Brest vs Vannes OC

Today’s featured games is the Ligue 2 encounter between Brest and Vannes OC. The hosts have been very impressive in Ligue 2 this year and currently find themselves in fourth place in the table. They’ve won three of their last five games and are unbeaten on that particular run. The main reason for their success has been their consistent home form which has seen them yield five wins from seven games, drawing once and losing just once. Brest are looking twice the side that they were last year and look one of the harder sides to beat currently. Vannes OC, by contrast, are not having a good season. They’re currently thirteenth in the Ligue 2 table with one win and four defeats from their last five games, which isn’t good enough. Whereas their away record isn’t exactly the worst in the league, it’s still poor with three defeats, two draws, and one defeat from their six away games played this year. Vannes OC basically are not looking good enough to take anything from this game so I’m going to call a home win at bargain odds of 5/6 for a very much in-form and reliable Brest.

Friday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Brest vs Vannes OC – home win at 5/6 – see introduction for full details.

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense – home win at 11/10. I don’t know what it is about Chilean sides playing Brazilian sides but they seem to have more success in stopping their Brazilian counterparts playing football much better than any other South American nation does. Perhaps it’s their dogged style of football that really gets to the Brazilians – I’m not sure. This point was illustrated in the first leg of this game as Universidad de Chile drew 2-2 in Brazil against Fluminense. Universidad de Chile are one of the more experienced continental sides in South America, I think it’s fair to say, and stand a great chance of progressing to the Copa Nissan Sudamericana here tonight against a Fluminense side more focal upon avoiding relegation from Serie A. The hosts have a good enough squad to win this game and the home advantage against a potentially distracted Fluminense makes the home win at 11/10 look a good call tonight.

Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld – home win at evens. Copa Libertadores reigning champions Liga de Quito tonight host Velez Sarsfeld in the Copa Nissan Sudamericana quarter-final game. An impressive 1-1 draw in Argentina in the first leg leaves the Ecuadorians with the edge as the Argentinians vist their lofty fortress in Quito. Many sides have travelled here and failed so it will take a mighty display from Velez Sarsfeld to avoid falling to a similar fate. What convinces me of this outcome is not only that this is a nightmarish away game for any side and that Velez Sarsfeld have to come here and attack to have a chance of success but also that Velez Sarsfeld’s performances of late have been inconsistent at best. For instance – they’ve beaten lowly Godoy Cruz de Mendoza and newly-promoted Atletico Tucuman but have also lost at home to Newell’s Old Boys. When travelling to a good home side like Liga de Quito, you really need to be at your best. Basically, I don’t think Velez Sarsfeld are currently in a position to get a result here so I think the home win at evens for the Ecuadorians looks a good bet tonight.

Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz – away win at 15/8. I can’t quite fathom why these odds are so long! Visitors Metz are not the best travellers in Ligue 2 – far from it. However, they remain one of the best sides in the division, regardless of that point. Aside from that, Metz have really entered their stride lately with four wins from their last five games. If this statistic isn’t impressive enough for you then consider that all of the sides they have beaten/drawn with in those five games either are a very good side or showed that they can be a very good side last season. Metz have lately won away to Chateauroux and drew away to high-flying Nantes whilst beating Guingamp, Laval, and Strasbourg at home. This list of sides is very impressive, in my humble opinion, and a weak Sedan-Ardennes shouldn’t really pose a great threat here tonight, despite having a decent home record. Sedan-Ardennes have lost three of their last five games, including two embarassing defeats to Nimes and Istres. Therefore, to be frank, the away win at 15/8 could turn out to be a real bargain tonight.

Arles vs Le Havre – away win at 13/8. Although currently unbeaten at home in Ligue 2 this year, hosts Arles will face one of their toughest tests yet as they host a very much in-form Le Havre. The visitors have won three of their last five games, losing just once. Their most recent victory was a monday night 4-0 demolition of promotion rivals Nantes, which will have inspired Le Havre greatly. Arles are doing well with keeping sides out but that record simply has to end soon enough because Arles are punching above their weight. Visitors Le Havre certainly have a classier side and look far more capable of winning this game than the hosts do. For me, the away win at 13/8 could prove to be a great bet tonight, particularly as Le Havre have already won three from seven away games this season, losing just once along the way.

