Celtic vs Rangers

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Today’s secondary featured game is the Scottish Premier League game between Celtic and Rangers. We all know that this is a very heated affair and thus all bets on this game should be cautious ones!

Celtic have had a bit of an up-and-down season despite their convincing statistics. Injuries to some key players have made life hard for them but to be honest, it’s their unconvincing displays that concern me. What you’ll very rarely see nowadays is Celtic blowing a side away. It’s no secret that this is far from the best side that they’ve ever had but they’ve become dour and efficient rather than entertaining and whole-hearted. The injury to Izaguirre did a lot of damage to Celtic and although he’s back in training now, I think it’ll be some time before we see the Honduran back to his best. Hooper is having a good season for Celtic, which is beneficial as they’d be really lost without his goals this season. However, for me, their defence is struggling against even the most average of attacks and their inability to name a consistent back four this season has surely played a large part in that. There are still question marks over the managerial capabilities of boss Lennon and that’s understandable as he’s not really very good, in my view. Appointing a former player as boss doesn’t automatically mean that he’ll become a good boss and I think that’s perfectly true here. Nonetheless, his boys will be motivated here – we all know that they hate Rangers but they’d also pass Rangers in the table with three points here so I think we’ll see a bit of extra vigour from The Hoops today.

Visitors Rangers have been the better of these two sides by far this season. I would attribute that to them having marginally better players more than anything because again, appointing a former player as a boss doesn’t make him a good manager and this is again true for Ally McCoist, who seems somewhat clueless tactically more often than not. Fortunately, McCoist does have a host of experienced players in his squad and that aids Rangers massively. McCulloch, Goian, Bocanegra, Whittaker, Jelavic, McGregor, and even Davis – they all know the score. However, they had their pride punctured last match with a 2-1 defeat at St.Mirren which resulted in their number of goals conceded away from home this season being doubled, amusingly enough. Rangers have complained about their red cards in that game for Goian and McCulloch respectively but they still stand and subsequently both miss this game. Again, this harms the Rangers defence as for me, Goian is their best defender – absolute monster in the air – and McCulloch lends their midfield a steel that they often need. That doesn’t help their cause at all as they have actually struggled in defence lately, shipping in four out of their last five Premier League games. It’s not an ideal way to take on Celtic at Celtic Park and I think they’re in for a tough night. However, with Jelavic in their ranks, you know that they can score goals and Rangers should be able to do that quite freely here given the unconvincing approach of Celtic and especially their defence.

Rather than enter the dodgy-as-hell 1×2 market, I’m going to opt for over 2.5 goals here. It doesn’t often come in for this derby, statistically speaking, but I feel it will tonight. Celtic need to win, neither side is in great shape at the back, and neither side has a good enough manager to keep the players composed during this game. I expect a lot of cards here and I think we’ll see bad enough defending for over 2.5 goals to come in and therefore I feel it’s worth a punt at evens.

Verdict: Over 2.5 goals at evens.


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Wednesday’s Picks

As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

Greek Super League:

OFI Crete vs Levadiakos (7) 1-0
Aris Salonika vs Doxa Dramas (8) 2-0

Scottish Premier League:

Aberdeen vs Hearts (5) 1-0
Celtic vs Rangers (6) 2-1, at least one red card in this game
Hibernian vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle (6) 2-1
Motherwell vs Dunfermline Athletic (7) 2-0
St.Johnstone vs Kilmarnock (5) 1-1
St.Mirren vs Dundee United (4) 0-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!

Rangers vs Malmo FF

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Today’s secondary featured game is the UEFA Champions League game between Rangers and Malmo FF.

Rangers are very experienced in European football having competed in it for many, many years. They’re notorious for their fanatical support – albeit too fanatical at times, hence not being allowed any fans in Sweden next week for the return leg – but it really does count in their home games. It’s become essential for Rangers, really, given the declining state of the Scottish Premier League! That’s not to say Rangers don’t have good players, though. They’ve got some good players in their squad – good finisher Jelavic, promising Wylde on the left flank, a couple of battlers in the middle with Davis and McCulloch, and all in all, there’s plenty of experience in the team. There are question marks over the managerial ability of Ally McCoist and that does concern me, to be honest – they weren’t great against Hearts. Nonetheless, European football is the bread and butter of a big club like Rangers and I expect a much better display from them tonight.

