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LOSC Lille vs Dijon FCO

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Today’s secondary featured game is the Ligue 1 game between reigning champions LOSC Lille and newly-promoted Dijon FCO.

Hosts Lille enter this game on the back of a disappointing 0-0 draw with Turkish outfit Trabzonspor in the UEFA Champions League, a result which has condemned them to an early exit. Not only that but a 1-2 win for CSKA Moscow at the San Siro against Internazionale means that Lille won’t even be playing UEFA Europa League football next year so disappointment is rife in the Lille camp.

That said, I fancy them to do well here. They’ve been somewhat distracted so far this season by the UEFA Champions League but that won’t be a problem anymore. Instead, they can focus solely on Ligue 1 and that should benefit them as they don’t have a great amount of depth in their ranks. What they do have, however, is one of the strongest midfields in the country, in my view. Wonderkid Hazard and skilful Joe Cole are not easy to handle at the best of times but when they’re feeding the likes of Sow up front, you generally feel that Lille have what it takes to win heavily. Their defence does concern me, I must confess, but they tend to play enough attacking football to score goals and win games when they focus on it and I think they’ll do that today. After all, they’ve beaten the -1.5 handicap in all but one of their home wins this season and that was against title rivals Olympique de Marseille in a 3-2 win.

It aids my cause that Dijon are a pretty poor side, in all honesty. If you’re conceding an average of nearly two goals per game in a league predominantly filled with average strikers then you’re going to struggle to avoid the drop and that’s the position Dijon find themselves in now. Indeed, they’ve already lost five on the road this season and average conceding over two goals per away game so the future could be better for them! This side has strung together a few good results of late and they do bring momentum into this game as a result but do they realistically have enough to avoid defeat here? Not in my view.

If Lille show up then they should score at least two or three goals in this one. They should bring too much to this game for Dijon to deal with and thus the -1.5 handicap appeals to me at evens, especially as Dijon find it hard to create chances and score goals.

Verdict: LOSC Lille to beat the -1.5 handicap at evens.



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Sunday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, please find my value tips listed below in no particular order:

Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL Nicosia - away win with draw no bet at 9/10.

It’s a big derby so let’s use the usual caution here, guys. However, I have to admit that I love the bet because APOEL are some distance ahead of Omonia right now, not that the league table shows it.

Omonia’s apparent financial issues are not helping and nor are the referees. If we are to believe locals of the country then the federation tends to favour APOEL over Omonia and that includes the referees. There are lots of clubs in Cyprus with financial difficulties right now but APOEL aren’t one of them. Fixtures tend to fall kindly for them and you have to feel that they’ll have an “upper hand” here that isn’t really on the field.

Additionally, you could see how much APOEL’s minds were on this game during their defeat against Shakhtar Donetsk earlier this week in the UEFA Champions League. This game means a lot to both clubs but Omonia are a little weaker and their defence has been breached a little too easily of late for my liking. I think APOEL can win this one and I think it’ll take Omonia producing a better display in this game than they have in recent weeks to upset the apple cart, ergo my call is the away win with draw no bet cover at 9/10.

Verdict: APOEL Nicosia to win with draw no bet at 9/10.

Stoke City vs Tottenham Hotspur - away win at 11/10.

I hate going against Stoke at home but Spurs are absolutely on-fire right now and the news that Manchester United have lost defensive lynchpin Vidic for the season must give the visitors renewed hope of finishing in the top four this season. Don’t get me wrong – I don’t think that they will – but confidence plays a big part in this game and Spurs may well look to utilise that today.

Quality-wise, Spurs are the better side here, of course. I don’t think I’ve ever see a side do as well as Stoke are with such a barren central midfield but that speaks volumes for the quality of boss Tony Pulis. They’ve got good strikers and good defenders and on their tight pitch in front of vociferous fans, you must always take the Potters seriously, in my view.

