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Brest vs Vannes OC

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Today’s featured games is the Ligue 2 encounter between Brest and Vannes OC. The hosts have been very impressive in Ligue 2 this year and currently find themselves in fourth place in the table. They’ve won three of their last five games and are unbeaten on that particular run. The main reason for their success has been their consistent home form which has seen them yield five wins from seven games, drawing once and losing just once. Brest are looking twice the side that they were last year and look one of the harder sides to beat currently. Vannes OC, by contrast, are not having a good season. They’re currently thirteenth in the Ligue 2 table with one win and four defeats from their last five games, which isn’t good enough. Whereas their away record isn’t exactly the worst in the league, it’s still poor with three defeats, two draws, and one defeat from their six away games played this year. Vannes OC basically are not looking good enough to take anything from this game so I’m going to call a home win at bargain odds of 5/6 for a very much in-form and reliable Brest.

Friday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Brest vs Vannes OC – home win at 5/6 – see introduction for full details.

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense – home win at 11/10. I don’t know what it is about Chilean sides playing Brazilian sides but they seem to have more success in stopping their Brazilian counterparts playing football much better than any other South American nation does. Perhaps it’s their dogged style of football that really gets to the Brazilians – I’m not sure. This point was illustrated in the first leg of this game as Universidad de Chile drew 2-2 in Brazil against Fluminense. Universidad de Chile are one of the more experienced continental sides in South America, I think it’s fair to say, and stand a great chance of progressing to the Copa Nissan Sudamericana here tonight against a Fluminense side more focal upon avoiding relegation from Serie A. The hosts have a good enough squad to win this game and the home advantage against a potentially distracted Fluminense makes the home win at 11/10 look a good call tonight.

Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld – home win at evens. Copa Libertadores reigning champions Liga de Quito tonight host Velez Sarsfeld in the Copa Nissan Sudamericana quarter-final game. An impressive 1-1 draw in Argentina in the first leg leaves the Ecuadorians with the edge as the Argentinians vist their lofty fortress in Quito. Many sides have travelled here and failed so it will take a mighty display from Velez Sarsfeld to avoid falling to a similar fate. What convinces me of this outcome is not only that this is a nightmarish away game for any side and that Velez Sarsfeld have to come here and attack to have a chance of success but also that Velez Sarsfeld’s performances of late have been inconsistent at best. For instance – they’ve beaten lowly Godoy Cruz de Mendoza and newly-promoted Atletico Tucuman but have also lost at home to Newell’s Old Boys. When travelling to a good home side like Liga de Quito, you really need to be at your best. Basically, I don’t think Velez Sarsfeld are currently in a position to get a result here so I think the home win at evens for the Ecuadorians looks a good bet tonight.

Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz – away win at 15/8. I can’t quite fathom why these odds are so long! Visitors Metz are not the best travellers in Ligue 2 – far from it. However, they remain one of the best sides in the division, regardless of that point. Aside from that, Metz have really entered their stride lately with four wins from their last five games. If this statistic isn’t impressive enough for you then consider that all of the sides they have beaten/drawn with in those five games either are a very good side or showed that they can be a very good side last season. Metz have lately won away to Chateauroux and drew away to high-flying Nantes whilst beating Guingamp, Laval, and Strasbourg at home. This list of sides is very impressive, in my humble opinion, and a weak Sedan-Ardennes shouldn’t really pose a great threat here tonight, despite having a decent home record. Sedan-Ardennes have lost three of their last five games, including two embarassing defeats to Nimes and Istres. Therefore, to be frank, the away win at 15/8 could turn out to be a real bargain tonight.

Arles vs Le Havre – away win at 13/8. Although currently unbeaten at home in Ligue 2 this year, hosts Arles will face one of their toughest tests yet as they host a very much in-form Le Havre. The visitors have won three of their last five games, losing just once. Their most recent victory was a monday night 4-0 demolition of promotion rivals Nantes, which will have inspired Le Havre greatly. Arles are doing well with keeping sides out but that record simply has to end soon enough because Arles are punching above their weight. Visitors Le Havre certainly have a classier side and look far more capable of winning this game than the hosts do. For me, the away win at 13/8 could prove to be a great bet tonight, particularly as Le Havre have already won three from seven away games this season, losing just once along the way.

Empoli vs Reggina – home win at evens. Anyone who reads this blog knows that I love my Serie B home wins and Empoli are amongst my favourite sides to back for it, too! Although atrocious away from home, Empoli become a very different side when playing on their own turf as five wins from six home games indicates. Some poor form lately has cast a few doubts in my mind over the reliability of Empoli but they’re hosting a Reggina side tonight that have lost four of their last five games and look destined to fail in this division despite having only joined Serie B from Serie A this year. Comparing Empoli’s superb home record with an average of nearly three goals scored per home game to Reggina’s away record of four defeats from six away games, conceding nearly two goals per away game, you have to feel that there’s potentially a great deal of value in the home win at evens!

