Want to obtain team news from around the world? Maybe just to support the site for all the hard work that goes into it? Click here for membership details. Need outright wins instead of value picks? Click here for strike rate and other consultancy details.
Ok guys, thanks very much for the support with the Bet365 link and banner clicking – it’s really good of you all! If you could please continue to do this whenever you remember then it’d be greatly appreciated, especially if placing bets at that time. Thank you!
Today’s secondary featured game is the Brazilian Serie A derby between Flamengo and Fluminense. These two sides are polar opposites tactically with Flamengo deploying an attack-minded, carefree approach to their football whilst Fluminense deploy a more defensive and controlling game.
However, they both share a common problem for this game; goalscoring. Flamengo have lost the only consistently lethal attacking threat that they have in Ronaldinho as he’s part of the Brazil squad. Similarly, Fluminense have lost their only recognised target man Fred due to international duty too and the huge problem that faces both sides now is the ability to score goals because neither have that ability without the two afore-mentioned players.
I mean, Deivid can score goals for Flamengo but he’s no more than an average target man and with no Ronaldinho in the squad, who will make the goals for him? Thiago Neves is good player too, of course, but there’s going to be a lot on his shoulders with no Ronaldinho today. Deco is a good playmaker but where will the Fluminense goals come from? Moura is an alright hitman but nothing special. Rafael Sobis is good but his finishing can be wayward although Fluminense do have the advantage of having Abel Braga in charge, who is pretty much the only manager that Sobis can play well under. Even with that in mind, however, I still can’t rate Fluminense’s attack enough to deem them favourites here as the bookies have. In fact, I’d completely avoid the 1×2 market here, to be honest – I don’t see any value at all there.
However, under 2.5 goals at 9/10 appeals to me a lot here. Derbies can be fiery and unpredictable at times, especially with the mandatory red cards flying around, but this one should be predictable enough as both sides lack key attackers. Therefore, under 2.5 goals is my selection for tonight’s game.
Verdict: Under 2.5 goals at 9/10.
Why not bet on this game now at one of the best bookmakers around?
| ? |  |
? |
Other great tipsters can be found at www.betadvisor.com!
Sunday’s Picks
My tips:
As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:
Roskilde vs Naestved – home win at 10/11.
Despite Naestved appointing a new manager ahead of this game, I still fancy Roskilde to edge this one. Naestved’s defence is horrendous, to be blunt, which makes it easy to go against them from a betting perspective. It helps a lot here, too, as Roskilde don’t score many goals. However, Roskilde’s most redeeming feature is their organisation and determination. Roskilde are simply a very hard side to play against and it’ll take more than a new manager at the helm of Naestved to convince me that they’ll do well against a solid Roskilde side today. We all know that Naestved have got the capability to get out of the mess that they’re in right now but let’s face it – four defeats from four away games just isn’t good enough and I suspect they’ll make it five losses from five away games today unless they show something in this game that they’ve not in any other away game this season. For me, taking the well-regimented Roskilde to edge this one at 9/10 appeals to me today.
Verdict: Roskilde to win at 10/11.
Why not bet on this game now at one of the best bookmakers around?
Accumulator fodder:
Ivory Coast, Esbjerg.
Recommended bets:
Roskilde and Esbjerg at around 7/5.
As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!
African Nations Qualifiers:
Mauritius vs Senegal (6) 0-1
Benin vs Rwanda (7) 2-0
Ivory Coast vs Burundi (8) -1.5 handicap
Morocco vs Tanzania (7) 1-0
Algeria vs Central African Republic (6) 1-0
Australian A-League:
Gold Coast United vs Wellington Phoenix (7) 2-1
Perth Glory vs Adelaide United (5) 1-1
Brazilian Serie A:
Santos vs Palmeiras (4) 1-1
Flamengo vs Fluminense (5) 0-0, at least one red card in this game
Internacional vs Vasco da Gama (6) 2-1
Corinthians vs Atletico Goianiense (7) 2-0
Avai vs Atletico Paranaense (5) 2-2
Ceara vs Figueirense (6) 1-1
Colombian Primera A:
Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin (5) 0-0
Danish 1st Division:
Roskilde vs Naestved (6)
Vestjaelland vs Randers (5)
Fredericia vs Hobro (5)
AB Copenhagen vs Skive (7)
Esbjerg vs Bronshoj (8)
Faroese Meistaradeildin:
B71 Sandur vs KI Klaksvik (5) 2-2
Irish Premier League:
Bray Wanderers vs Shamrock Rovers (7) 0-1
Mexican Primera Division:
Toluca vs Guadalajara (6) 1-1
America vs Morelia (6) 1-0
Polish Liga 1:
Warta Poznan vs Kolejarz Stroze (7)
Spanish Segunda Liga:
Guadalajara vs Hercules Alicante (4)
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Cartagena (6)
Almeria vs Real Valladolid (6)
Cordoba vs Villarreal II (6)
Swedish Superettan:
Angelholm vs Osters (7)
Vasteras vs Brage (6)
Brommapojkarna vs Degerfors (7)
Qviding Goteborg vs Ljungskile (5)
Uruguayan Primera Division:
River Plate Montevideo vs Cerro Largo (7) 1-0
Rampla Juniors vs Cerrito (6) 2-1
Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool Montevideo (5) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Danubio vs Racing Club Montevideo (7) 2-1
Club Nacional de Montevideo vs Rentistas (7) 2-0
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro (7) 1-0
Welsh Premier League:
Airbus vs Newtown (6) 1-0
Neath Athletic vs Prestatyn Town (7) 2-1
Enjoy your free betting tips!