’ll give the hosts an even bigger advantage here.

Lastly, BATE have a couple of issues of their own ahead of this game. Not only is confidence low following a poor end to their Vysshaya Liga campaign (despite winning it!) and their poor 0-1 loss against Viktoria Plzen last time out. Additionally, star striker Rodionov is no longer available for them and that is a huge blow as they just don’t score many goals without him, as their record this season indicates. The set pieces of playmaker Renan, the pace of Kontsevoy, and the finesse of Kezman are threats but none of them concern me against a very mobile and energetic Barcelona side.

Maybe this will backfire but I think Barcelona to beat the -1.5 handicap at 4/5 is a steal here. All their kids will be eager to impress and they’ve got a slow side to impress against – a side that must attack them, too! I find this a very interesting game but Barcelona -1.5 appeals to me tonight.

P.S. Maybe rules have changed but I could have sworn that UEFA implemented a ruling that stated that each side must field “x” amount of players from their “A” list in each UEFA Champions League game to avoid sides complaining when suffering as a result of a rival facing a weakened side. I wonder if that still is the case? If so, tonight’s game could be very interesting indeed!

Verdict: Barcelona to beat the -1.5 handicap at 4/5.



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Tuesday’s Picks

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

UEFA Champions League:

Chelsea vs Valencia CF (4) 1-1
Racing Genk vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (7) 0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Arsenal (6) 1-1
Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Olympique de Marseille (4) 1-1
Porto vs Zenit St.Petersburg (5) 1-1
APOEL Nicosia vs Shakhtar Donetsk (6) 0-1
Barcelona vs BATE Borisov (8) 2-0
Viktoria Plzen vs AC Milan (6) 1-2

Argentinian Primera Division:

All Boys vs Argentinos Juniors (5) 1-0
Olimpo vs Estudiantes de la Plata (6) 1-1
Union de Santa Fe vs Atletico Lanus (6) 1-1
Racing Club Avellaneda vs Atletico Rafaela (7) 1-0

English Championship:

Barnsley vs Crystal Palace (6) over 2.5 goals

Enjoy your free betting tips!

AC Milan vs Barcelona

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Today’s secondary featured game is the heavyweight clash in Italy between AC Milan and Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League.

A lot of people are jumping all over AC Milan because the odds on them winning look long and I agree that for a side with as much quality as AC Milan have, they do look long to win this game. However, there’s a reason that they’re long to win this game and it’s because they’re facing what is unequivocally the best side in the world. I mentioned yesterday that I wouldn’t back Basel at Otelul because there were hardly any side in European competition that I’d take to win away from home at 4/5 but Barcelona are one that I would.

AC Milan have classy players and bags of experience – no questions asked. However, they’re a bit predictable for my liking and vulnerable at the back when the correct pressure is applied and I expect it to be applied correctly here. AC Milan have the likes of Pato back to boost their attacking options and they’re no mugs; let’s be quite realistic about that! However, are they really in a position to stop the mighty Barcelona? I’m not sure anyone is, to be honest.

Ok, Barcelona aren’t firing on all cylinders yet but seriously – which side would match them as they are now? Their “below-par” displays are on a par or above the best displays of most sides, to be honest! They miss Iniesta here, which is of course a huge blow, but they’ve not got a bad replacement in Fabregas!! Messi, Villa, Fabregas, Xavi – it’s more than enough to cause a truckload of problems for the hosts. Barcelona move the ball so superbly that it’s hard to do anything but lose against them – what can you do without the ball?

AC Milan upset the odds to get a result at Barcelona earlier in this competition. They took their chance well but realistically, they saw very little of the ball and were largely outplayed. Respect to the Italians for getting a result where few others sides can but let’s be honest and admit that they needed a lot of luck on the night. Will they have that luck again? It’s not impossible but Barcelona are a nightmare to face as you don’t have the ball most of the time and with the firepower at their disposal, the away win interests me at 4/5.

Verdict: Barcelona to win at 4/5.



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Wednesday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, please find my value tips listed below in no particular order:

BATE Borisov vs Viktoria Plzen – home win at evens.

I like this one a lot! BATE Borisov finally get the chance to showcase how good they actually are at this level against an inexperienced opponent. Viktoria Plzen work hard and do have attacking threats but they’re weak at the back and their inexperience has shown in this competition. They’ve already been to the San Siro and the Nou Camp, Viktoria Plzen, but this is a whole new type of test for them. Instead of hordes of expectant fans, they face a dour trip to a cold, rainy, and unfriendly Minsk stadium where they face a big, strong, physical BATE Borisov side. It’s not appealing, is it? Plzen’s game will be affected by the soggy pitch whereas BATE have no problem playing the long ball or set pieces game – they’ve got lots of big players and a superb deliverer of the ball in Renan Bressan. Kezman is a doubt for this one but BATE are more than good enough and experienced enough to win this one in a composed fashion. Don’t rule out the visitors scoring – that’s their main strength, after all – but to see them do anything but losing this game would surprise me. BATE at evens appeals to me tonight.

Verdict: BATE Borisov to win at evens.

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

UEFA Champions League:

Zenit St.Petersburg vs APOEL Nicosia (6) 1-0
BATE Borisov vs Viktoria Plzen (7) 2-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Chelsea (5) 1-1
Valencia CF vs Racing Genk (8) over 2.5 goals
Olympique de Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus (6) 1-0
Arsenal vs Bv09 Borussia Dortmund (7) 2-0
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Porto (7) 2-1
AC Milan vs Barcelona (7) over 2.5 goals

Copa Sudamericana:

Vasco da Gama vs Universidad de Chile (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game

Colombian Primera A:

Once Caldas Manizales vs Itagui Ditaires (7) 2-1
Cucuta Deportivo vs Independiente Medellin (5) 1-1
Atletico Huila vs Boyaca Chico (6) 0-0
Atletico Junior Barranquilla vs Deportivo Cali (7) 2-1
Independiente de Santa Fe Bogota vs Millonarios Bogota (6) 1-0, at least one red card in this game
America de Cali vs Real Cartagena (5) 0-0
La Equidad Bogota v Deportes Tolima (6) 1-1
Envigado vs Deportes Quindio (6) 2-1
Atletico Nacional de Medellin vs Deportivo Pereira (7) 2-1

Ecuadorian Primera A:

Imbabura vs Manta (5) 0-0
Emelec Guayaquil vs El Nacional Quito (7) 2-0
Olmedo Riobamba vs Barcelona Guayaquil (5) 2-1
Deportivo Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca (7) 2-0
LDU Loja vs Espoli Cayambe (6) 1-0

Greek Super League:

AEK Athens vs Levadiakos (7) 2-0

Macedonian First League:

Napredok vs Shkendija 79 (6) 0-1
Rabotnicki Skopje vs Metalurg Skopje (7) 1-2, at least one red card in this game

Paraguayan Division Profesional:

Tacuary vs Cerro Porteno (5) 0-0
3 de Febrero vs Libertad Asuncion (6) 0-1

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin (7) 2-1

Scottish Premier League:

Celtic vs Dunfermline Athletic (8) 2-0

Singaporean S-League:

Tampines Rovers vs Home United (6) 2-1

Slovakian Cogron Liga:

Trencin vs MSK Zilina (7) 1-2
Senica vs Spartak Trnava (6) 1-0

Slovenian Prva Liga:

Triglav vs Nafta Lendava (6) 1-2
Mura 05 vs Koper (5) 1-1
Rudar Velenje vs Domzale (6) 2-1
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje (7) 1-0
Maribor vs Gorica (7) over 2.5 goals

Enjoy your free betting tips!