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Brest vs Vannes OC

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Today’s featured games is the Ligue 2 encounter between Brest and Vannes OC. The hosts have been very impressive in Ligue 2 this year and currently find themselves in fourth place in the table. They’ve won three of their last five games and are unbeaten on that particular run. The main reason for their success has been their consistent home form which has seen them yield five wins from seven games, drawing once and losing just once. Brest are looking twice the side that they were last year and look one of the harder sides to beat currently. Vannes OC, by contrast, are not having a good season. They’re currently thirteenth in the Ligue 2 table with one win and four defeats from their last five games, which isn’t good enough. Whereas their away record isn’t exactly the worst in the league, it’s still poor with three defeats, two draws, and one defeat from their six away games played this year. Vannes OC basically are not looking good enough to take anything from this game so I’m going to call a home win at bargain odds of 5/6 for a very much in-form and reliable Brest.

Friday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Brest vs Vannes OC – home win at 5/6 – see introduction for full details.

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense – home win at 11/10. I don’t know what it is about Chilean sides playing Brazilian sides but they seem to have more success in stopping their Brazilian counterparts playing football much better than any other South American nation does. Perhaps it’s their dogged style of football that really gets to the Brazilians – I’m not sure. This point was illustrated in the first leg of this game as Universidad de Chile drew 2-2 in Brazil against Fluminense. Universidad de Chile are one of the more experienced continental sides in South America, I think it’s fair to say, and stand a great chance of progressing to the Copa Nissan Sudamericana here tonight against a Fluminense side more focal upon avoiding relegation from Serie A. The hosts have a good enough squad to win this game and the home advantage against a potentially distracted Fluminense makes the home win at 11/10 look a good call tonight.

Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld – home win at evens. Copa Libertadores reigning champions Liga de Quito tonight host Velez Sarsfeld in the Copa Nissan Sudamericana quarter-final game. An impressive 1-1 draw in Argentina in the first leg leaves the Ecuadorians with the edge as the Argentinians vist their lofty fortress in Quito. Many sides have travelled here and failed so it will take a mighty display from Velez Sarsfeld to avoid falling to a similar fate. What convinces me of this outcome is not only that this is a nightmarish away game for any side and that Velez Sarsfeld have to come here and attack to have a chance of success but also that Velez Sarsfeld’s performances of late have been inconsistent at best. For instance – they’ve beaten lowly Godoy Cruz de Mendoza and newly-promoted Atletico Tucuman but have also lost at home to Newell’s Old Boys. When travelling to a good home side like Liga de Quito, you really need to be at your best. Basically, I don’t think Velez Sarsfeld are currently in a position to get a result here so I think the home win at evens for the Ecuadorians looks a good bet tonight.

Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz – away win at 15/8. I can’t quite fathom why these odds are so long! Visitors Metz are not the best travellers in Ligue 2 – far from it. However, they remain one of the best sides in the division, regardless of that point. Aside from that, Metz have really entered their stride lately with four wins from their last five games. If this statistic isn’t impressive enough for you then consider that all of the sides they have beaten/drawn with in those five games either are a very good side or showed that they can be a very good side last season. Metz have lately won away to Chateauroux and drew away to high-flying Nantes whilst beating Guingamp, Laval, and Strasbourg at home. This list of sides is very impressive, in my humble opinion, and a weak Sedan-Ardennes shouldn’t really pose a great threat here tonight, despite having a decent home record. Sedan-Ardennes have lost three of their last five games, including two embarassing defeats to Nimes and Istres. Therefore, to be frank, the away win at 15/8 could turn out to be a real bargain tonight.

Arles vs Le Havre – away win at 13/8. Although currently unbeaten at home in Ligue 2 this year, hosts Arles will face one of their toughest tests yet as they host a very much in-form Le Havre. The visitors have won three of their last five games, losing just once. Their most recent victory was a monday night 4-0 demolition of promotion rivals Nantes, which will have inspired Le Havre greatly. Arles are doing well with keeping sides out but that record simply has to end soon enough because Arles are punching above their weight. Visitors Le Havre certainly have a classier side and look far more capable of winning this game than the hosts do. For me, the away win at 13/8 could prove to be a great bet tonight, particularly as Le Havre have already won three from seven away games this season, losing just once along the way.

