Midtylland have played three games since returning from the winter break and have been superb in all of them, winning twice and drawing once. They’ve scored six times and conceded just twice. Midtylland claimed a 2-2 draw at home to high-flying OB Odense but have won their last two games consecutively at home to Aalborg BK and away to Silkeborg – two difficult games – so they’re certainly playing well at the moment. Midtylland have already won six out of eleven home games this season despite it not being their best season so it’s fair to assume that they’ll be a force in this game too, particularly with momentum supporting their cause.

Visitors SonderjyskE have lost five out of eleven away games this season, which isn’t incriminating but does show that sides have to work hard to break them down. Only Randers have scored less goals in the Superligaen than SonderjyskE so it’s fair to say that SonderjyskE are very much a ”stopper” side rather than an advocate of the beautiful game. SonderjyskE have had a tough run of games since returning from the winter break but have claimed credible results at Brondby and OB Odense although neither side were on-fire at the time. SonderjyskE were brought back down to earth last match with FC Copenhagen winning 2-0 at SonderjyskE so they should be prepared for more of the same today against an in-form Midtylland. SonderjyskE simply aren’t as good a side as Midtylland and I expect that to show tonight.

You won’t often see odds as short as this as a recommended value bet on this site but I feel that it’s real value when measuring up the two sides as Midtylland really should be at least 1/2 to win this game – they’re by far the better side – don’t let a bad season put you off backing what should be a very clear home win tonight.

Verdict: Midtylland to win at 8/11.

Thursday’s Picks

My tips:

I can’t see any other value bets today other than perhaps a nibble on Randers to beat AGF Aarhus - sorry guys!

Accumulator fodder:

Litex Lovech, Cherno More Varna, Teplice, Midtylland, Young Boys Bern

Recommended bet(s):

Midtylland, Cherno More Varna, Teplice, and Young Boys Bern at 6/1.

As ever, if there any questions/explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Copa Libertadores:

Racing Club Montevideo vs Independiente Medellin (5) 1-1
Velez Sarsfield vs Colo Colo (7) 2-0
Deportivo Quito vs Emelec Guayaquil (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game

Argentinian Primera Division:

Boca Juniors vs River Plate (6) 1-1, at least two red cards in this game

Bulgarian A PFG:

Litex Lovech vs Sliven (8) -1.75 handicap
Cherno More Varna vs Beroe (8) 1-0

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga:

Teplice vs Slovacko (8) 2-0
Slavia Prague vs Slovan Liberec (6) 1-0

Danish Superligaen:

Brondby vs HB Koge (6) 2-1
Midtylland vs SonderjyskE (9) 2-0
Esbjerg vs OB Odense (7) 1-1
Randers vs AGF Aarhus (6) 1-0

Italian Serie A:

SSC Napoli vs Juventus (5) 1-0

Singaporean S-League:

Gombak United vs Young Lions (7) 2-1

Spanish Primera Liga:

Getafe vs Real Madrid (6) over 3.5 goals, at least one red card in this game
Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club de Bilbao (6) 1-1, at least one red card in this game

Swiss Super League:

Bellinzona vs Young Boys Bern (8) 1-2
Grasshoppers Zurich vs Neuchatel Xamax (7) 2-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!