Espanyol vs Getafe

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Today’s secondary featured game is the Primera Liga game in Barcelona between Espanyol and Getafe.

Espanyol have impressed me over the last two seasons as they’ve become a lot more stable under ex-centre back Pochettino. They’re a bit short on the depth front and don’t score as many as they should be as a football team, they’re actually pretty damn good, in my view. They lost star striker Osvaldo pre-season to AS Roma and that will hurt them, of course. Callejon’s departure is no small news, either. However, they’ve signed old hand Pandiani, Slovakian winger Weiss, and Ivorian machine Romaric so they’ve not done too badly out of the transfer window. They’ve still got Sergio Garcia, which is very useful to them, when he feels like being useful! The big one for me is Uruguayan playmaker Albin, though. They signed him from Getafe pre-season and he’s a very good player on his day. Pochettino is the right manager to get the best out of him, in my view, not that he’ll need encouragement against his old club tonight! Away from home, Espanyol you have been poor this season, as per usual. Espanyol only really show up at home and a 2-1 win against Athletic Club de Bilbao a couple of weeks ago reinforced that point. I expect Espanyol to win a good number of home games this season and this is a game that they’re very much capable of winning.

Getafe, though – what can you say? They’ve done some good business pre-season by obtaining Lopo and Rodriguez from Deportivo La Coruna, Diego Castro from Sporting Gijon, Valera from Atletico Madrid, Pedro Leon from Real Madrid, and Guiza from Fenerbahce. However, despite the capabilities of the players that they’ve signed, they’ve still got a lot of galvanising to do and it’s shown in their games so far. Is it any wonder that it’s taking time, though? They’ve lost Parejo and Boateng pre-season, who were the heartbeat of their midfield last season. They lost Manu, who was a constant regular up front for Getafe last season. They’ve lost Marcano, who was a constant fixture in defence for them, too. I’ve no doubt Getafe will recover from these losses in due course because as a feeder club, that’s simply what they do. They don’t look much right now, however. They were poor during their 0-1 derby defeat against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and in their 4-2 loss at bitter rivals Real Madrid. What has concerned me about Getafe is not only their lax approach to defending but their inability to keep hold of the ball. It’s going to be a long game for Getafe in Barcelona tonight if they don’t have the ball!

Both sides have work to do in dealing with their losses but for me, it’s Espanyol who have looked the most solid and they’re a generally reliable home side in the Primera Liga. They’ve got a good manager, a good foundation, and enough ability to overcome a somewhat disjointed Getafe side. For me, there’s some value on the home win at 11/10.

Verdict: Espanyol to win at 11/10.

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Thursday’s Picks

Accumulator fodder:

Rosenborg BK.

Recommended bets:

Espanyol and Rosenborg BK at around 7/5.

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

Copa Sudamericana:

Trujillanos vs Liga de Quito (6) 1-0
Deportivo Cali vs Independiente de Santa Fe Bogota (5) 1-1

Argentinian Primera Division:

Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Union de Santa Fe (7) 2-1
Argentinos Juniors vs Tigre (5) 0-0
Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes de la Plata (7) 2-1

Finnish Veikkausliiga:

IFK Mariehamn vs TPS Turku (6) 1-1

Finnish Ykkonen:

KooTeePee Kotka vs Jippo Joensuu (7)
PS Kemi Kings vs PK-35 Helsinki (7)

Icelandic Urvalsdeild:

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik (4) 1-1

Italian Serie A:

AS Roma vs Siena (7) 1-0

Norwegian Eliteserien:

Rosenborg BK vs Sogndal (8) over 2.5 goals

Spanish Primera Liga:

Espanyol vs Getafe (7) 1-0
Real Betis Balompie vs Real Zaragoza (6) 2-1

Swedish Allsvenskan:

IFK Goteborg vs BK Hacken Goteborg (5) 1-1, at least one red card in this game

Swiss Super League:

Servette vs Luzern (5) 1-0
Sion vs Grasshopper Zurich (7) 2-1

Turkish Super Lig:

Ankaragucu vs Sivasspor (5) 1-1
Bursaspor vs Besiktas JK (6) 1-0

Enjoy your free betting tips!

Espanyol vs Real Mallorca

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Today’s secondary featured game is the Primera Liga encounter between Espanyol and Real Mallorca in Barcelona. Hosts Espanyol have been immense at home this season, much like Mallorca last season, ironically. Visitors Mallorca, however, haven’t recovered from their sumemr changes and should struggle here.