Empoli vs Reggina – home win at evens. Anyone who reads this blog knows that I love my Serie B home wins and Empoli are amongst my favourite sides to back for it, too! Although atrocious away from home, Empoli become a very different side when playing on their own turf as five wins from six home games indicates. Some poor form lately has cast a few doubts in my mind over the reliability of Empoli but they’re hosting a Reggina side tonight that have lost four of their last five games and look destined to fail in this division despite having only joined Serie B from Serie A this year. Comparing Empoli’s superb home record with an average of nearly three goals scored per home game to Reggina’s away record of four defeats from six away games, conceding nearly two goals per away game, you have to feel that there’s potentially a great deal of value in the home win at evens!

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo – away win at 9/5. I never thought I’d see the day that I backed Heracles Almelo to win an away game but here we are! Visitors Heracles Almelo are playing some of the best football that they’ve ever played, in my humble opinion, and have well-earned their current Eredivisie placing of sixth. They’ve won four of their last five games but their most impressive feature is the fact that they’ve won four from six away games this year with only FC Twente Enschede having won more away games this year. Heracles Almelo’s strength isn’t goalscoring; it’s keeping sides out. They’ve conceded just one goal away from home in six games this year, which is pretty damn impressive! Although I formerly rated Groningen as the better of these two sides, statistics for this year show otherwise in a big way. The hosts have lost so many home games that only bottom-placed RKC Waalwijk have lost more home games than they have. Groningen have lost four of their six home games this season and scored a feeble two goals. Considering the lax attack of Groningen and the watertight defence of Heracles Almelo makes me think an away win is very likely here, particularly with the sharp contrast in momentum and ability at the moment, particularly as Groningen are without a win in their past four games and have lost their last two consecutively. For me, there’s potentially some serious value in the away win at 9/5.

Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce – home win at evens. Many people have dubbed Lechia Gdansk’s start to this Ekstraklasa campaign as “fortunate”; maybe they’re right. However, fortune has no place in what will surely be a home win against a weak, newly-promoted Korona Kielce as the visitors have now lost four games in a row. Korona Kielce looked to be playing ok but all of a sudden they’ve completely capitulated and the result is a sharp descent down the Ekstraklasa. The visitors have lost four from five away games in the Ekstraklasa this season and Lechia Gdansk are well-placed to take advantage of that fact. The hosts may have a somewhat impassive home record this year but they’re resilient, experienced in the Ekstraklasa dogfight and won their last game to give them momentum as they enter this game. With all of the above in mind, the home win at evens could be a real bargain today.

As ever, if there are any questions/explanations required then feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Copa Nissan Sudamericana:

Universidad de Chile vs Fluminense (7) under 2.5 goals
Liga de Quito vs Velez Sarsfeld (7) under 2.5 goals

Argentinian Primera Division:

Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central (5) 1-1
Independiente vs Gimnasia De La Plata (7) 2-0

Australian A-League:

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar (7) 2-1

Austrian Liga 1:

Austria Vienna II vs Wacker Innsbruck (8)
SCR Altach vs Gratkorn (8)
Hartberg vs Admira Wacker (8)
Lustenau vs Salzburg II (6)
First Vienna vs Dornbirn (5) over 2.5 goals

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Charleroi vs AA Gent (6) 1-2

Bulgarian A PFG:

Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Montana (7) 1-0

Danish 1st Division:

Viborg vs Skive (8)

English Championship:

Derby County vs Coventry City (4) draw no bet

English FA Cup:

Bristol Rovers vs Southampton (6) 1-1
Notts County vs Bradford City (8) 2-0
Huddersfield Town vs Dagenham & Redbridge (6) 2-1

French Ligue 2:

AC Ajaccio vs Dijon FCO (6)
Angers SCO vs Bastia (6)
Brest vs Vannes OC (8)
Clermont Foot vs Nimes (7)
Sedan-Ardennes vs Metz (6)
Strasbourg vs Istres (6)
Arles vs Le Havre (6)
Stade Malherbe de Caen vs Tours (8)
Chateauroux vs Laval (6)

German Bundesliga:

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt (8) 3-1

German Bundesliga 2:

Kaiserslautern vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen (7)
St.Pauli vs Fortuna Dusseldorf (7)
Paderborn vs Koblenz (6)

Greek B Ethniki:

Ilioupoli vs Ethnikos Asteras (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Ujpest vs Fehervar (6) 1-1

Italian Serie B:

Empoli vs Reggina (7)

Dutch Eredivisie:

Groningen vs Heracles Almelo (7) 0-1

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior (7) over 2.5 goals
AGOVV Appeldoorn vs Volendam (6)
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht ’90 (6)
Eindhoven vs Veendam (7)
Fortuna Sittard vs RBC Roosendaal (7)
Go Ahead Eagles vs Haarlem (8)
Helmond Sport vs Top Oss (6)
MVV Maastricht vs Omniworld (8)
Stormvogels Telstar vs Zwolle (7)

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Odra Wodzislaw vs Zaglebie Lubin (5) 1-1
Lechia Gdansk vs Korona Kielce (8) 1-0
Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warsaw (7) 2-1

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Belenenses vs Pacos de Ferreira (6) under 2.5 goals

Romanian Liga:

Pandurii Targu Jiu vs Gloria Bistrita (7) 2-0
International vs Universitatea Craiova (8) 1-1

Singaporean S-League:

Sengkang Punggol vs Woodlands (5) 1-1

Turkish Super Lig:

Bursaspor vs Genclerbirligi (8) 2-0

Welsh Premier League:

Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town (7) 2-1
Airbus vs Connah’s Quay Nomads (6) 1-0
Haverfordwest County vs Neath Athletic (6) 1-1
Prestatyn Town vs Newtown (7) 2-1
The New Saints vs Newi Cefn Druids (8) 2-0

Enjoy your free betting tips!

Laval vs Dijon FCO

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Today’s feautured game is the French Ligue 2 match between Laval and Dijon FCO. Laval have started this campaign well and currently find themselves in sixth place in the Ligue 2 table. Having only lost once in their seven games thus far, the hosts can be pleased with their start to life in Ligue 2. Laval have currently played three home games, winning twice and drawing just once, as well as averaging scoring two goals per game at home. Overall, they’re proving very difficult to beat and have already beaten Strasbourg here this season, although it’s fair to say Strasbourg are far from themselves at the current time. Two wins in four games says that Laval have enough momentum to cause a problem for visiting Dijon FCO today. The visitors have picked up this season where they left off – winning at home and losing away, basically. They’ve drawn some games, of course, but that’s a general summary of their ways. For instance, last season Dijon FCO played nineteen away games and won just two, despite finishing eighth. They simply don’t score enough goals away from home. I daresay the board meeting with the manager this season went something like:

Board: ”We did well last season but what are you going to do to try and enable us to finish higher?”
Manager: “Umm…score less goals away from home, win less games away from home and try to complete a 100% home record all season?”
Board: “Sure, why not!”

Effectively, their away record of played four, drawn two, lost two, and scored one means that they’re yet again woeful on the road.

Summarised – if you can find good odds to lay Dijon FCO then do so but aside from that, taking the home win at 10/11 looks a good bet, as does under 2.5 goals seeing that neither side likes to score them!

Friday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Laval vs Dijon FCO – home win at 10/11 – see introduction for full details.

Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Argentinos Juniors - home win at 9/10. After an impressive away win against an out-of-sorts Boca Juniors, Godoy Cruz de Mendoza will be beyond buoyant, particularly as that victory involved them coming from behind to win. Despite having not won a home game yet this season (they’ve currently played two and drawn both) you have to fancy them to overcome Argentinos Juniors tonight. Why? Well, let’s not forget how woeful Argentinos Juniors were on the road in their last campaign, winning zero away games from nine attempts. Perhaps that explains at least a little why I am somewhat cynical of their current good form! Some things can change but as they say – “a leopard cannot change its spots”. Aside from that, Argentinos Juniors failed to beat Godoy Cruz de Mendoza in both clashes last season, drawing this particular fixture and actually losing the home fixture. In fact, you have to go back to 2006 to find the last time that Argentinos Juniors beat Godoy Cruz de Mendoza home or away. For those reasons, odds of 9/10 on the home win do look to have some value in them for me.