Empoli vs Reggina – home win at evens. Anyone who reads this blog knows that I love my Serie B home wins and Empoli are amongst my favourite sides to back for it, too! Although atrocious away from home, Empoli become a very different side when playing on their own turf as five wins from six home games indicates. Some poor form lately has cast a few doubts in my mind over the reliability of Empoli but they’re hosting a Reggina side tonight that have lost four of their last five games and look destined to fail in this division despite having only joined Serie B from Serie A this year. Comparing Empoli’s superb home record with an average of nearly three goals scored per home game to Reggina’s away record of four defeats from six away games, conceding nearly two goals per away game, you have to feel that there’s potentially a great deal of value in the home win at evens!

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo – away win at 9/5. I never thought I’d see the day that I backed Heracles Almelo to win an away game but here we are! Visitors Heracles Almelo are playing some of the best football that they’ve ever played, in my humble opinion, and have well-earned their current Eredivisie placing of sixth. They’ve won four of their last five games but their most impressive feature is the fact that they’ve won four from six away games this year with only FC Twente Enschede having won more away games this year. Heracles Almelo’s strength isn’t goalscoring; it’s keeping sides out. They’ve conceded just one goal away from home in six games this year, which is pretty damn impressive! Although I formerly rated Groningen as the better of these two sides, statistics for this year show otherwise in a big way. The hosts have lost so many home games that only bottom-placed RKC Waalwijk have lost more home games than they have. Groningen have lost four of their six home games this season and scored a feeble two goals. Considering the lax attack of Groningen and the watertight defence of Heracles Almelo makes me think an away win is very likely here, particularly with the sharp contrast in momentum and ability at the moment, particularly as Groningen are without a win in their past four games and have lost their last two consecutively. For me, there’s potentially some serious value in the away win at 9/5.

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce – home win at evens. Many people have dubbed Lechia Gdansk’s start to this Ekstraklasa campaign as “fortunate”; maybe they’re right. However, fortune has no place in what will surely be a home win against a weak, newly-promoted Korona Kielce as the visitors have now lost four games in a row. Korona Kielce looked to be playing ok but all of a sudden they’ve completely capitulated and the result is a sharp descent down the Ekstraklasa. The visitors have lost four from five away games in the Ekstraklasa this season and Lechia Gdansk are well-placed to take advantage of that fact. The hosts may have a somewhat impassive home record this year but they’re resilient, experienced in the Ekstraklasa dogfight and won their last game to give them momentum as they enter this game. With all of the above in mind, the home win at evens could be a real bargain today.

As ever, if there are any questions/explanations required then feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Copa Nissan Sudamericana:

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense (7) under 2.5 goals
Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld (7) under 2.5 goals

Argentinian Primera Division:

Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central (5) 1-1
Independiente vs Gimnasia De La Plata (7) 2-0

Australian A-League:

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar (7) 2-1

Austrian Liga 1:

Austria Vienna II vs Wacker Innsbruck (8)
SCR Altach vs Gratkorn (8)
Hartberg vs Admira Wacker (8)
Lustenau vs Salzburg II (6)
First Vienna vs Dornbirn (5) over 2.5 goals

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Charleroi vs AA Gent (6) 1-2

Bulgarian A PFG:

Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Montana (7) 1-0

Danish 1st Division:

Viborg vs Skive (8)

English Championship:

Derby County vs Coventry City (4) draw no bet

English FA Cup:

Bristol Rovers vs Southampton (6) 1-1
Notts County vs Bradford City (8) 2-0
Huddersfield Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge (6) 2-1

French Ligue 2:

AC Ajaccio vs Dijon FCO (6)
Angers SCO vs Bastia (6)
Brest vs Vannes OC (8)
Clermont Foot vs Nimes (7)
Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz (6)
Strasbourg vs Istres (6)
Arles vs Le Havre (6)
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Tours (8)
Chateauroux vs Laval (6)

German Bundesliga:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt (8) 3-1

German Bundesliga 2:

Kaiserslautern vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen (7)
St.Pauli vs Fortuna Dusseldorf (7)
Paderborn vs Koblenz (6)

Greek B Ethniki:

Ilioupoli vs Ethnikos Asteras (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Ujpest vs Fehervar (6) 1-1

Italian Serie B:

Empoli vs Reggina (7)

Dutch Eredivisie:

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo (7) 0-1

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior (7) over 2.5 goals
AGOVV Appeldoorn vs Volendam (6)
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht ’90 (6)
Eindhoven vs Veendam (7)
Fortuna Sittard vs RBC Roosendaal (7)
Go Ahead Eagles vs Haarlem (8)
Helmond Sport vs Top Oss (6)
MVV Maastricht vs Omniworld (8)
Stormvogels Telstar vs Zwolle (7)