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo – away win at 9/5. I never thought I’d see the day that I backed Heracles Almelo to win an away game but here we are! Visitors Heracles Almelo are playing some of the best football that they’ve ever played, in my humble opinion, and have well-earned their current Eredivisie placing of sixth. They’ve won four of their last five games but their most impressive feature is the fact that they’ve won four from six away games this year with only FC Twente Enschede having won more away games this year. Heracles Almelo’s strength isn’t goalscoring; it’s keeping sides out. They’ve conceded just one goal away from home in six games this year, which is pretty damn impressive! Although I formerly rated Groningen as the better of these two sides, statistics for this year show otherwise in a big way. The hosts have lost so many home games that only bottom-placed RKC Waalwijk have lost more home games than they have. Groningen have lost four of their six home games this season and scored a feeble two goals. Considering the lax attack of Groningen and the watertight defence of Heracles Almelo makes me think an away win is very likely here, particularly with the sharp contrast in momentum and ability at the moment, particularly as Groningen are without a win in their past four games and have lost their last two consecutively. For me, there’s potentially some serious value in the away win at 9/5.

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce – home win at evens. Many people have dubbed Lechia Gdansk’s start to this Ekstraklasa campaign as “fortunate”; maybe they’re right. However, fortune has no place in what will surely be a home win against a weak, newly-promoted Korona Kielce as the visitors have now lost four games in a row. Korona Kielce looked to be playing ok but all of a sudden they’ve completely capitulated and the result is a sharp descent down the Ekstraklasa. The visitors have lost four from five away games in the Ekstraklasa this season and Lechia Gdansk are well-placed to take advantage of that fact. The hosts may have a somewhat impassive home record this year but they’re resilient, experienced in the Ekstraklasa dogfight and won their last game to give them momentum as they enter this game. With all of the above in mind, the home win at evens could be a real bargain today.

As ever, if there are any questions/explanations required then feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Copa Nissan Sudamericana:

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense (7) under 2.5 goals
Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld (7) under 2.5 goals

Argentinian Primera Division:

Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central (5) 1-1
Independiente vs Gimnasia De La Plata (7) 2-0

Australian A-League:

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar (7) 2-1

Austrian Liga 1:

Austria Vienna II vs Wacker Innsbruck (8)
SCR Altach vs Gratkorn (8)
Hartberg vs Admira Wacker (8)
Lustenau vs Salzburg II (6)
First Vienna vs Dornbirn (5) over 2.5 goals

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Charleroi vs AA Gent (6) 1-2

Bulgarian A PFG:

Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Montana (7) 1-0

Danish 1st Division:

Viborg vs Skive (8)

English Championship:

Derby County vs Coventry City (4) draw no bet

English FA Cup:

Bristol Rovers vs Southampton (6) 1-1
Notts County vs Bradford City (8) 2-0
Huddersfield Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge (6) 2-1

French Ligue 2:

AC Ajaccio vs Dijon FCO (6)
Angers SCO vs Bastia (6)
Brest vs Vannes OC (8)
Clermont Foot vs Nimes (7)
Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz (6)
Strasbourg vs Istres (6)
Arles vs Le Havre (6)
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Tours (8)
Chateauroux vs Laval (6)

German Bundesliga:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt (8) 3-1

German Bundesliga 2:

Kaiserslautern vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen (7)
St.Pauli vs Fortuna Dusseldorf (7)
Paderborn vs Koblenz (6)

Greek B Ethniki:

Ilioupoli vs Ethnikos Asteras (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Ujpest vs Fehervar (6) 1-1

Italian Serie B:

Empoli vs Reggina (7)

Dutch Eredivisie:

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo (7) 0-1

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior (7) over 2.5 goals
AGOVV Appeldoorn vs Volendam (6)
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht ’90 (6)
Eindhoven vs Veendam (7)
Fortuna Sittard vs RBC Roosendaal (7)
Go Ahead Eagles vs Haarlem (8)
Helmond Sport vs Top Oss (6)
MVV Maastricht vs Omniworld (8)
Stormvogels Telstar vs Zwolle (7)

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Odra Wodzislaw vs Zaglebie Lubin (5) 1-1
Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce (8) 1-0
Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warsaw (7) 2-1

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Belenenses vs Pacos de Ferreira (6) under 2.5 goals

Romanian Liga:

Pandurii Targu Jiu vs Gloria Bistrita (7) 2-0
International vs Universitatea Craiova (8) 1-1

Singaporean S-League:

Sengkang Punggol vs Woodlands (5) 1-1

Turkish Super Lig:

Bursaspor vs Genclerbirligi (8) 2-0

Welsh Premier League:

Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town (7) 2-1
Airbus vs Connah’s Quay Nomads (6) 1-0
Haverfordwest County vs Neath Athletic (6) 1-1
Prestatyn Town vs Newtown (7) 2-1
The New Saints vs Newi Cefn Druids (8) 2-0

Enjoy your free betting tips!