Espanyol miss star striker Osvaldo for this game and will do for some time, unfortunately, as he suffered a bad injury a few weeks ago. Surprisingly, Espanyol have played quite well without him, which is no doubt due to the team spirit created by Argentinian boss Pochettino. They shouldn’t have to need Osvaldo though, to be fair, as long as Luis and Sergio Garcia both pull their weight, which they haven’t been for the majority of the season but both have stepped up reasonably well lately in Osvaldo’s absence. Argentinian defender Forlin is regrettably still absent for the hosts and he’s joined by midfielder Javi Marquez, which gives Espanyol a couple of issues here. Nonetheless, their confident win at home to Real Sociedad last match convinces me that momentum will support them here and let’s face it – they’ve got the firepower to score goals if youngster Alvro and Verdu step up to the plate so I’ll give the hosts a chance here.

I really wouldn’t read much into the recent form of Espanyol – they’ve never been an away side to begin with but they’ve had a run of unfortunate fixtures with their two home games in their last four games being against Villarreal CF and Real Madrid and their two away games being against in-form Almeria and an Osasuna team under a new boss – all difficult games. Espanyol should be back in business tonight though!

Visitors Real Mallorca have continually failed to impress me lately and I don’t expect to see anything different tonight. I like Laudrup; I think he’s a good manager and his teams tend to play well. However, Mallorca are simply not functioning under him, conceding too easily and not scoring anywhere near enough goals. You look at their team and you have to wonder where their goals will come from. Webo is a beast of a striker to handle on his day but he’s not a particularly gifted finisher and Nsue has somewhat disappointed since his promising burst onto the Primera Liga scene. There’s an over-reliance on Mallorca’s midfield, especially the superb Castro, although Pereira and De Guzman contribute too, it has to be said. De Guzman misses this game, however, which leaves the burden largely with Castro and partially with Pereira, which just isn’t enough, in my view. They’ll be happy to welcome Ramis back in defence for this game but there’s a reason that Mallorca have only scored twice in their last six away games and it’s because they’re simply not very good at it. In fact, had it not been for an uncharacteristically lacklustre Athletic Club de Bilbao display against Mallorca lately, Mallorca wouldn’t have won a game since the start of January and it’s that statistic that is most relevant here, I feel.

Espanyol already won 0-1 at Real Mallorca earlier this season and haven’t lost at home to Mallorca for four consecutive visits, beating them twice along the way. Espanyol have won nine out of twelve home games this season with only bitter rivals Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Villarreal taking three points from the Catalans. Visitors Mallorca have lost eight out of twelve on the road whilst averaging conceding nearly two goals per away game and scoring less than a goal per away game. Although Espanyol are missing a few important players, I simply feel that they should have too much for Mallorca here. Although I’ll concede that a 0-0 draw isn’t out of the question, I still think there’s value on an Espanyol win if their midfield show up.

Team news – Espanyol miss Osvaldo, Forlin, and Javi Marquez whereas Real Mallorca miss Victor and De Guzman.

Verdict: Espanyol to win at evens.

Follow the latest betting odds comparison on this event at www.OddsPortal.com!

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Tuesday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Sevilla CF vs Sporting Gijon – under 2.5 goals at evens.

Well, Manzano’s certainly got his feet under the table at Sanchez Pizjuan now, hasn’t he? Scrap the game at Atletico Madrid last match; you have to attack and score goals to get points off Atletico Madrid. What interests me is that Manzano has made Sevilla very defensive and that’s something that I had previously thought was quite impossible. Their game at Porto lately went under 2.5 goals. Their win at home to Hercules Alicante lately went under 2.5 goals. In fact, three out of Sevilla’s last four home games in all competitions have gone under 2.5 goals and only a superb Porto goal took the one game over 2.5 goals. Sevilla still miss defensive rock Dragutinovic, unfortunately, and they also miss Sergio Sanchez tonight too. However, they’ve looked assured at the back lately and somewhat calmer in attack, losing their samba rhythm a lot and generally looking a lot more like the old Deportivo La Coruna side, in my view – winning games narrowly whilst focusing on defence. Kanoute returns for the hosts, as does goalkeeper Palop, so Sevilla are getting back to full-strength again, especially with star winger Navas back in business. However, I simply cannot overlook that Sevilla are now a defensive side and it should show again tonight.