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Odra Wodzislaw vs Zaglebie Lubin (5) 1-1
Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce (8) 1-0
Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warsaw (7) 2-1

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Belenenses vs Pacos de Ferreira (6) under 2.5 goals

Romanian Liga:

Pandurii Targu Jiu vs Gloria Bistrita (7) 2-0
International vs Universitatea Craiova (8) 1-1

Singaporean S-League:

Sengkang Punggol vs Woodlands (5) 1-1

Turkish Super Lig:

Bursaspor vs Genclerbirligi (8) 2-0

Welsh Premier League:

Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town (7) 2-1
Airbus vs Connah’s Quay Nomads (6) 1-0
Haverfordwest County vs Neath Athletic (6) 1-1
Prestatyn Town vs Newtown (7) 2-1
The New Saints vs Newi Cefn Druids (8) 2-0

Enjoy your free betting tips!

Tours vs Chateauroux

Today’s featured game is the Ligue 2 clash between Tours and Chateauroux. I think it’s fair to say that Tours have been one of my favourite sides in Ligue 2 over the past few years due to their reliability at home in winning me money. Although they’ve made a slow start to their campaign this year, they’ve still been prominent at home three wins from five home games and zero defeats. Tours’ form has been quite poor of late with one defeat and two draws from their last three games. That said, two of those games were away from home, which is where Tours become shit, and the home game was with high-flying FC Nantes, which they were unlucky not to win. Therefore, I’m not going to excessively read into their recent form but I will draw comfort from the magnificent home record they possessed last season and are looking to recreate this season. Visitors Chateauroux made a good start to the season but their true colours are shining through now with three defeats in their last four games. With this kind of record, it’s no surprise at all that the visitors are on a slippery slope down Ligue 2. They’re facing a very tough Tours team at a venue where bigger and better sides than themselves have been felled before. Interestingly enough, Chateauroux do possess the best away record in the division currently but that doesn’t mask their actual ability or lack of momentum of late. Although all the statistics point to a close game with a most likely outcome of a draw, I really fancy a somewhat comfortable home win for a very strong home side against a side punching above their weight. With that in mind, 10/11 on the home win looks a good bet to me.

Friday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Tours vs Chateauroux – home win at 10/11 – see introduction for full details.

Bastia vs Le Havre – away win at 11/8. Bottom club Bastia have claimed just one win in their ten Ligue 2 games so far this season and don’t look likely to improve that tonight. Nobody has lost more home games than Bastia in Ligue 2 this year (three defeats in five games!). They’ve also lost three of their last five games, drawing the other two. Visitors Le Havre look to have proven their backers right as a potential candidate for promotion this season. They’re currently third in the table despite losing their last game. Before that defeat, they had won three games consecutively so winning is far from new to them. They have a good away record as they’ve only lost once away from home this season in five games, winning twice and drawing twice. Le Havre boast a better squad and momentum favours them here so you have to feel that 11/8 on the away win boasts some value here.

Brest vs Strasbourg – home win at evens. Only Stade Malherbe de Caen have won more home games than Brest this season with the hosts boasting an impressive four wins from five home games. They’re unbeaten in five games and have won two of their last four games. Visitors Strasbourg have made an atrocious start to this season but they’re gradually turning around and starting to become a threat again. However, I can’t envision that happening soon enough for Brest to be unduly worried tonight because the hosts are somewhat formidable at home currently. The fact remains that Strasbourg have still only won one game from ten so far in Ligue 2 this year and they’ve got a massive task to alter that tonight. Although I expect a close game, the home win at evens looks to boast considerable value tonight.

St.Patrick’s Athletic vs Derry City – home win at 13/10. Derry City’s precarious financial situation appears to finally have caught up with their players’ morale as they’ve now lost five games in a row. True, they’ve played some good sides, but form like this for a side that is easily a top five side in Ireland simply isn’t good enough at all. Derry City are not only demoralised but must be lacking in motivation because they can’t move up a place or down a place, realistically. Derry City are effectively in no man’s land and I thoroughly expect that to show in their football today. St Patrick’s Athletic have endured a torrid campaign but still need a few points to ensure safety from relegation. St Patrick’s Athletic haven’t scored enough goals this season, hence their issues. However, they’ve won one of their last two games and carry more momentum into this game than they’ve had for the vast majority of the season, as well as the motivation to see it through. For me, there’s more need and more possibility of a home win than anything else here so taking St Patrick’s Athletic at 13/10 could prove worthwhile.

Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers – away win at 21/20. These odds mystify me! Dundalk have palyed well this season, particularly at home, and far better than I would have even guessed at, if I’m honest. They’re unbeaten in five games but have drawn their last four games consecutively. Dundalk have absolutely nothing to play for now, which makes it all the more interesting to see 21/20 on the away win here. Shamrock Rovers’ brilliant run of wins finally came to an abrupt end as they lost 2-1 at home to Cork City. It remains to be seen just how that’s going to affect them mentally as Bohemians have now leap-frogged them in the Irish Premier League title race. However, what is factual here is that Shamrock Rovers have only lost once on the road this season and are easily the best away side in the league with nine wins from sixteen games. Shamrock Rovers’ biggest boast on the road is that they only concede one goal every two games on average. Basically, there looks to be an awful lot of value for a good Shamrock Rovers to win a game that they simply must win against a Dundalk side that have no requirement to turn up in this game at all. Therefore, 21/20 on the away win could prove serious value tonight.

As ever, any questions/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Estudiantes De La Plata vs Atletico Tucuman (8) 2-0
Rosario Central vs Independiente (5) 0-0

Australian A-League:

Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners (6) 0-1

Austrian Liga 1:

Austria Vienna II vs Lustenau (5)
Admira Wacker vs Dornbirn (8)
St.Polten vs First Vienna (8)
Gratkorn vs Salzburg II (7)
Wacker Innsbruck vs Hartberg (7)

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Lokeren vs Racing Genk (6) 1-1

Belgian Tweede Klasse:

Lierse SK vs Tienen (8)
OH Leuven vs Eupen (6)

Bulgarian A PFG:

Beroe vs Montana (7) 2-1

Croatian Prva Liga:

Slaven Koprivnica vs Inter Zapresic (9) 2-0

English Championship:

Watford vs Sheffield Wednesday (7)

French Ligue 2:

Bastia vs Le Havre (7)
Istres vs AC Ajaccio (7)
Laval vs Arles (7)
Metz vs Guingamp (8)
Nimes vs Sedan-Ardennes (5)
Vannes OC vs Clermont Foot (5)
Brest vs Strasbourg (7)
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Angers SCO (8)
Dijon FCO vs FC Nantes (6)
Tours vs Chateauroux (7)

German Bundesliga:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs BV09 Borussia Dortmund (8) 2-0

German Bundesliga 2:

Greuther Furth vs Koblenz (8)
Kaiserslautern vs Fortuna Dusseldorf (9)
Rot-Weiss Ahlen vs Augsburg (5)

Greek B Ethniki:

Kalamata vs Doxa Dramas (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Budapest Honved vs Zalaegerszegi TE (7) 1-1

Irish Premier League:

St.Patrick’s Athletic vs Derry City (6) 2-1
Galway United vs Bohemians (8) 0-2
Cork City vs Drogheda United (8) 1-0
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers (8) 1-2

Italian Serie B:

Torino vs Reggina (7)

Mexican Primera Division:

Estudiantes Tecos vs Toluca (6) 1-2

Dutch Eredivisie:

FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade (8) under 2.5 goals

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht (8) over 2.5 goals
Den Bosch vs Fortuna Sittard (6)
Dordrecht ’90 vs Stormvogels Telstar (7)
Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles (6) over 2.5 goals
Emmen vs Excelsior (8)
Zwolle vs Veendam (6)
Helmond Sport vs AGOVV Appeldoorn (5)
Haarlem vs Volendam (5)
RBC Roosendaal vs Top Oss (6)
Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Omniworld (8)

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok (5) 1-0, draw no bet
Polonia Bytom vs Ruch Chorzow (7) 1-1, at least one red card in this game

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Belenenses vs Olhanense (7) 0-0

Romanian Liga:

Otelul Galati vs Politehnica Iasi (5) 1-0
Gaz Metan Medias vs FC Brasov (6) 1-1

Singaporean S-League:

Super Reds vs Albirex Niigate (8) 2-1

Swedish Allsvenskan:

Orebro vs Halmstads (5) 0-1, draw no bet
GAIS Goteborg vs Malmo (6) 0-1
Brommapojkarna vs IFK Goteborg (8) 1-2

Swiss Challenge League:

Locarno vs Stade Nyonnais (7)

Turkish Super Lig:

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor (8) 3-1

Welsh Premier League:

Bangor City vs Prestatyn Town (6) 1-1
Newi Cefn Druids vs Rhyl (8) 0-2

Enjoy your free betting tips!