West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers

Today’s featured game is the English Championship game between West Bromwich Albion and Queens Park Rangers. Second-placed West Bromwich Albion have struggled a little of late but have the perfect opportunity to make amends tonight as they take on a Queens Park Rangers side that are in something of a crisis currently.

West Brom are without a win in their last two games as they’ve drawn once and lost once. Nevertheless, the Midlands club remain in contention for an automatic promotion place and won’t be too disheartened by their poor spell. West Brom have done well at home this season with six wins in ten games and scoring an average of over two goals per game. They’re the highest scoring side in the Championship and Roberto Di Matteo is keen to keep it that way too. West Brom have notched up twelve goals in their last five games and bear in mind that they’ve only won three of those games! West Brom play the best football in the division and you can rest assured that you’ll be on the receiving end of a whipping if you don’t take a highly motivated side to The Hawthorns!

Visitors Queens Park Rangers couldn’t be worse-placed than they are tonight as they take on the best side in the Championship. After manager Jim Magilton’s incident with Akos Buzsaky, the manager has now left the club by mutual consent. However, the staff are refusing to work without him after his supposed headbutt on the Hungarian midfielder so the backroom is in something of a turmoil currently. Couple that with the fact that QPR haven’t won in their last four games, a run which includes three defeats, and you begin to see that the visitors have their fair share of issues currently. To make matters worse, QPR have conceded fourteen goals in their last five games, an average of nearly three goals per game! That record most certainly isn’t good enough for any division and they’re in for a rough ride against West Brom tonight if they intend on maintaining this unwanted record.

QPR are generally an “all or nothing” side but they don’t really have a lot more than “nothing” to offer at the moment, unfortunately for them. It’s a shame because they do play good football but the problems that they’re having currently aren’t helping and they’re taking on the best side in the division. For me, this has a home win written all over it and a very possible overcoming of the -1.75 goal handicap.

Verdict: West Bromwich Albion to win and beat the -1.75 goal handicap at 9/5.

Monday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia De La Plata – home win at 10/11.

Atletico Tucuman have been playing quite well of late with two wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their last four games. Their form in general has improved at home, making them look an actual threat when playing on their own turf with four wins in eight games, losing just twice along the way. They average scoring two goals per game at home and have won their last three games in a row now, improving their momentum and confidence drastically. Atletico Tucuman have done just enough to establish themselves since promotion and will look to continue their impressive run against a very poor Gimnasia tonight.

Gimnasia De La Plata are without a win on the road all season and recent form indicating four defeats from their last four games offers a likely reason as to why that is; they’re shit, to be blunt. It was not always so and I doubt it always will be so but for the time being, Gimnasia De La Plata are one of the worst sides in the division. They’ve lost five out of eight away games this season already and concede an average of just under two goals per away game, scoring once every two away games on average. To make matters worse, in their last four games/defeats they’ve yielded ten goals and scored just once. Could any side look more likely to lose a game currently? Not in my opinion!

Verdict: Atletico Tucuman to win at 10/11.

Energie Cottbus vs Hansa Rostock – home win at 10/11.

Hosts Energie Cottbus have struggled in the Bundesliga 2 since relegation from the Bundesliga last season, currently sat just outside of the relegation zone with just five wins in fifteen games. Unsurprisingly, four of those wins have been at home so their seven home games haven’t exactly been wasted. Energie Cottbus are a strange side in the sense that either know they can win and do or know they can’t win and lose – there isn’t a middle ground for them, basically. Energie Cottbus average scoring two goals per game at home and enter this game on the back of a two game unbeaten run. They’ve won their last two home games in a row without even conceding a goal and carry considerable momentum into this game tonight.

Visitors Hansa Rostock are just two places below Energie Cottbus and are experiencing a very similar season. Hansa also prefer their home games as they’ve won four out of eight at home this season. Their away form has been poor however, losing five out of seven games on the road and conceding an average of nearly two goals per game. Defeat at home by Kaiserslautern last match is far from embarassing but it will have knocked the visitors somewhat in terms of confidence, particularly with the knowledge that they didn’t even manage to score a goal themselves. Hansa are going to have a long battle tonight with Energie Cottbus and I don’t think they’ve got enough within them at the moment to take anything from the game.

Although this has the potential to be a very close game, I think Energie Cottbus’ momentum and home form should see them overcome a poor-travelling Hansa Rostock tonight.