Visitors Sporting Gijon are battlers, to be blunt, just like almost all northern Spain sides. It’s the southern sides like Sevilla that tend to take a more relaxed and “samba” approach to their games but Sevilla have adopted a much more northern style to their game lately, which is a tad bemusing. Gijon will come here to take a point and they’ll do well to do so as they don’t score goals away from home. They’re rarely embarrassed on the road, conceding approximately 1.5 goals per away game, but their average of scoring less than a goal per away game has previously and continues to hurt them. Nonetheless, they’ve only lost half of their away games in the Primera Liga this season, which only Getafe and Real Zaragoza outside of the top four Primera Liga clubs can better, so don’t necessarily go leaping all over the Sevilla win here. I’ve made the mistake of underestimating the tenacious Gijon before and I won’t be doing so again in the near future.

Gijon are actually unbeaten in three consecutive games now, drawing at home with Barcelona, away with Valencia CF, and at home to Zaragoza last match. I see no reason for Gijon to change tactics tonight as it simply wouldn’t make sense for them to do so. All three of those games went under 2.5 goals, incidentally, because Gijon lock up tight away from home and keep men behind the ball. Seven out of Gijon’s twelve away games in the Primera Liga this season have gone under 2.5 goals and with Manzano unlikely to unleash the beast that is Sevilla, I think under 2.5 goals looks favourable here at decent odds.

Team news – Sevilla CF miss Sergio Sanchez and Dragutinovic whereas Sporting Gijon miss Javi Poves.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals at evens.

Follow the latest betting odds comparison on this event at www.OddsPortal.com!

Accumulator fodder:

Novara.

Recommended bets:

Espanyol and Novara at 2/1.

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

Copa Libertadores:

Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Penarol (5) 1-1
Deportivo Tachira vs Colo Colo (5) 1-1

Asian Champions League:

Jeju United vs Tianjin Teda (6) 2-1
Gamba Osaka vs Melbourne Victory (6) over 2.5 goals
Hangzhou Lucheng vs Nagoya Grampus (4) 0-0, at least one red card in this game
Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Al Nasr (5) under 2.5 goals
Esteghlal vs Al Sadd (6) 1-0
Al Jazira vs Al Gharafa (6) 1-1
Al Hilal vs Sepahan (7) 2-0

Austrian Bundesliga:

SV Mattersburg vs Rapid Vienna (6) under 2.5 goals

Croatian Prva Liga:

Cibalia Vinkovci vs Zadar (7) 1-0

English Premier League:

Chelsea vs Manchester United (5) 0-0

English Championship:

Portsmouth vs Scunthorpe United (7)
Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest (4)
Derby County vs Doncaster Rovers (6)

English League One:

Brentford vs Notts County (6)
Exeter City vs Tranmere Rovers (6)
Bristol Rovers vs Colchester United (4)
Walsall vs Southampton (5) both sides to score
Yeovil Town vs Brighton & Hove Albion (5)
Charlton Athletic vs Carlisle United (5)
Hartlepool United vs Huddersfield Town (6)

English League Two:

Lincoln City vs Oxford United (3) over 2.5 goals
Cheltenham Town vs Stockport County (6)
Torquay United vs Rotherham United (5)
Aldershot Town vs Gillingham (7)
Shrewsbury Town vs Bury (6)
Northampton Town vs Burton Albion (6)
Chesterfield vs Wycombe Wanderers (6)

English FA Cup:

Everton vs Reading (4) 1-1

Estonian Super Cup:

Flora Tallinn vs Levadia Tallinn (7) over 2.5 goals, at least one red card in this game

Italian Serie B:

Varese vs Crotone (6) under 2.5 goals
Piacenza vs Empoli (4) under 2.5 goals
Reggina vs Frosinone (6)
Cittadella vs Livorno (5)
Albinoleffe vs Modena (6)
Grosseto vs Padova (5)
Sassuolo vs Pescara (6)
Novara vs Portosummaga (8) under 2.5 goals
Siena vs Triestina (7)
Ascoli vs Vicenza (6)

Russian Cup:

Anzhi Makhachkala vs Zenit St.Petersburg (7) 0-1

Scottish Premier League:

Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Dundee United (5) 1-1
Hamilton Academicals vs Hibernian (5) 0-1

Singaporean S-League:

Gombak United vs Etoile (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game

Spanish Primera Liga:

Espanyol vs Real Mallorca (7) 2-0
Sevilla CF vs Sporting Gijon (7) under 2.5 goals

Spanish Segunda Liga:

Elche vs Numancia (4)
Barcelona II vs Cordoba (6) over 2.5 goals
Cartagena vs Tenerife (5)
Salamanca vs Villarreal II (6)
Girona vs Granada (6) both sides to score

Venezuelan Primera Division:

Atletico Venezuela vs Carabobo (5) 1-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!