That said, Spurs are playing so well that I have to take them here. There are some very good players in this side and I’m sure you don’t need me to point out who they are. The issues with Modric are long forgotten and Spurs look a galvanised unit once more with even quality players like Defoe struggling to break into the team, which tells you how well they’re playing. Even more impressively, they’re winning away from home without playing as well as they have at home. That was a big factor in their failure last season to finish as highly as they’d have liked but they appear to be doing a lot better in their away games this season, enough so for me to take them seriously here. You have to either play fantastically well or work very hard to win at Stoke and I think Spurs have enough of both to do it right now, especially with Stoke’s packed fixture list likely to take its toll in games like these.

For me, Spurs winning this one is worth a shot at 11/10 although I’d leave it if the odds drop.

Verdict: Tottenham Hotspur to win at 11/10.

Accumulator fodder:

Boca Juniors, LOSC Lille, Bv09 Borussia Dortmund, Bayern Munich, Olympiakos Piraeus, Vardar Skopje, Shkendija 79, AFC Ajax Amsterdam, Cerro Porteno, Athletic Club de Bilbao, Shakhtar Donetsk.

Recommended bets:

LOSC Lille -1.5, Athletic Club de Bilbao, and Bv09 Borussia Dortmund at around 2/1.

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

FIFA World Club Cup:

ES Tunis vs Al Sadd (5) 1-0
Kashiwa Reysol vs Monterrey (6) 0-0

Argentinian Primera Division:

Argentinos Juniors vs Olimpo (7) 1-0
Belgrano de Cordoba vs Arsenal de SarandI (5) 1-1
Estudiantes de la Plata vs Union de Santa Fe (6) 1-0
Boca Juniors vs All Boys (8) 2-0

Australian A-League:

Gold Coast United vs Sydney FC (6) 0-0

Austrian Bundesliga:

Salzburg vs Admira Wacker (6) 1-0

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden (7) over 2.5 goals

Chilean Primera Division:

Cobreloa vs Union La Calera (6) 1-0
Universidad de Chile vs Union Espanola (4) 1-1

Cypriot Division 1:

Omonia Nicosia vs APOEL Nicosia (6) 0-1, at least one red card in this game
Aris Limassol vs Nea Salamis (6) 2-1
Ermis vs Olympiakos Nicosia (5) 1-2

Ecuadorian Primera A:

El Nacional Quito vs Liga de Quito (5) 2-1
Emelec Guayaquil vs Deportivo Quito (6) 1-1

English Premier League:

Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers (6) 2-1
Stoke City vs Tottenham Hotspur (6) 1-2

French Ligue 1:

Auxerre vs OGC Nice (7) 1-0
LOSC Lille vs Dijon FCO (8) 2-0
Lorient vs Olympique Lyonnais (5) 1-1

German Bundesliga:

Bv09 Borussia Dortmund vs Kaiserslautern (8) 2-0
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich (8) over 2.5 goals

Greek Super League:

Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Salonika (6) 1-1
Panaitolikos vs OFI Crete (5) 0-0
Panionios vs Panathinaikos (6) 1-2
Ergotelis vs Doxa Dramas (7) 2-0
Kerkyra vs Olympiakos Piraeus (8) 0-2

Italian Serie A:

Atalanta Bergamo vs Catania (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Bologna vs AC Milan (7) over 2.5 goals
Cagliari vs Parma (6) 1-0
Udinese vs Chievo Verona (7) 1-0
Novara vs SSC Napoli (4) 2-2

Macedonian First League:

Shkendija 79 vs Sileks Kratovo (8) 2-0
Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Stip (8) 2-0

Dutch Eredivisie:

VVV Venlo vs Roda JC Kerkrade (5) 1-1
FC Utrecht vs Feyenoord Rotterdam (5) over 2.5 goals
RKC Waalwijk vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam (8) over 2.5 goals
Vitesse Arnhem vs Groningen (7) 2-0

Mexican Primera Division:

Tigres UANL vs Santos Laguna (4) 1-1

Paraguayan Division Profesional:

Independiente FBC vs 3 de Febrero (5) 1-1
Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero (8) 2-0
Sportivo Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion (7) 1-2
Tacuary vs Olimpia Asuncion (7) 0-1