I have to admit that a lot of my confidence on Rangers tonight stems from Malmo FF, however. This side is not in a good place right now. The sale of Molins a few weeks ago deprived Malmo FF of some creativity in midfield – that’s done damage. The introduction of ex-Assyriska Sodertalje boss Norling as manager hasn’t gone to plan yet as he’s still yet to find the right formation and Malmo are showing it too, with unconvincing display after unconvincing display. They’re not creating chances, they don’t look confident in their manager’s decisions, and they’re not threatening the goal anywhere near enough. They were damn lucky to go through against HB Torshavn of the Faroe Islands in the last round, all in all. They did nothing in the first-half of the first leg and managed to eventually score a couple of goals in the second-half whereas they could have and should have lost 2-0 in the Faroe Islands – only an easy chance being missed and a counter-attack against a side throwing all their men forward earned them a 1-1 draw in a game that they were very poor in. Malmo have looked particularly poor in breaking sides down and as dangerous as young Larsson and Rexhepi can be, I just don’t see a consistent attacking threat in this Malmo side. Read into their 2-3 win at Helsingborg last match what you will; I attribute that to it being a bitter derby, to Helsingborg’s awarded win at Malmo earlier this season due to crowd trouble, and due to Helsingborg selling two of their best players to FC Utrecht. I think Malmo are out of their depth here, basically, and I thoroughly expect it to show.

I don’t like relying on Scottish sides in Europe because they’re not as good as they were. However, I’ve rarely seen Malmo in as poor a state as they are right now and although there’s a chance that they’ll motivate themselves especially against a big European side, I still don’t think they’ve got the quality nor the manager to do anything here. If Rangers show up here then the -1 Asian Handicap at 3/4 will look very good indeed.

Verdict: Rangers to beat the -1 Asian Handicap at 3/4.

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Tuesday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Zestafoni vs Sturm Graz – over 2.5 goals at 11/10.

Two sides with weak defences and strong attacks makes me think this game will go over 2.5 goals. Zestafoni are playing in Tbilisi rather than at home, which will go against them a little, but they’re still a good attacking side and they demonstrated that at home to Dacia Chisinau in the last round. Dacia are a solid defensive unit but Zestafoni ripped through them easily at the start, just as they do in most European encounters against sides within their quality range. I expect them to do the same here against a Sturm Graz defence that is yet to convince in any of their games against either Fehervar or SV Mattersburg. Sturm Graz are fairly experienced in Europe too, however – they were in Tbilisi last year to face Dinamo Tbilisi so this is not a strange place to them. I don’t rate Austrian sides as highly at the moment as I did a couple of years ago because their firepower isn’t what it was but Graz have looked good in front of goal so far this season, if nowhere else, especially with veteran Bosnia-Herzegovina attacker Muratovic in their ranks.

Therefore, I think we’re going over 2.5 goals here. Football isn’t always as logical as it should be but neither side has the capacity to sit deep and defend a lead here so I expect a bit of a “gung-ho” game here. Additionally, Zestafoni miss defender Gongadze through suspension and Sturm Graz miss key defender Standfest and regular midfielder Holzl so we’re unlikely to see a polished display from them here. With the above in mind, over 2.5 goals takes my fancy today.

Team news – Zestafoni miss Gongadze whereas Sturm Graz miss Standfest and Holzl.

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As ever, if there are any explanations required then please feel free to post a comment! For the remainder of my thoughts on today’s games, see below, although I feel compelled to write that the below are not necessarily my tips but merely my thoughts to prevent endless questions about my thoughts on certain games!

UEFA Champions League:

Zestafoni vs Sturm Graz (4) 2-1
Ekranas Panevezys vs BATE Borisov (5) 0-0
APOEL Nicosia vs Slovan Bratislava (7) 2-0
Litex Lovech vs Wisla Krakow (6) 0-0
Dynamo Kiev vs Rubin Kazan’ (7) 1-0
Racing Genk vs Partizan Belgrade (7) over 2.5 goals
Twente Enschede vs Vaslui (7) 1-0
Rangers vs Malmo FF (7) 2-0

UEFA Europa League:

Bnei Yehuda Tel-Aviv vs Helsingborg (5) 1-0

Faroese Meistaradeildin:

IF Fuglafjordur vs B68 Toftir (7) 2-1

Lithuanian A Lyga:

Tauras Taurage vs Zalgiris Vilnius (5) 0-1

Enjoy your free betting tips!