Ancona vs Modena

Today’s featured game is the Serie B clash between Ancona and Modena. Despite Ancona having let me down last match, I’m confident that they’ll make amends for that tonight. Why? Well, as I stated on a previous post, the away win for Ancona was a dubious call at the time (as it proved to be!) because they’re a home side. Happily, they are back on their own turf today and will be looking to return to winning ways. Ancona still boast a 100% home record so far in Serie B this year and are the one of the only sides to have not conceded a goal at home yet, along with Crotone. Modena’s away record leaves a lot to be desired with two defeats from three games on the road so far. Suffice to say that both sides are starting this season just how the ended last season – winning at home and losing away. Two wins in five games says that Modena aren’t really in a position to change that trend either, particularly as they lost this fixture last year. I’m surprised the bookies have been generous and offered us evens on this outcome but I’m happy to take it!

Monday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Ancona vs Modena – home win at evens – see introduction for full details.

Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus – home win at 11/10. An impressive start to their campaign has seen Esbjerg win six games from nine, five of which have been their last five games. They’ve won three from four home games, scoring two goals per game on average. I’m not going to lie to you – they’re not good enough to maintain this form until the end of the season. However, they’re good enough at the moment, which is good enough for me. Esbjerg welcome AGF Aarhus today, a side that were also performing well until two consecutive defeats left the club reeling, particularly as one was a home defeat to then second-bottom club Midtylland. AGF Aarhus aren’t experienced enough to just pick themselves up from this defeat so I suspect they won’t be at their best tonight. Additionally, AGF Aarhus have lost here for two years running now without scoring a goal and given Esbjerg’s current form, I can’t see at least one of those records changing. For me, a home win at 11/10 could be a real bargain today.

Strasbourg vs Stade Malherbe de Caen - away win at 13/10. The bookies rate this as a dubious call and so do I. Strasbourg may be bottom of Ligue 2 but we all know they’re capable of ending this season as top of it, so it’s a very dodgy situation. Despite horrendous statistics, their performances lately have been getting better and it’s only a matter of time before they claim their first win of the campaign. However, I’m hoping that particular run is maintained at least whilst they host Stade Malherbe de Caen as the odds on the away win are very inviting! The visitors are unbeaten on the road in this campaign but they’ve only won one of their three away games, drawing the other two. Their biggest problem is that they only score a goal per game, and that’s not even averaged – they either win 1-0 or draw 1-1! So if they fall behind in the game, your bet may well be lost! Against a Strasbourg side which has netted nine times in seven games, you have to feel this is a dubious bet indeed! Nonetheless, the efficiency Stade Malherbe de Caen have executed so far this season leaves me confident that they’ll win the game so odds of 13/10 on the away win do look inviting.

Thrasivoulos vs PAE AO Kerkyra – home win at 7/4. I’ve come across some pretty strange odds in my time but these baffle me. Recently-relegated Thrasivoulos have made a poor start to their campaign and are without a win so far in the B Ethniki, having scoring just one goal along the way. They’re hosting one of the B Ethniki’s better sides PAE AO Kerkyra, who have won two games from two so far but are generally a very poor away side, as last season’s three wins from seventeen away games proved. There’s not much between these two sides but as Thrasivoulos still possess a Super League squad, surely the bookies would have to go a lot lower than 7/4 on this game? I’m almost in disbelief here so I’m just going to shut up and call a dubious home win at 7/4.

Brann Bergen vs Odd Grenland Skien – home win at 10/11.  It’s taken a lot longer than expected but Odd Grenland Skien are finally showing that they’re out of their depth. It was always going to be too much for the newly-promoted side to maintain their push for European football and now three consecutive defeats has left their morale in tatters. Unfortunately for Odd Grenland Skien, they travel to old hands Brann Bergen who are masters in the art of unpredictability and will no doubt secure a 6-6 draw here! As much faith as I have lost in backing Brann Bergen, they’re facing a demoralised side that are poor on the road and they really need three points themselves to overtake today’s visitors in the Tippeligaen and try to secure themselves European football next year. Brann Bergen have been disappointing at home lately but their record still shows seven home wins from twelve games so you have to feel the onus is on them to get a result here. I can’t see Odd Grenland Skien having enough to bounce back, not only in this game but also in this season. Therefore, taking the home win at 10/11 should be fruitful despite the hosts’ haphazard form of late as they possess a better squad than their visitors.
 
As ever, any questions/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!