Verdict: Energie Cottbus to win at 10/11.

As ever, if there are any questions/explanations required then feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia De La Plata (6) 2-1
Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Arsenal de Sarandi (8) 1-1

Cypriot Division 1:

Ethnikos Achnas vs Aris (6) 2-1

English Championship:

West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers (8) -1.75 handicap

German Bundesliga 2:

Energie Cottbus vs Hansa Rostock (7)

Greek B Ethniki:

OFI Crete vs Thrasivoulos (5)

Italian Serie B:

Reggina vs Triestina (5)

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes (6) 0-0

Romanian Liga:

Unirea Urziceni vs Politehnica Iasi (8) -1.75 handicap

Enjoy your free betting tips!

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea

Today’s featured game is the UEFA Champions League encounter between Atletico Madrid and Chelsea. The hosts were in dismal form when these two sides met two weeks ago at Stamford Bridge and were duly punished for their lack of cohesion by being trounced 4-0. The result perhaps flattered Chelsea as Atletico Madrid had some good chances of their own. However, what remains apparent is that Chelsea certainly did deserve the win so credit must be given to the Londoners for that. Carlo Ancelotti has certainly got Chelsea playing very good and efficient football. They’ve won all three of their group games so far and a win today would all but guarantee them qualification for the latter stages of the UEFA Champions League. Atletico Madrid have gained just one point from a possible nine, which really isn’t good enough for a club of this size or for a club with any intentions whatsoever to launch a genuine attempt for club football’s most prestigious trophy. More worryingly for Atletico Madrid, they’re still yet to register a goal in the UEFA Champions League this year. Given their atrocious form of late and inability to keep a clean sheet, it’s very hard to look beyond n away win for an extremely potent and in-form Chelsea at 5/6, which is frankly a bargain.

Tuesday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea – away win at 5/6 – see introduction for full details.

Queens Park Rangers vs Crystal Palace – home win at 4/5. Hosts Queens Park Rangers let me down last friday by losing at home to Leicester City, which was really very disappointing, particularly as Radek Cerny simply gifted Matty Fryatt his goal towards the end of the game. However, they remain a good side, jolted though they are, with three wins in their past four games. What makes it easier for me to make this call is the unimpressive form of Neil Warnock’s Crystal Palace, who haven’t won in their last four games, drawing three times and losing once. The problems that the visitors are having isn’t entirely unexpected given their stretched squad of youngsters and their large financial issues. I’m more surprised that it’s taken this long to show, really, so hats off to Neil Warnock for that. However, I fully expect them to be outclassed today by a Queens Park Rangers side desperate to get back to winning ways. Therefore, 4/5 on the home win looks a good call to me!

AC Milan vs Real Madrid – home win at 6/4. After a surprise win at the Santiago Bernabeu, AC Milan have continued their muddled season as expected, thus proving my point that the reason they won was Real Madrid’s inability to defend and inability to score goals consistently without Cristiano Ronaldo. AC Milan managed a late victory at Chievo Verona after trailing for the majority of the game with two late goals from Alessandro Nesta stealing the win for the visitors. AC Milan have also managed to draw 2-2 at SSC Napoli despite leading for the majority of the game and then managed to overcome newly-promoted Parma at weekend by a scoreline of 2-0, which again didn’t tell the whole story with Parma coming close and even rattling the woodwork at the San Siro. However, Real Madrid have fared little better with a 4-0 first leg humbling at local rivals Alcorcon from the Spanish Segunda B league. What’s more worrying is that the encounter with Alcorcon saw Real Madrid field 80% of their first team and they were still torn apart by the minnows. Real Madrid may have managed to overcome Getafe at weekend 2-0 but there are more problems there than people see. Real Madrid’s biggest problem is not only that they cannot defend but their full-backs are atrocious, continually exposing Real Madrid’s feeble offside trap and getting crosses in all too easily. Italian sides are always tactically astute and will be aware of Real Madrid’s defensive weakness, something they indicated in the reverse fixture by having godly playmaker Andrea Pirlo launching balls in behind Marcelo and finding joy every time. Real Madrid are still missing Cristiano Ronaldo so it’s difficult to see them getting a result here unless they really turn it on. Don’t get me wrong – Real Madrid have better individuals than AC Milan but AC Milan have a highly experienced and organised side so I’m backing them to do the same again, particularly with striker Pato looking as lethal as he has been. Whereas it’s unlikely that Iker Casillas will have as much a nightmare this time around (or Dida, for that matter!), I still think AC Milan will win this game at 6/4. It’s also worth looking at over 2.5 goals or over 3.5 goals in this fixture as neither are particularly effective defensively.