Peruvian Primera Division:

Alianza Lima vs Juan Aurich (7) 1-0

Polish Ekstraklasa:

LKS Lodz vs Slask Wroclaw (5) 0-1
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia Bialystok (7) 1-0

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Rio Ave vs Gil Vicente (6) 1-0
Vitoria Setubal vs Feirense (7) 1-0
Uniao de Leiria vs Vitoria Guimaraes (6) 1-1
Maritimo Funchal vs SL Benfica (7) 1-2

Romanian Liga:

Sportul Studentesc vs Petrolul Ploiesti (6) 2-1
Mioveni vs Vointa Sibiu (6) 1-0
Otelul Galati vs Rapid Bucharest (5) 1-1
Astra Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest (5) 1-2

Spanish Primera Liga:

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Sporting Gijon (4) 1-2
Getafe vs Granada (7) 2-1
Villarreal CF vs Real Sociedad (5) 1-0
Real Zaragoza vs Real Mallorca (6) 1-0
Malaga vs Osasuna (7) 2-0
Athletic Club de Bilbao vs Racing Santander (8) 2-0
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid (4) 1-1

Spanish Segunda Liga:

Hercules Alicante vs Real Valladolid (6) over 2.5 goals
Guadalajara vs Real Murcia (6)

Swiss Super League:

Lausanne Sports vs Grasshopper Zurich (5) 1-1
Luzern vs Servette (7) 2-0
Neuchatel Xamax vs Basel (6) 1-2

Swiss Challenge League:

Bellinzona vs St.Gallen (6)
Lugano vs Vaduz (6)
Wil vs Biel-Bienne (5)
Aarau vs SC Kriens (7)

Turkish Super Lig:

Antalyaspor vs Ankaragucu (7) 1-0
Genclerbirligi vs Orduspor (6) 2-1
Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Samsunspor (5) 2-2
Besiktas JK vs Istanbul BB (7) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Trabzonspor vs Galatasaray (6) 0-0

Ukrainian Premier League:

Metalurg Donetsk vs Zorya Lugansk (7) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Volyn Lutsk vs Illichivets Mariupol (5) 1-0
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih vs Shakhtar Donetsk (8) 0-2

Enjoy your free betting tips!

Brest vs Vannes OC

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Today’s featured games is the Ligue 2 encounter between Brest and Vannes OC. The hosts have been very impressive in Ligue 2 this year and currently find themselves in fourth place in the table. They’ve won three of their last five games and are unbeaten on that particular run. The main reason for their success has been their consistent home form which has seen them yield five wins from seven games, drawing once and losing just once. Brest are looking twice the side that they were last year and look one of the harder sides to beat currently. Vannes OC, by contrast, are not having a good season. They’re currently thirteenth in the Ligue 2 table with one win and four defeats from their last five games, which isn’t good enough. Whereas their away record isn’t exactly the worst in the league, it’s still poor with three defeats, two draws, and one defeat from their six away games played this year. Vannes OC basically are not looking good enough to take anything from this game so I’m going to call a home win at bargain odds of 5/6 for a very much in-form and reliable Brest.

Friday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Brest vs Vannes OC – home win at 5/6 – see introduction for full details.

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense – home win at 11/10. I don’t know what it is about Chilean sides playing Brazilian sides but they seem to have more success in stopping their Brazilian counterparts playing football much better than any other South American nation does. Perhaps it’s their dogged style of football that really gets to the Brazilians – I’m not sure. This point was illustrated in the first leg of this game as Universidad de Chile drew 2-2 in Brazil against Fluminense. Universidad de Chile are one of the more experienced continental sides in South America, I think it’s fair to say, and stand a great chance of progressing to the Copa Nissan Sudamericana here tonight against a Fluminense side more focal upon avoiding relegation from Serie A. The hosts have a good enough squad to win this game and the home advantage against a potentially distracted Fluminense makes the home win at 11/10 look a good call tonight.

Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld – home win at evens. Copa Libertadores reigning champions Liga de Quito tonight host Velez Sarsfeld in the Copa Nissan Sudamericana quarter-final game. An impressive 1-1 draw in Argentina in the first leg leaves the Ecuadorians with the edge as the Argentinians vist their lofty fortress in Quito. Many sides have travelled here and failed so it will take a mighty display from Velez Sarsfeld to avoid falling to a similar fate. What convinces me of this outcome is not only that this is a nightmarish away game for any side and that Velez Sarsfeld have to come here and attack to have a chance of success but also that Velez Sarsfeld’s performances of late have been inconsistent at best. For instance – they’ve beaten lowly Godoy Cruz de Mendoza and newly-promoted Atletico Tucuman but have also lost at home to Newell’s Old Boys. When travelling to a good home side like Liga de Quito, you really need to be at your best. Basically, I don’t think Velez Sarsfeld are currently in a position to get a result here so I think the home win at evens for the Ecuadorians looks a good bet tonight.

Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz – away win at 15/8. I can’t quite fathom why these odds are so long! Visitors Metz are not the best travellers in Ligue 2 – far from it. However, they remain one of the best sides in the division, regardless of that point. Aside from that, Metz have really entered their stride lately with four wins from their last five games. If this statistic isn’t impressive enough for you then consider that all of the sides they have beaten/drawn with in those five games either are a very good side or showed that they can be a very good side last season. Metz have lately won away to Chateauroux and drew away to high-flying Nantes whilst beating Guingamp, Laval, and Strasbourg at home. This list of sides is very impressive, in my humble opinion, and a weak Sedan-Ardennes shouldn’t really pose a great threat here tonight, despite having a decent home record. Sedan-Ardennes have lost three of their last five games, including two embarassing defeats to Nimes and Istres. Therefore, to be frank, the away win at 15/8 could turn out to be a real bargain tonight.

Arles vs Le Havre – away win at 13/8. Although currently unbeaten at home in Ligue 2 this year, hosts Arles will face one of their toughest tests yet as they host a very much in-form Le Havre. The visitors have won three of their last five games, losing just once. Their most recent victory was a monday night 4-0 demolition of promotion rivals Nantes, which will have inspired Le Havre greatly. Arles are doing well with keeping sides out but that record simply has to end soon enough because Arles are punching above their weight. Visitors Le Havre certainly have a classier side and look far more capable of winning this game than the hosts do. For me, the away win at 13/8 could prove to be a great bet tonight, particularly as Le Havre have already won three from seven away games this season, losing just once along the way.

Empoli vs Reggina – home win at evens. Anyone who reads this blog knows that I love my Serie B home wins and Empoli are amongst my favourite sides to back for it, too! Although atrocious away from home, Empoli become a very different side when playing on their own turf as five wins from six home games indicates. Some poor form lately has cast a few doubts in my mind over the reliability of Empoli but they’re hosting a Reggina side tonight that have lost four of their last five games and look destined to fail in this division despite having only joined Serie B from Serie A this year. Comparing Empoli’s superb home record with an average of nearly three goals scored per home game to Reggina’s away record of four defeats from six away games, conceding nearly two goals per away game, you have to feel that there’s potentially a great deal of value in the home win at evens!

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo – away win at 9/5. I never thought I’d see the day that I backed Heracles Almelo to win an away game but here we are! Visitors Heracles Almelo are playing some of the best football that they’ve ever played, in my humble opinion, and have well-earned their current Eredivisie placing of sixth. They’ve won four of their last five games but their most impressive feature is the fact that they’ve won four from six away games this year with only FC Twente Enschede having won more away games this year. Heracles Almelo’s strength isn’t goalscoring; it’s keeping sides out. They’ve conceded just one goal away from home in six games this year, which is pretty damn impressive! Although I formerly rated Groningen as the better of these two sides, statistics for this year show otherwise in a big way. The hosts have lost so many home games that only bottom-placed RKC Waalwijk have lost more home games than they have. Groningen have lost four of their six home games this season and scored a feeble two goals. Considering the lax attack of Groningen and the watertight defence of Heracles Almelo makes me think an away win is very likely here, particularly with the sharp contrast in momentum and ability at the moment, particularly as Groningen are without a win in their past four games and have lost their last two consecutively. For me, there’s potentially some serious value in the away win at 9/5.