Belgian Eerste Klasse:

Cercle Brugge vs Mechelen (5) 1-0

Bulgarian A PFG:

Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (7) 1-0

Cypriot Division 1:

APEP vs Omonia Nicosia (9) -1.75 handicap

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga;

Mlada Boleslav vs Brno (6) 0-0

Danish Superligaen:

Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus (7) under 2.5 goals

English Premier League:

Manchester City vs West Ham United (8) under 2.5 goals

French Ligue 2:

Strasbourg vs Stade Malherbe de Caen (7)

German Bundesliga 2:

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Alemannia Aachen (6)

Greek B Ethniki:

Thrasivoulos vs PAE AO Kerkyra (6)

Irish Premier League:

Bray Wanderers vs St Patrick’s Athletic (5) 2-1

Italian Serie B:

Ancona vs Modena (8)
Reggina vs Piacenza (6)

Norwegian Tippeligaen:

Brann Bergen vs Odd Grenland Skien (7) 2-1

Norwegian 2 Divisjon:

Avdeling 1:

Lillestrom II vs Mandalskameratene (8)
Skjetten Fotball vs Start Kristiansand II (7)
Pors Grenland vs Valerenga Oslo II (8)

Avdeling 2:

Molde II vs Drobak Frogn (8)
Rosenborg II vs Nardo Trondheim (9)

Avdeling 3:

Sandnes Ulf vs Fredrikstad II (9)
Lyn Oslo II vs Vard Haugesund (8)
Stromsgodset II vs Asane Ulset (6)

Avdeling 4:

Kjelsas Oslo vs Tromso II (6)
Raufoss Fotball vs Bodo Glimt II (8)
Manglerud Star Oslo vs Stabaek II (7)

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Uniao de Leiria (6) 1-0

Singaporean S-League:

Sengkang Punggol vs Balestier Khalsa (8) 2-1

Swedish Allsvenskan:

GAIS Goteborg vs Orebro (6) 1-1
AIK Solna vs Djurgardens (8) under 2.5 goals
Halmstads vs Elfsborg Boras (7) 1-2, draw no bet

Swedish Superettan:

Landskrona BoIS vs Jonkopings Sodra (7)

Swiss Challenge League:

Yverdon Sport vs Wil (7)

Enjoy your free betting tips and feel free to visit our forum!

Laval vs Dijon FCO

Today’s feautured game is the French Ligue 2 match between Laval and Dijon FCO. Laval have started this campaign well and currently find themselves in sixth place in the Ligue 2 table. Having only lost once in their seven games thus far, the hosts can be pleased with their start to life in Ligue 2. Laval have currently played three home games, winning twice and drawing just once, as well as averaging scoring two goals per game at home. Overall, they’re proving very difficult to beat and have already beaten Strasbourg here this season, although it’s fair to say Strasbourg are far from themselves at the current time. Two wins in four games says that Laval have enough momentum to cause a problem for visiting Dijon FCO today. The visitors have picked up this season where they left off – winning at home and losing away, basically. They’ve drawn some games, of course, but that’s a general summary of their ways. For instance, last season Dijon FCO played nineteen away games and won just two, despite finishing eighth. They simply don’t score enough goals away from home. I daresay the board meeting with the manager this season went something like:

Board: ”We did well last season but what are you going to do to try and enable us to finish higher?”
Manager: “Umm…score less goals away from home, win less games away from home and try to complete a 100% home record all season?”
Board: “Sure, why not!”

Effectively, their away record of played four, drawn two, lost two, and scored one means that they’re yet again woeful on the road.

Summarised – if you can find good odds to lay Dijon FCO then do so but aside from that, taking the home win at 10/11 looks a good bet, as does under 2.5 goals seeing that neither side likes to score them!

Friday’s Picks

My tips:

As ever, below are my recommended value tips for today in no particular order:

Laval vs Dijon FCO – home win at 10/11 – see introduction for full details.

Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Argentinos Juniors - home win at 9/10. After an impressive away win against an out-of-sorts Boca Juniors, Godoy Cruz de Mendoza will be beyond buoyant, particularly as that victory involved them coming from behind to win. Despite having not won a home game yet this season (they’ve currently played two and drawn both) you have to fancy them to overcome Argentinos Juniors tonight. Why? Well, let’s not forget how woeful Argentinos Juniors were on the road in their last campaign, winning zero away games from nine attempts. Perhaps that explains at least a little why I am somewhat cynical of their current good form! Some things can change but as they say – “a leopard cannot change its spots”. Aside from that, Argentinos Juniors failed to beat Godoy Cruz de Mendoza in both clashes last season, drawing this particular fixture and actually losing the home fixture. In fact, you have to go back to 2006 to find the last time that Argentinos Juniors beat Godoy Cruz de Mendoza home or away. For those reasons, odds of 9/10 on the home win do look to have some value in them for me.