AIFK Turku vs Ilves – away win at 11/10. Both of these sides are enjoying a purple patch of late in the Finnish Kakkonen Lokho B but it’s Ilves who are making the bigger noises with their overall form. Currently sat third in the table, Ilves proudly boast thirteen wins from twenty-three games. Their away form is amongst the best in the Lokho B with five wins from nine games. Hosts AIFK Turku may be unbeaten in their last four games (they’ve won twice and drawn twice) but they’ve managed to lose all of their encounters with Ilves in their last three meetings at either ground. AIFK Turku are decent at home when compared to the rest of the Lokho B table but they’re not a particularly impressive side – period. I can’t see this game being a draw because both sides need three points for different reasons. If this is an open game and both sides go full-throttle then I expect to see Ilves walk away with three points because they’re simply a better side. If AIFK Turku decide the most they can get here is a draw and sit back then it could be a tricky game for Ilves. However, there’s enough going in favour of the away win for me to consider it somewhat fruitful at 11/10.

FC Nurnberg vs VFL Bochum – under 2.5 goals at 5/6. I don’t think there’s ever an awful lot you can write about under 2.5 goals calls, really – it’s just that both sides are too shit to score, atypically, for whatever reasons! Obviously there’s some other intricacies which can affect the call but generally that’s why they’re made and this game is no exception. Newly-promoted Nurnberg have only managed one win from six games so far and have scored just two goals at home in their opening three games. Visitors VFL Bochum have managed to score an appalling one goal away from home in their three away games this season, all of which were defeats. They concede just shy of three goals per game on the road currently but a misfiring Nurnberg are unlikely to continue that particular record. Basically, I can’t see either side having the form or the ability to overcome the 2.5 goals mark so I think under 2.5 goals at 5/6 looks a good bet.

Doxa Dramas vs Pierikos Katerini – home win at 5/6. This should be a close encounter with both sides currently unbeaten in the B Ethniki so far this season. However, I’m siding with the home win light of what both sides proved last season. Hosts Doxa Dramas boasted an unbeaten run of home games in the C Ethniki last year, winning a highly impressive thirteen games from seventeen. Whereas the B Ethniki is obviously a step up from the C Ethniki, Doxa Dramas will be relying on their home form to keep them in the division this year. Visitors Pierikos Katerini have started this season much like last season – winning at home and failing to win away. In the Ethniki B last season, Pierikos Katerini lost an astounding eleven games from seventeen on the road, winning just once! When you consider that only two sides in the whole of the division lost more away games than they did last season (one of which was ultimtely relegated), you have to wonder just how this side managed to finish 10th in the B Ethniki. Although it’s without doubt a dubious call, there’s certainly value in the home win at 5/6 if Doxa Dramas turn up.

Ferencvaros vs Fehervar – home win at 6/4. Despite fighting valiantly with reigning champions Debreceni VSC last game, Ferencvaros were consigned to a fifth successive game without a win on the road, leaving them to fall back upon their good home form. Currently boasting an unbeaten home record, Ferencvaros face one of their biggest tests so far as they entertain league leaders Fehervar. The visitors are the top scorers in the division and average just under three goals per game at the moment. However, Fehervar know they’re going to be facing a highly-motivated and battling Ferencvaros, something no side relishses. The hosts have won two and drawn once in their opening three games and will be looking to bounce back from their defeat at Debreceni VSC by beating Fehervar today. Although I expect a close game with lots of goals, I thinkt the hosts are more than capable of taking three points today with the quality available at their disposal and the fact that the visitors are currenly over-achieving. By no means is this a dead cert, but taking the home win at 6/4 could have some value given that giants Ferencvaros seem to try even harder against sides competing for the Soproni Liga title for obvious reasons.

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Cork City - away win at 13/10. These two sides have a very strange head-to-head record as the away side has won this game for four games running at either ground. St Patrick’s Athletic have been a shadow of their former selves this season and will be happy to see it out and prepare for next season. Visitors Cork City, however, are still very much in the mix at the top of the table and will be desperately seeking a European place for next season. Only Derry City have won more away games than Cork City this season and given that St Patrick’s Athletic have lost four from their last five games, the away win does look favourable for this game. 13/10 on the away win is a bargain but I’d recommend using caution as St Patrick’s Athletic are still a big side capable of matching Cork City if they turn up – I just don’t think that they’re going to do it today.