AGF Aarhus vs Midtylland

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Today’s featured game is in the Danish Superligaen and sees AGF Aarhus hosting Midtylland. The hosts have been making some good waves this season due to some results, most notably the away win to FC Copenhagen. They’ve played eight games this season and have lost just once (which was a tricky game away to Brondby last match) and have won five times. Bluntly, AGF Aarhus are looking a potent threat to all whom they encounter in the Superligaen this season and Midtylland are the latest side to be thrust into their path! Despite having been a force themselves in recent years, Midtylland have really struggled this season and are currently second bottom of the Superligaen. Whereas their home form has been a long way from impressive, their away form is where they’ve really come undone, losing all four of their away games so far this season, conceding nine goals and scoring just once. They’ve now lost their last four games and it doesn’t look like stopping any time soon, particularly not against an in-form AGF Aarhus. I’m aware that there’s not masses between these two sides in terms of quality but odds of 11/10 on the home win are a real gift!

Monday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

AGF Aarhus vs Midtylland - home win at 10/11 – see introduction for full details.

Brno vs Sparta Prague – away win at 13/10. This is a relatively dubious call but the poor form of Brno in their last few games has swayed me to take it. After a respectable 2-2 draw with PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Europa League mid-week, Sparta Prague travel to Brno in hope of winning their first away game of the season as they’ve drawn all three so far. Having won this fixture last year, Sparta Prague are well aware that this is a distinct possibility for them. Sparta Prague also have the momentum to do so as they’ve won three of their last four Gambrinus Liga games and are still unbeaten too. Despite a positive start, Brno have felled themselves lately with two consecutive defeats and no win in their past three games. Their most embarassing loss was easily the defeat to Kladno last match, something that has really made me question their ability to win today’s game. There’s no questioning the actual ability of Brno on their day but I can’t see that day being today if they can’t compete with Kladno, arguably the worst side in the Gambrinus Liga. For those reasons, taking 13/10 on the away win could be a nice bit of business today! 

Sporting Clube de Lisboa vs Olhanense – under 2.5 goals at 4/5. I really like the look of these odds. Why? Well, Sporting Clube de Lisboa can’t score goals for shit. I know, I know they scored three against Heerenveen mid-week but they’re horrific defensively so I’m going to disregard that. Looking strictly at Liga Sagres games, Sporting Clube de Lisboa’s games have gone under 2.5 goals in three out of four of those games, which lends a good deal of weight to my bet. Aside from that, they’re just not scoring goals often enough because nobody barring Liedson bothers to do it, more often than not! They’ve scored just five goals in their opening four games which indicates my point about their lack of thrust. Frankly speaking, from the games I’ve seen Sporting Club de Lisboa play in this season, they’ve been absolutely woeful in the final third when it comes to penetration, hence their issues. Today they face Olhanense, who are freshly promoted from the Liga de Honra. Olhanense are currently unbeaten in the Liga Sagres but I think it’s fair to say that they’ve only had one real test which was their away game with CD Nacional, which they drew. A useful point to know about Olhanense is that they don’t like scoring or conceding goals, seemingly! They’ve already played out two 0-0 draws in this campaign have also gone under 2.5 goals in three of their four games, just like Sporting Clube de Lisboa have. I don’t think Olhanense have enough to trouble Sporting Clube de Lisboa offensively but they seem relatively sound defensively, enough for me to think that the hosts aren’t going to score more than two past them and that the visitors aren’t going to score. Either way, all the above points to under 2.5 goals which looks good at 4/5.

As ever, any questions/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!

Bulgarian A PFG:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Mezdra (8) 2-1

Cypriot Division 1:

Ermis vs APOP/Kinyras (6) 1-2, draw no bet

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:

Slavia Prague vs Banik Ostrava (7) under 2.5 goals
Brno vs Sparta Prague (7) 1-2

Danish Superligaen:

AGF Aarhus vs Midtylland (8) 2-1

French Ligue 2:

Stade Malherbe de Caen vs AC Ajaccio (9)

Greek B Ethniki:

AO Illisiakos Zografou vs Panserraikos (6)

Norwegian Tippeligaen:

Start Kristiansand vs Viking Stavanger (5) 2-1

Norwegian 2 Divisjon:

Avdeling 1:

Valerenga Oslo II vs Lillestrom II (8)
Start Kristiansand II vs Vindbjart Vennesla (7) both sides to score

Avdeling 2:

Byasen Trondheim vs Rosenborg II (7)
Levanger vs Molde II (7)

Avdeling 3:

Fredrikstad II vs Fyllingen Bergen (7)
Kopervik vs Stromsgodset II (7)
Lyn Oslo II vs Fana Nesttun (8)

Avdeling 4:

Bodo Glimt II vs Ranheim Trondheim (8)
Tromso II vs Raufoss Fotball (6)
Stabaek II vs Bossekop (9)

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Sporting Clube de Lisboa vs Olhanense (8) under 2.5 goals

Singaporean S-League:

Armed Forces vs Albirex Niigate (9) -1.75 handicap

Swedish Allsvenskan:

Malmo vs Elfsborg Boras (7) 1-1
AIK Solna vs Orgryte (8) over 2.5 goals, both sides to score

Swedish Superettan:

Jonkopings Sodra vs Ljungskile (6)
IFK Norrkoping vs Syrianska Sodertalje (7)

Turkish Super Lig:

Kasimpasa vs Galatasaray (9) 1-3

Enjoy your free betting tips and feel free to visit our forum!