AIFK Turku vs Ilves – away win at 11/10. Both of these sides are enjoying a purple patch of late in the Finnish Kakkonen Lokho B but it’s Ilves who are making the bigger noises with their overall form. Currently sat third in the table, Ilves proudly boast thirteen wins from twenty-three games. Their away form is amongst the best in the Lokho B with five wins from nine games. Hosts AIFK Turku may be unbeaten in their last four games (they’ve won twice and drawn twice) but they’ve managed to lose all of their encounters with Ilves in their last three meetings at either ground. AIFK Turku are decent at home when compared to the rest of the Lokho B table but they’re not a particularly impressive side – period. I can’t see this game being a draw because both sides need three points for different reasons. If this is an open game and both sides go full-throttle then I expect to see Ilves walk away with three points because they’re simply a better side. If AIFK Turku decide the most they can get here is a draw and sit back then it could be a tricky game for Ilves. However, there’s enough going in favour of the away win for me to consider it somewhat fruitful at 11/10.

FC Nurnberg vs VFL Bochum – under 2.5 goals at 5/6. I don’t think there’s ever an awful lot you can write about under 2.5 goals calls, really – it’s just that both sides are too shit to score, atypically, for whatever reasons! Obviously there’s some other intricacies which can affect the call but generally that’s why they’re made and this game is no exception. Newly-promoted Nurnberg have only managed one win from six games so far and have scored just two goals at home in their opening three games. Visitors VFL Bochum have managed to score an appalling one goal away from home in their three away games this season, all of which were defeats. They concede just shy of three goals per game on the road currently but a misfiring Nurnberg are unlikely to continue that particular record. Basically, I can’t see either side having the form or the ability to overcome the 2.5 goals mark so I think under 2.5 goals at 5/6 looks a good bet.

Doxa Dramas vs Pierikos Katerini – home win at 5/6. This should be a close encounter with both sides currently unbeaten in the B Ethniki so far this season. However, I’m siding with the home win light of what both sides proved last season. Hosts Doxa Dramas boasted an unbeaten run of home games in the C Ethniki last year, winning a highly impressive thirteen games from seventeen. Whereas the B Ethniki is obviously a step up from the C Ethniki, Doxa Dramas will be relying on their home form to keep them in the division this year. Visitors Pierikos Katerini have started this season much like last season – winning at home and failing to win away. In the Ethniki B last season, Pierikos Katerini lost an astounding eleven games from seventeen on the road, winning just once! When you consider that only two sides in the whole of the division lost more away games than they did last season (one of which was ultimtely relegated), you have to wonder just how this side managed to finish 10th in the B Ethniki. Although it’s without doubt a dubious call, there’s certainly value in the home win at 5/6 if Doxa Dramas turn up.

Ferencvaros vs Fehervar – home win at 6/4. Despite fighting valiantly with reigning champions Debreceni VSC last game, Ferencvaros were consigned to a fifth successive game without a win on the road, leaving them to fall back upon their good home form. Currently boasting an unbeaten home record, Ferencvaros face one of their biggest tests so far as they entertain league leaders Fehervar. The visitors are the top scorers in the division and average just under three goals per game at the moment. However, Fehervar know they’re going to be facing a highly-motivated and battling Ferencvaros, something no side relishses. The hosts have won two and drawn once in their opening three games and will be looking to bounce back from their defeat at Debreceni VSC by beating Fehervar today. Although I expect a close game with lots of goals, I thinkt the hosts are more than capable of taking three points today with the quality available at their disposal and the fact that the visitors are currenly over-achieving. By no means is this a dead cert, but taking the home win at 6/4 could have some value given that giants Ferencvaros seem to try even harder against sides competing for the Soproni Liga title for obvious reasons.

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Cork City - away win at 13/10. These two sides have a very strange head-to-head record as the away side has won this game for four games running at either ground. St Patrick’s Athletic have been a shadow of their former selves this season and will be happy to see it out and prepare for next season. Visitors Cork City, however, are still very much in the mix at the top of the table and will be desperately seeking a European place for next season. Only Derry City have won more away games than Cork City this season and given that St Patrick’s Athletic have lost four from their last five games, the away win does look favourable for this game. 13/10 on the away win is a bargain but I’d recommend using caution as St Patrick’s Athletic are still a big side capable of matching Cork City if they turn up – I just don’t think that they’re going to do it today.