Volendam vs Dordrecht ’90 – away win at 6/4. I was going to avoid this game when I saw that this ground has been something of a graveyard for big Eerste Divisie sides this season but was swayed when I saw that Voldendam were dragged into extra time by Eredivisie outfit Sparta Rotterdam three games ago in the Dutch Cup, eventually losing to their Eredivisie opponents 2-1. Volendam put a lot into that game and will be tired from it as it was only three days ago. Dordrecht ’90 were also in action but enjoying a home win against Fortuna Sittard in the Dutch Cup without requiring extra time. Form-wise, Dordrecht ’90 have won three games from their last five, losing just once. They’ve won three and drawn once in their four away games this season, leaving them unbeaten on the road. The trip to recently-relegated Volendam is a tough one as they’ve only been beaten once at home this season in the Eerste Divisie but I think there’s enough in Dordrecht ’90′s favour to consider backing them at 6/4, particularly given that Volendam have won just once in their last five games. Needless to say, however, be cautious with your punts on this one!

As ever, any questions/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Argentinos Juniors (7) 2-1
Banfield vs Newell’s Old Boys (6) 1-0

Australian A-League:

Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory (5) 1-2

Austrian Liga 1:

Austria Vienna II vs Hartberg (7)
Austria Lustenau vs Salzburg II (8)
SCR Altach vs First Vienna (8)
Wacker Innsbruck vs Dornbirn (9)
Gratkorn vs Lustenau (6)

Belgian Tweede Klasse:

Dender vs Beveren (8)

Bulgarian A PFG:

Sliven vs Lokomotiv Sofia (8) 0-2

Colombian Futbol Profesional:

Millonarios Bogota vs Real Cartagena (8) 2-0

Croatian Prva Liga:

NK Zagreb vs Sibenik (7) 0-1

English League Two:

Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra (6)

Finnish Kakkonen:

AIFK Turku vs Ilves (8)

French Ligue 2:

AC Ajaccio vs Tours (6)
Chateauroux vs Istres (7)
Clermont Foot vs Angers SCO (5) draw no bet
Guingamp vs Bastia (8)
Laval vs Dijon FCO (7)
Arles vs Vannes OC (7)

German Bundesliga:

FC Nurnberg vs VFL Bochum (7) under 2.5 goals

German Bundesliga 2:

Energie Cottbus vs FSV Frankfurt (8)
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs MSV Duisburg (5)
Union Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Ahlen (8)

Greek B Ethniki:

Doxa Dramas vs Pierikos Katerini (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Debreceni VSC (8) 1-2
Ferencvaros vs Fehervar (6) over 2.5 goals

Irish Premier League:

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Cork City (7) 1-2
Bray Wanderers vs Drogheda United (4) 1-0
Dundalk vs Galway United (6) 1-0

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

Excelsior vs Omniworld (7)
Eindhoven vs Stormvogels Telstar (6)
Emmen vs Helmond Sport (5) draw no bet
Volendam vs Dordrecht ’90 (6)
Cambuur Leeuwarden vs RBC Roosendaal (7) both sides to score
Top Oss vs MVV Maastricht (7)

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Lechia Gdansk vs Zaglebie Lubin (6) under 2.5 goals
Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznan (5) 1-0

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Olhanense vs Sporting Braga (7) 1-2

Romanian Liga:

Unirea Urziceni vs Astra Ploiesti (9) -1.75 handicap

Russian Premier League:

Rubin Kazan vs Amkar Perm (8) 2-1

Singaporean S-League:

Home United vs Woodlands (8) 2-0

Turkish Super Lig:

Genclerbirligi vs Trabzonspor (6) 1-2

Ukrainian Premier League:

Dynamo Kiev vs Zorya Lugansk (9) -1.75 handicap

Welsh Premier League:

Prestatyn Town vs Airbus (7) 2-1
The New Saints vs Newtown (8) -1.75 handicap

Enjoy your free betting tips and feel free to visit our forum!