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce – home win at evens. Many people have dubbed Lechia Gdansk’s start to this Ekstraklasa campaign as “fortunate”; maybe they’re right. However, fortune has no place in what will surely be a home win against a weak, newly-promoted Korona Kielce as the visitors have now lost four games in a row. Korona Kielce looked to be playing ok but all of a sudden they’ve completely capitulated and the result is a sharp descent down the Ekstraklasa. The visitors have lost four from five away games in the Ekstraklasa this season and Lechia Gdansk are well-placed to take advantage of that fact. The hosts may have a somewhat impassive home record this year but they’re resilient, experienced in the Ekstraklasa dogfight and won their last game to give them momentum as they enter this game. With all of the above in mind, the home win at evens could be a real bargain today.

As ever, if there are any questions/explanations required then feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Copa Nissan Sudamericana:

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense (7) under 2.5 goals
Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld (7) under 2.5 goals

Argentinian Primera Division:

Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central (5) 1-1
Independiente vs Gimnasia De La Plata (7) 2-0

Australian A-League:

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar (7) 2-1

Austrian Liga 1:

Austria Vienna II vs Wacker Innsbruck (8)
SCR Altach vs Gratkorn (8)
Hartberg vs Admira Wacker (8)
Lustenau vs Salzburg II (6)
First Vienna vs Dornbirn (5) over 2.5 goals

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Charleroi vs AA Gent (6) 1-2

Bulgarian A PFG:

Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Montana (7) 1-0

Danish 1st Division:

Viborg vs Skive (8)

English Championship:

Derby County vs Coventry City (4) draw no bet

English FA Cup:

Bristol Rovers vs Southampton (6) 1-1
Notts County vs Bradford City (8) 2-0
Huddersfield Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge (6) 2-1

French Ligue 2:

AC Ajaccio vs Dijon FCO (6)
Angers SCO vs Bastia (6)
Brest vs Vannes OC (8)
Clermont Foot vs Nimes (7)
Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz (6)
Strasbourg vs Istres (6)
Arles vs Le Havre (6)
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Tours (8)
Chateauroux vs Laval (6)

German Bundesliga:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt (8) 3-1

German Bundesliga 2:

Kaiserslautern vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen (7)
St.Pauli vs Fortuna Dusseldorf (7)
Paderborn vs Koblenz (6)

Greek B Ethniki:

Ilioupoli vs Ethnikos Asteras (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Ujpest vs Fehervar (6) 1-1

Italian Serie B:

Empoli vs Reggina (7)

Dutch Eredivisie:

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo (7) 0-1

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior (7) over 2.5 goals
AGOVV Appeldoorn vs Volendam (6)
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht ’90 (6)
Eindhoven vs Veendam (7)
Fortuna Sittard vs RBC Roosendaal (7)
Go Ahead Eagles vs Haarlem (8)
Helmond Sport vs Top Oss (6)
MVV Maastricht vs Omniworld (8)
Stormvogels Telstar vs Zwolle (7)

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Odra Wodzislaw vs Zaglebie Lubin (5) 1-1
Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce (8) 1-0
Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warsaw (7) 2-1

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Belenenses vs Pacos de Ferreira (6) under 2.5 goals

Romanian Liga:

Pandurii Targu Jiu vs Gloria Bistrita (7) 2-0
International vs Universitatea Craiova (8) 1-1

Singaporean S-League:

Sengkang Punggol vs Woodlands (5) 1-1

Turkish Super Lig:

Bursaspor vs Genclerbirligi (8) 2-0

Welsh Premier League:

Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town (7) 2-1
Airbus vs Connah’s Quay Nomads (6) 1-0
Haverfordwest County vs Neath Athletic (6) 1-1
Prestatyn Town vs Newtown (7) 2-1
The New Saints vs Newi Cefn Druids (8) 2-0

Enjoy your free betting tips!