APOEL Nicosia vs Porto – lay Porto at 11/10. This is a bold call but I’m going to base it on Porto’s recent mishaps more than anything. They’ve simply not been playing well and although they’ve managed to grind out a few results, they were finally exposed last match by a weak Belenenses, with whom they drew 1-1 at the Estadio do Dragao. Porto’s fans have been whistling/booing their team for the past few games now and it’s starting to have an impact on the team’s performances. Two things that the Cypriot hosts do have is tenacity and organisation, as all the Cypriot sides exemplify very well. APOEL Nicosia already proved in Madrid earlier on in this campaign that they’re capable of blocking sides out and being hard to beat. APOEL Nicosia can’t realistically have any hope of emerging from this group for the UEFA Champions League latter stages but they can harbour a hope for the third-place finish, which would put them in the UEFA Europa League. Both sides could use the win here but I feel confident that both would take the draw, too. If Porto turn it on then they’re capable of beating today’s hosts but I’m relying on them not showing up against their resilient hosts, particularly as English giants Chelsea have already struggled to get a result here in this campaign. Therefore, I feel there’s some good value in laying Porto at 11/10.

Bayern Munich vs Girondins de Bordeaux - lay Bayern Munich at 10/11. The fundamental point behind this bet is the assumption that Frank Ribery and Arjen Robben will be missing, like they were at VFB Stuttgart at weekend. Why? Because these two players turn Bayern Munich from an average side with a couple of good players into a force that are capable of scoring against any side. Bayern Munich failed to register a goal away to VFB Stuttgart at weekend, something that atypically wouldn’t be such a big issue but considering how badly VFB Stuttgart have played this season and the fact that they entered the game with Bayern Munich on the back of three straight defeats, you have to be surprised that the game finished 0-0. Bayern Munich suffered a defeat away to Girondins de Bordeaux two weeks ago, as well as suffering the indignity of having two men dismissed, who will both be missing for this counter. Bayern Munich have looked anything but reliable so far in European competition and I expect Laurent Blanc’s resilient and efficient Girondins de Bordeaux to put up a big fight today. Girondins de Bordeaux have already matched Juventus away from home, drawing 1-1, and beaten Bayern Munich 2-1, so in my opinion, they’re looking the most consistent side in this group currently and I wouldn’t bet against them winning the group. The French outfit have more talent than they’re given credit for so I think they’re more than capable of getting a result here today, particularly if Bayern Munich are missing the hilariously dubbed “Robbery” duo. Therefore, laying Bayern Munich at 10/11 looks a good bet to me today!

As ever, if there are any questions/explanations required then feel free to post a comment! For the complete picks listing, see below!

UEFA Champions League:

Bayern Munich vs Girondins de Bordeaux (6) 1-1
Maccabi Haifa vs Juventus (8) under 2.5 goals
Manchester United vs CSKA Moscow (9) -1.75 handicap
Besiktas JK vs VFL Wolfsburg (7) 2-1
AC Milan vs Real Madrid (7) over 3.5 goals
Olympique de Marseille vs FC Zurich (8) -1.75 handicap
APOEL Nicosia vs Porto (4) 1-1
Atletico Madrid vs Chelsea (8) under 2.5 goals

Argentinian Primera Division:

Colon de Santa Fe vs Huracan (8) 2-1

Austrian Liga 1:

Dornbirn vs Austria Vienna II (6)
Lustenau vs First Vienna (5)
Admira Wacker vs Salzburg II (7)
St.Polten vs Hartberg (8)
Gratkorn vs Austria Lustenau (6)
Wacker Innsbruck vs SCR Altach (6) draw no bet

English Championship:

Queens Park Rangers vs Crystal Palace (7)

Estonian Meistriliiga:

Sillamae Kalev vs Levadia Tallinn (7) 1-2
Maag Tammeka Tartu vs Flora Paide (6) 1-0
Tulevik Viljandi vs Kuressaare (7) 2-1
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn (8) over 2.5 goals
Nomme Kalju vs Trans Narva (7) over 2.5 goals

Enjoy your free betting tips!