Volendam vs Dordrecht ’90 – away win at 6/4. I was going to avoid this game when I saw that this ground has been something of a graveyard for big Eerste Divisie sides this season but was swayed when I saw that Voldendam were dragged into extra time by Eredivisie outfit Sparta Rotterdam three games ago in the Dutch Cup, eventually losing to their Eredivisie opponents 2-1. Volendam put a lot into that game and will be tired from it as it was only three days ago. Dordrecht ’90 were also in action but enjoying a home win against Fortuna Sittard in the Dutch Cup without requiring extra time. Form-wise, Dordrecht ’90 have won three games from their last five, losing just once. They’ve won three and drawn once in their four away games this season, leaving them unbeaten on the road. The trip to recently-relegated Volendam is a tough one as they’ve only been beaten once at home this season in the Eerste Divisie but I think there’s enough in Dordrecht ’90′s favour to consider backing them at 6/4, particularly given that Volendam have won just once in their last five games. Needless to say, however, be cautious with your punts on this one!

As ever, any questions/explanations required, feel free to email me at thefootytipster@gmail.com. For the complete picks listing, see below!

Argentinian Primera Division:

Godoy Cruz de Mendoza vs Argentinos Juniors (7) 2-1
Banfield vs Newell’s Old Boys (6) 1-0

Australian A-League:

Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory (5) 1-2

Austrian Liga 1:

Austria Vienna II vs Hartberg (7)
Austria Lustenau vs Salzburg II (8)
SCR Altach vs First Vienna (8)
Wacker Innsbruck vs Dornbirn (9)
Gratkorn vs Lustenau (6)

Belgian Tweede Klasse:

Dender vs Beveren (8)

Bulgarian A PFG:

Sliven vs Lokomotiv Sofia (8) 0-2

Colombian Futbol Profesional:

Millonarios Bogota vs Real Cartagena (8) 2-0

Croatian Prva Liga:

NK Zagreb vs Sibenik (7) 0-1

English League Two:

Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra (6)

Finnish Kakkonen:

AIFK Turku vs Ilves (8)

French Ligue 2:

AC Ajaccio vs Tours (6)
Chateauroux vs Istres (7)
Clermont Foot vs Angers SCO (5) draw no bet
Guingamp vs Bastia (8)
Laval vs Dijon FCO (7)
Arles vs Vannes OC (7)

German Bundesliga:

FC Nurnberg vs VFL Bochum (7) under 2.5 goals

German Bundesliga 2:

Energie Cottbus vs FSV Frankfurt (8)
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs MSV Duisburg (5)
Union Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Ahlen (8)

Greek B Ethniki:

Doxa Dramas vs Pierikos Katerini (7)

Hungarian Soproni Liga:

Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Debreceni VSC (8) 1-2
Ferencvaros vs Fehervar (6) over 2.5 goals

Irish Premier League:

St Patrick’s Athletic vs Cork City (7) 1-2
Bray Wanderers vs Drogheda United (4) 1-0
Dundalk vs Galway United (6) 1-0

Dutch Eerste Divisie:

Excelsior vs Omniworld (7)
Eindhoven vs Stormvogels Telstar (6)
Emmen vs Helmond Sport (5) draw no bet
Volendam vs Dordrecht ’90 (6)
Cambuur Leeuwarden vs RBC Roosendaal (7) both sides to score
Top Oss vs MVV Maastricht (7)

Polish Ekstraklasa:

Lechia Gdansk vs Zaglebie Lubin (6) under 2.5 goals
Legia Warsaw vs Lech Poznan (5) 1-0

Portuguese Liga Sagres:

Olhanense vs Sporting Braga (7) 1-2

Romanian Liga:

Unirea Urziceni vs Astra Ploiesti (9) -1.75 handicap

Russian Premier League:

Rubin Kazan vs Amkar Perm (8) 2-1

Singaporean S-League:

Home United vs Woodlands (8) 2-0

Turkish Super Lig:

Genclerbirligi vs Trabzonspor (6) 1-2

Ukrainian Premier League:

Dynamo Kiev vs Zorya Lugansk (9) -1.75 handicap

Welsh Premier League:

Prestatyn Town vs Airbus (7) 2-1
The New Saints vs Newtown (8) -1.75 handicap

Enjoy your free betting tips and feel free to visit our forum!